Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Oct 2026

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -143

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

It’s hard to resist the opportunity to bet Over 2.5 when it comes to Total Goals, with Victory and City likely to score three or more between them. Land the odds of -143 that this happens.

Read on for our full Victory vs City betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Preview

Melbourne Victory square off against Melbourne City at AAMI Park, with kick-off set for 04:40 on Saturday 24 October.

Melbourne Victory were beaten last game and this was on the road at Hnry Stadium. Wellington Phoenix claimed a 2-1 victory. Giovanni Savarese's side enjoyed 62% possession and had three shots on target, while Charles Nduka scored the goal.

Melbourne City suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-1 scoreline occurred away from home at Go Media Stadium against Auckland. The Cranbourne East team had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and five shots on goal, while Quinn Macnicol was on the scoresheet.

H2H: Victory Claimed 3-1 Victory in Last Head-to-Head

Victory are bidding for a third successive victory against City, having previously claimed away wins of 3-1 and 1-0 at AAMI Park. We’ve seen four Victory wins, two City victories and four draws for the past 10 matches involving these teams.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Melb Victory	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	1:2	0
12	Melb City	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	1:3	0

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Victory have had 49.0% possession and 6.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.

Top scorer Charles Nduka has found the net 5 times, with Nikolaos Vergos, Nishan Velupillay and Juan Mata getting 2 each. The leading assistors have been Denis Genreau and Juan Mata with 3.

City have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.1 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 50.1% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

The top scorers have been Marcus Younis on 5, followed by Medin Memeti and Andreas Kuen with 2. Daniel Arzani and Marcus Younis have clocked up 2 assists each in the last 10 games.

Main Match Prediction

We’ve identified a value bet for this A-League showdown and you can back Over 2.5 Goals at odds of -143. We think at least three goals will be scored and the price looks really appealing on this basis.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Victory games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Victory games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 City games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 City games.

Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the A-League experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 58.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re expecting goals to be on the cards, you can include Over 2.5 Goals along with BTTS Yes. It’s a good chance to boost your price and this is available in the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Before you bet, see what free bets you can claim today. Our guide highlights the best welcome bonuses and offers available now.

Over 2.5 Goals @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 22, 10:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Victory 2 - 1 City

Victory can be backed at +650 to triumph by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthew Grimaldi Over 0.5 Shots On Target -128

Matthew Grimaldi (Victory) can be wagered at -128 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Matthew Grimaldi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

---

Charles Nduka to Score +200

Charles Nduka (Victory) has registered three goals in his past five A-League games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +200.

Latest Charles Nduka Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

City Over 4.5 Corners -130

Melbourne City have had over 4.5 corners in seven consecutive away games, while the previous 10 Melbourne Victory matches have seen them concede an average of 5.70 corners. We’re expecting plenty of City corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -130 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

12.10 6.40 5.70

Home

10.90 7.30 3.60

Away

13.90 7.00 6.90

City

Total

10.40 5.40 5.00

Home

10.50 5.50 5.00

Away

9.80 5.20 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-143

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-159

City Corners

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-115

Most Corners

1

-116

X

+650

2

+116

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Melbourne Victory as +125 favourites for this A-League encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 44% likely to triumph. The +180 means that Melbourne City are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

A win for Victory would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -105 that they overcome City going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -172.

No matter what A-League game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+255

2

+180

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+120

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-244

12

-370

X2

-167

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+104

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-105

2 Hcp +0.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+118

There is +150 available that Max Caputo finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +430.

Max Caputo (City)

First

+430

Anytime

+150

Charles Nduka (Victory)

First

+575

Anytime

+200

Guillermo May (Victory)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Medin Memeti (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+270

Awer Mabil (City)

First

+800

Anytime

+290

Keegan Jelacic (Victory)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Takeshi Kanamori (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Matthew Grimaldi (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Denis Genreau (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Emiliano Marcondes (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+330

Andrew Nabbout (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+340

Mathew Leckie (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Louis D'Arrigo (Victory)

First

+1050

Anytime

+380

Benjamin Mazzeo (City)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Lawrence Wong (City)

First

+1200

Anytime

+475

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+1300

Anytime

+475

Quinn Macnicol (City)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Harrison Shillington (Victory)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Jason Davidson (Victory)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Charles Nduka (Victory)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Guillermo May (Victory)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Denis Genreau (Victory)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Keegan Jelacic (Victory)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Matthew Grimaldi (Victory)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Medin Memeti (City)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Awer Mabil (City)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Takeshi Kanamori (City)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Andrew Nabbout (City)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Louis D'Arrigo (Victory)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Mathew Leckie (City)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Max Caputo (City)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Lawrence Wong (City)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Quinn Macnicol (City)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Harrison Shillington (Victory)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Jason Davidson (Victory)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 A-League matches only.
Victory haven’t tasted victory in three consecutive matches at AAMI Park. Giovanni Savarese's side have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

City have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The previous AAMI Park encounter involved a 2-0 City win against Victory. We’ve seen four of the previous 9 H2H meetings at AAMI Park end in a draw, with Victory winning three and City landing two victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne Victory Home Stats		4-3-3	3.00	1.90	1.10	5	5	6	4
Melbourne City Away Stats		3-4-3	3.20	1.30	1.90	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Enjoy A-League live streaming on your mobile, laptop or tablet. It’s great to watch the latest games through your online sportsbook account, with customers able to access high definition streams.

You’re never short of viewing opportunities. Check out the daily list of sporting events that are being covered through this service.

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Lineups & Team News

Melbourne Victory Team Page Melbourne City Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages