Millonarios FC
Football Categoría Primera A Thu 12 Nov 16:00
Alianza Petrolera FC
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Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -109

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Under 2.5 Looks the Value Bet

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -109 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think Millonarios and Alianza Petrolera will serve up a goalfest.

Scroll down to view our Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Preview

Millonarios clash with Alianza Petrolera, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Thursday 12 November.

Millonarios were beaten last game and this was on the road. Deportes Tolima claimed a 2-1 victory.

Alianza Petrolera were beaten 2-1 in their previous game. They were turned over at home to Llaneros, making it three straight defeats.

H2H: 2-2 Draw in Pair’s Last Battle

It was a 2-2 draw between home side Alianza and Millonarios when the teams last met. Millonarios have landed victory in five of the past 10 H2H games, with Alianza securing three wins along with two draws.

Categoria Primera A G W D L GF GA GD GD P
7 Millonarios logo Millonarios 18 6 9 3 25 16 9 25:16 27
16 Alianza logo Alianza 18 5 3 10 18 31 -13 18:31 18
View Full Table

Main Match Prediction

We are expecting a low number of goals for this Primera A encounter. The odds of -109 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Millonarios games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Millonarios games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Millonarios games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Alianza games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Alianza games on the road.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Primera A insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

For those in pursuit of a larger price, there’s an opportunity to have a wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors requiring no more than one goal to be scored in order for the bet to land.

Ready to wager? Discover top betting deals and find the most valuable sportsbook promo codes in our trusted bonus guide filled with perks.

Under 2.5 Goals @ -109 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 10, 22:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 22:28, 10 November 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Millonarios Millonarios logo 2 - 0 Alianza logo Alianza

One bet that has caught our eye is Millonarios to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +380 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leonardo Fabio Castro To Score +104 BetMGM logo

Leonardo Fabio Castro (Millonarios) is available at +104 to find the net. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Leonardo Fabio Castro Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Total Goals Under 2.5 -109
Asian Handicap Millonarios -1.5 -112
Anytime Goalscorer Leonardo Fabio Castro +104

Check out our same-game multi. The selections are no more than two goals to be scored, Millonarios to cover the -1.5 Asian Handicap merged with Leonardo Fabio Castro (Millonarios) to find the net at any time.

The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bookies Running Scared of Millonarios Win

Millonarios have been priced up as the overwhelming -370 favourites for this Primera A clash. This means the bookies give them a 79% chance of claiming victory. At +950, Alianza Petrolera are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.

If you think Millonarios are going to overcome Alianza by at least two goals, then it could be worth considering them on the Asian Handicap at -112. A bet on them at -1.5 would give you a full return if they oblige.

If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -179.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Primera A games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Leonardo Fabio Castro Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Leonardo Fabio Castro is priced at +260 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +104 to find the net anytime.

Player Goals
Leonardo Fabio Castro (Millonarios)
First
+260
Anytime
+104
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Andrey Estupiñán (Millonarios)
First
+300
Anytime
+120
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Rodrigo Contreras (Millonarios)
First
+330
Anytime
+140
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Sebastián Viveros (Millonarios)
First
+450
Anytime
+175
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats
Millonarios logo Millonarios League Stats
Alianza Petrolera logo Alianza Petrolera League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Lineups & Team News

Previous Millonarios Lineups

08 Nov Categoria Primera A
Tolima 2-1 Millonarios
04 Nov Categoria Primera A
Millonarios 0-0 América de Cali
20 Oct Categoria Primera A
Millonarios 1-1 Once Caldas
17 Oct Categoria Primera A
Millonarios 4-1 Jaguares
08 Oct Categoria Primera A
Fortaleza 1-1 Millonarios
29 Sep Categoria Primera A
DIM 2-2 Millonarios

Previous Alianza Petrolera Lineups

08 Nov Categoria Primera A
Alianza 1-2 Llaneros
01 Nov Categoria Primera A
DIM 2-1 Alianza
28 Oct Categoria Primera A
Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza
25 Oct Categoria Primera A
Alianza 1-0 Inter Bogotá
19 Oct Categoria Primera A
Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Alianza
09 Oct Categoria Primera A
Alianza 2-2 Águilas Doradas
Team Squads

Millonarios Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Alberto Gamero

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Javier Burrai 1 G 18 1620 18 0 0 0 1 0
Jaine Barreiro 4 D 16 1329 15 2 0 0 2 0
Rodrigo Urena 18 M 15 1320 14 1 2 0 3 0
Sergio Mosquera 6 D 15 1316 15 1 0 1 5 0
Francisco Chaverra 13 F 16 1255 14 2 3 1 3 1

Alianza Petrolera Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Flabio Torres

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Jhildrey Lasso 33 D 17 1487 17 0 1 4 2 1
Jesus Munoz 8 F 18 1361 17 1 0 0 0 0
Jair Castillo 7 M 16 1275 15 1 1 0 4 0
Juan Viveros 32 D 16 1267 14 3 0 0 5 0
Cristian Vergara 18 D 16 1164 13 3 3 0 5 0
Colombia FlagPrimera A Table
Primera A Apertura
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Atlético Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Deportivo Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 América de Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Deportivo Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 DIM 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Águilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Boyacá Chicó 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Primera A Clausura
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Atlético Nacional 18 12 3 3 37:17 39
2 América de Cali 18 10 6 2 31:12 36
3 Deportivo Cali 18 9 7 2 26:10 34
4 Bucaramanga 18 8 8 2 30:17 32
5 Santa Fe 18 9 4 5 28:18 31
6 DIM 18 9 2 7 28:25 29
7 Millonarios 18 6 9 3 25:16 27
8 Once Caldas 18 7 6 5 22:18 27
9 Tolima 18 7 5 6 23:21 26
10 Águilas Doradas 18 6 7 5 22:21 25
11 Cucuta 18 7 3 8 19:26 24
12 Llaneros 18 7 2 9 21:24 23
13 Inter Bogotá 18 4 8 6 22:25 20
14 Junior 18 4 7 7 25:27 19
15 Boyacá Chicó 18 5 4 9 15:29 19
16 Alianza 18 5 3 10 18:31 18
17 Dep. Pereira 18 3 8 7 16:26 17
18 Deportivo Pasto 18 4 3 11 13:29 15
19 Jaguares 18 3 4 11 17:35 13
20 Fortaleza 18 1 9 8 17:28 12

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