Mazatlán vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Apr 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Mazatlán vs Toluca

Mazatlán host Toluca at Estadio El Encanto, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Wednesday 22 April.

We’re keen to back Mazatlán +1.5 on the Asian Handicap. You can get betting odds of -128 and that means you land a return if the underdogs win, draw or lose by a single goal against Toluca.

Mazatlán had a 1-1 draw in their last game. This was at home to Querétaro at Estadio El Encanto. Sergio Bueno's side had most of the ball recording 58% possession and three shots on target, with Brian Rubio registering the goal.

Deportivo Toluca have suffered a defeat in back-to-back Liga MX road games including a recent 2-1 loss. This occurred at Estadio Banorte against Club América. Los Diablos Rojos had three shots on goal and boasted 61% possession, while Miguel Vazquez (own goal) found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Toluca who were victorious when they last faced Mazatlán. At Estadio Nemesio Diez, a 3-1 home triumph was recorded. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six Toluca victories and two Mazatlán wins. There have also been two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Toluca	17	8	6	3	28	16	12	28:16	30
16	Mazatlán	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15	22:37	15

View Full Table

Mazatlán have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. The Sinaloa team have averaged 40.3% possession and 4.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.7 goals from 5.6 shots on goal, 12.6 attempts and 6.9 corners.

Josue Ovalle leads the way with 5 goals, Brian Rubio has 3, with Fabio Gomes and two others on 1. Facundo Almada is the leading assists maker on 2.

Deportivo Toluca have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 5.2 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 1.6 goals. Antonio Mohamed's men average 58.7% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 8.5 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Paulinho has landed 5 goals, Jesus Angulo 2, with Franco Rossi and two others scoring 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Paulinho, Francisco Cordova and Marcel Ruiz who have all made 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Mazatlán confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Ricardo Rodriguez (GK), Facundo Almada, Lucas Merolla, Jair Diaz, Sebastian Santos, Mauro Zaleta, Dudu Teodora, Yoel Barcenas, Said Godinez, Josue Ovalle, Brian Rubio.

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Antonio Briseno, Everardo Lopez, Mauricio Isais, Marcel Ruiz, Fernando Arce, Jorge Diaz, Pavel Perez, Alexis Vega, Franco Rossi.

Mazatlán vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Mazatlán vs Toluca betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

It could pay to wager Mazatlán with a +1.5 goal start in this Liga MX game and we’ll back the underdogs at odds of -128. We are confident of landing a return with this Asian Handicap bet.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Liga MX team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Mazatlán vs Toluca league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Mazatlán in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Mazatlán in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Mazatlán in 16 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 5 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 16 of their last 20 games.

The best betting apps make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Bettors have the flexibility of being able to buy or sell goals depending on whether they want a safer or a riskier wager, with the odds moving according to the line.

Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.

Our Match Prediction

Mazatlán Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 21, 03:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mazatlán 1 - 1 Toluca

There’s the option to bet on the two teams to play out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +650 are on offer and this is a correct score wager that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nicolas Castro To Score +220

Nicolas Castro (Toluca) can be backed to score at +220. We believe this is the best of the player props, with healthy odds available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Nicolas Castro Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -137

All of the past six Mazatlán matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with the same thing happening in the previous six Toluca away games. There are odds of -137 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mazatlán

Total

11.30 4.40 6.90

Home

11.00 4.40 6.60

Away

10.10 4.00 6.10

Toluca

Total

9.60 5.70 3.90

Home

8.40 5.60 2.80

Away

9.80 6.00 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-109

Mazatlán Corners

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-137

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-156

Under 5.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+260

X

+700

2

-270

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mazatlán vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Deportivo Toluca are overwhelming -278 favourites to win this Liga MX clash based on the latest betting odds. The bookmakers afford them a 74% probability of claiming the spoils. Mazatlán are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +650.

As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Toluca at -130, Mazatlán at +510 or the draw at +163.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. BTTS Yes is available at -159 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Liga MX game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+650

X

+390

2

-278

Half-Time Result

1

+510

X

+163

2

-130

Double Chance

1X

+185

12

-714

X2

-1429

Draw No Bet

1

+420

2

-1000

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.5

-128

2 Hcp -1.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-222

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+107

João Paulo Paulinho is available at -147 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +245 to find the net first.

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

-147

Anytime

+245

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+145

Anytime

+450

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+205

Anytime

+600

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Fábio Netto (Mazatlán)

First

+300

Anytime

+900

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+360

Anytime

+1100

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Sebastian Cordova (Toluca)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Omar Moreno (Mazatlán)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Yoel Bárcenas (Mazatlán)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Mauro Laínez (Mazatlán)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Jordan Sierra Flores (Mazatlán)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Jesus Hernandez (Mazatlán)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Stats: Liga MX matches only
Mazatlán have not tasted defeat at Estadio El Encanto in four straight matches. Sergio Bueno's side have finished with five draws, three defeats and two win in the previous 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

Toluca haven’t tasted victory in three consecutive matches on the road. Los Diablos Rojos have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

The past meeting at Estadio El Encanto saw Mazatlán defeat Toluca 2-1. The past 5 H2H meetings at Estadio El Encanto have involved three Mazatlán victories, a single draw and one Toluca win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Mazatlán Home Stats		2-5-3	3.30	1.50	1.80	6	4	9	1
Toluca Away Stats		3-3-4	1.70	0.90	0.80	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Mazatlán vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Mazatlán vs Toluca team news before wagering. Expect the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with timely injury updates.

Mazatlán Team Page Toluca Team Page

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