Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Apr 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory take on Wellington Phoenix at AAMI Park, with kick-off set for 01:00 on Sunday 5 April.

Backing Melbourne Victory -1 on the Asian Handicap means the insurance of money back if they beat Wellington by a single goal. However, there’s a nice return at odds of -128 if the home team win by two or more.

Melbourne Victory have enjoyed back-to-back A-League wins, most recently beating Central Coast Mariners 4-1. It was a home victory at AAMI Park. The Boys in Blue had most of the ball boasting 57% possession and twelve shots on target, with Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Nikolaos Vergos and Jason Davidson scoring one goal each.

Wellington Phoenix have won back-to-back the A-League games. The latest was away where Brisbane Roar were beaten 2-1 at Kayo Stadium. Chris Greenacre's side managed five shots on goal and had 42% possession, while Corban Piper and Ifeanyi Eze were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melbourne have four consecutive wins against Wellington. Their last encounter saw Melbourne enjoy a 3-2 away victory at Sky Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Melbourne wins, three draws and two Wellington successes.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Melb Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	11	44:33	40
8	Wellington	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	36:48	33

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 7.2 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. Victory have had 50.8% possession and 6.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.4 corners.

Top scorer is Juan Mata on 4 goals, while Charles Nduka and Clarismario Rodrigus have both racked up 3. Juan Mata is the leading assists maker on 8.

Wellington have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 8.7 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. The New Zealand outfit average 46.4% possession, 5.2 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Ifeanyi Eze is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Corban Piper and Carlo Armiento both have 2. Ramy Najjarine and Carlo Armiento have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Warshawsky (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Franco Lino, Denis Genreau, Jordi Valadon, Keegan Jelacic, Juan Mata, Nishan Velupillay, Nikolaos Vergos.

Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Josh Oluwayemi (GK), Matthew Sheridan, Bill Poni Tuiloma, Isaac Robert Hughes, Dan Edwards, Ramy Najjarine, Alex Rufer, Paulo Retre, Kazuki Nagasawa, Corban Piper, Ifeanyi Eze.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Melbourne Victory at -1 on the Asian Handicap looks like an appealing selection. We think that betting odds of -128 can be taken with confidence when it comes to this A-League match.

Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key A-League data is helpful.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Victory in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line has been covered by Victory in 2 consecutive games.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 56.2% chance of winning. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

It’s great to place a Winning Margin wager if you want an alternative to Asian Handicap. Choose whether a team will achieve a close victory or something bigger.

Discover valuable betting promo codes, welcome offers, and free bets in our updated bonus guide before you play.

Our Match Prediction

Victory Asian Hcp -1 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 3, 07:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Victory 3 - 1 Wellington

A 3-1 win in favor of Victory is available at odds of +700. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikos Vergos to Score -141

Nikos Vergos (Victory) has managed six goals in his past ten A-League home matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the -141 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Nikos Vergos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-143

First

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Wellington Over 3.5 Corners -119

Wellington have had over 3.5 corners in five consecutive games, while Melbourne Victory have had an average of 5.00 corners against them in their last 5 matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Wellington Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -119 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

11.30 6.90 4.40

Home

9.10 6.40 2.70

Away

13.20 6.60 6.60

Wellington

Total

10.40 5.20 5.20

Home

10.10 5.40 4.70

Away

9.90 4.10 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-125

Under 10.5

-114

Victory Corners

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-119

Wellington Corners

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

-111

Most Corners

1

-313

X

+800

2

+280

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 67% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Melbourne Victory are favourites to prosper in this A-League encounter and they’re available at -200 with the bookies. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +450 for Wellington Phoenix.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Wellington are +390 here and the draw is +160, with Melbourne on offer at -105.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -185 on the BTTS market.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to A-League matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-200

X

+340

2

+450

Half-Time Result

1

-105

X

+160

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-588

X2

+135

Draw No Bet

1

-526

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-130

2 Hcp +1

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-222

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-185

No

+128

Nikos Vergos is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +210. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is -143.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

-143

Anytime

+210

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+155

Anytime

+420

Denis Genreau (Victory)

First

+235

Anytime

+650

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+245

Anytime

+650

Charles Nduka (Victory)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington)

First

+275

Anytime

+750

Luke Supyk (Wellington)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Ramy Najjarine (Wellington)

First

+335

Anytime

+900

Juan Mata (Victory)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Luke Brooke-Smith (Wellington)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Corban Piper (Wellington)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Fin Conchie (Wellington)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Paulo Retre (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Gabriel Sloane-Rodrigues (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Adama Traoré (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Brendan Hamill (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Matt Sheridan (Wellington)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Alex Rufer (Wellington)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Stats: A-League matches only
Melbourne Victory haven’t been beaten in five straight games at AAMI Park. The Boys in Blue have recorded six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Wellington are unbeaten in the last three games on their travels. Chris Greenacre's side have finished with four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

The past meeting at AAMI Park saw Melbourne defeat Wellington 5-1. The past 10 H2H meetings at AAMI Park have included six Melbourne wins along with four draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne Victory Home Stats		6-2-2	3.50	2.40	1.10	6	4	7	3
Wellington Phoenix Away Stats		3-4-3	3.50	1.60	1.90	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups & Team News

The Victory vs Wellington team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the A-League along with up-to-date injury news.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Wellington Phoenix Team Page

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