Necaxa vs América Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2026

Necaxa vs América Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -154

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The odds of -154 look too big to resist when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals. We are confident of a return when Necaxa clash with América and the Total Goals market gives us a nice betting angle.

The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Necaxa vs América, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Necaxa vs América Preview

Necaxa take on América at Estadio Victoria, with kick-off set for 23:10 on Sunday 27 September.

Club Necaxa have lost three home games on the spin. On the road at Estadio Alfonso Lastras in their last game, they were beaten 3-1 by Atlético San Luis. The Aguascalientes club had 41% of possession and three shots on target, while Julian Carranza scored the goal.

Club América drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Estadio Banorte ended 2-2 against Guadalajara. Guillermo Almada's team boasted 56% possession and had four shots on goal, while Miguel Borja found the net twice.

H2H: América 2-0 Winners in Previous Head-to-Head

The scoreline was 2-0 for home side América when they last faced Necaxa, with the encounter taking place at Estadio Banorte. América have won six of the previous 10 H2H matches, with Necaxa getting one victory along with three draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	América	8	5	2	1	17	8	9	17:8	17
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	10:16	8

View Full Table

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. Club Necaxa have had 51.6% possession and 5.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.0 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.7 corners.

Top scorer Julian Carranza has found the net 5 times, with Owen Gonzalez, Miguel Rodriguez, Matias Espindola and Juan Valencia getting 1 goals each. Javier Ruiz, Pedro Pedraza and Miguel Rodriguez are the leading assists makers with 1.

Club América have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, averaging 6.1 shots on goal, 19.0 attempts and 2.3 goals. The Mexico City outfit average 51.5% possession, 7.2 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 11.1 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Henry Martin has scored 4, followed by Miguel Borja, Brian Rodriguez and Alex Zendejas with 3 goals apiece. Kevin Alvarez has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Necaxa predicted lineup (4-4-2): Luis Jiménez (GK), Raúl Martínez, Alexis Peña, Kaiky Naves, Agustín Oliveros, Kevin Rosero, Lorenzo Faravelli, Pedro Pedraza, Javier Ruiz, Julián Carranza, Juan Valencia.

América predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Malagón (GK), Dagoberto Espinoza, Santi Ramos Mingo, Ramón Juárez, Cristian Borja, Edwin Cerrillo, Erick Sánchez, Carlos Álvarez, Raphael Veiga, Alejandro Zendejas, Miguel Borja.

Main Match Prediction

This Liga MX tussle provides us with a strong betting angle considering we can wager on Over 2.5 Goals at the available odds of -154. Expect the two teams to run home the goals needed for a return.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Necaxa games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Necaxa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 América games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 América games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 América games.

The first port of call is to check out the Liga MX injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 60.6% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

You can consider an alternative wager including BTTS Yes. This means needing goals from both sides when wagering on the Both Teams to Score market, although you don’t need a specific total.

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Over 2.5 Goals @ -154 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 26, 05:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Necaxa 2 - 1 América

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +800 and it involves Necaxa winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Álex Zendejas Over 0.5 Shots On Target -143

Álex Zendejas (América) is available to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal at -143. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Álex Zendejas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

---

Julián Carranza to Score +210

Julián Carranza (Necaxa) has managed five goals in his past eight Liga MX matches. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +210 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Julián Carranza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Necaxa Over 4.5 Corners -139

Necaxa have been awarded an average of 7.40 corners in the past 5 home matches, while the corner count against América has been more than 4.5 in the previous six games. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Necaxa to cover the Team Corners line, with -139 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Necaxa

Total

10.30 5.60 4.70

Home

10.50 5.50 5.00

Away

10.60 4.60 6.00

América

Total

11.90 7.20 4.70

Home

10.10 5.20 4.90

Away

11.00 6.80 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-139

Under 10.5

-106

Necaxa Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-114

América Corners

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-119

Most Corners

1

+135

X

+700

2

-141

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Necaxa vs América Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookmakers affording them a 53% chance of winning, Club América might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -111 when it comes to this Liga MX encounter. If you want to wager on the underdog, Club Necaxa have been priced up at +260.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with América needing to win at -112 for your bet to be successful. Necaxa +0.5 at -116 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -182.

Hundreds of markets for every Liga MX game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+260

X

+255

2

-111

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+125

2

+135

Double Chance

1X

-120

12

-370

X2

-385

Draw No Bet

1

+163

2

-263

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-116

2 Hcp -0.5

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+120

The First Goalscorer favourite is José Zúñiga at +450. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

José Zúñiga (América)

First

+450

Anytime

+160

Henry Martín (América)

First

+525

Anytime

+190

Julián Carranza (Necaxa)

First

+550

Anytime

+210

Álex Zendejas (América)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (América)

First

+750

Anytime

+270

Matías Espíndola (Necaxa)

First

+850

Anytime

+310

Isaias Violante (América)

First

+850

Anytime

+310

Miguel Rodríguez (Necaxa)

First

+900

Anytime

+320

Óscar Perea (América)

First

+900

Anytime

+340

Alexis Gutierrez (América)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Javier Ruiz (Necaxa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Carlos Álvarez (América)

First

+1150

Anytime

+420

Juan Torres (Necaxa)

First

+1150

Anytime

+430

Erick Sanchez (América)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Danny Leyva (Necaxa)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Owen Gonzalez (Necaxa)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Kevin Rosero (Necaxa)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Mauro Zaleta (Necaxa)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Rogelio Cortéz (Necaxa)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Dagoberto Espinoza (América)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Emilio Lara (América)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Lorenzo Faravelli (Necaxa)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Kevin Alvarez (América)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Cristián Borja (América)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Henry Martín (América)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Julián Carranza (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (América)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Álex Zendejas (América)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Isaias Violante (América)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Matías Espíndola (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Óscar Perea (América)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Miguel Rodríguez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Gutierrez (América)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Javier Ruiz (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Juan Torres (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Álvarez (América)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

José Zúñiga (América)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Erick Sanchez (América)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Owen Gonzalez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Danny Leyva (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-

Dagoberto Espinoza (América)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
It’s now been three consecutive Necaxa losses at Estadio Victoria. The Aguascalientes club have recorded four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

América have five victories, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The last meeting at Estadio Victoria saw Necaxa and América draw 1-1. The past 7 H2H games at Estadio Victoria have featured five draws and two América wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Necaxa Home Stats		4-2-4	2.30	1.20	1.10	6	4	6	4
América Away Stats		5-3-2	3.40	2.00	1.40	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Necaxa vs América Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Rayos vs América team news before placing your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX and all current injury news.

Club Necaxa Team Page América Team Page

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