Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 12 Nov 2026
Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Predictions
For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -109 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think Millonarios and Alianza Petrolera will serve up a goalfest.
Scroll down to view our Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Preview
Millonarios clash with Alianza Petrolera, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Thursday 12 November.
Millonarios were beaten last game and this was on the road. Deportes Tolima claimed a 2-1 victory.
Alianza Petrolera were beaten 2-1 in their previous game. They were turned over at home to Llaneros, making it three straight defeats.
H2H: 2-2 Draw in Pair’s Last Battle
It was a 2-2 draw between home side Alianza and Millonarios when the teams last met. Millonarios have landed victory in five of the past 10 H2H games, with Alianza securing three wins along with two draws.
| Categoria Primera A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Millonarios |
18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 16 | Alianza |
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 18:31 | 18 |
Main Match Prediction
We are expecting a low number of goals for this Primera A encounter. The odds of -109 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Primera A insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
For those in pursuit of a larger price, there’s an opportunity to have a wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors requiring no more than one goal to be scored in order for the bet to land.
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Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is Millonarios to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +380 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Leonardo Fabio Castro (Millonarios) is available at +104 to find the net. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are no more than two goals to be scored, Millonarios to cover the -1.5 Asian Handicap merged with Leonardo Fabio Castro (Millonarios) to find the net at any time.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Millonarios have been priced up as the overwhelming -370 favourites for this Primera A clash. This means the bookies give them a 79% chance of claiming victory. At +950, Alianza Petrolera are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.
If you think Millonarios are going to overcome Alianza by at least two goals, then it could be worth considering them on the Asian Handicap at -112. A bet on them at -1.5 would give you a full return if they oblige.
If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -179.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Primera A games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
Leonardo Fabio Castro is priced at +260 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +104 to find the net anytime.
- Categoria Primera A: 03/05 2026 Alianza Petrolera 2 Millonarios 2
- Categoria Primera A: 13/09 2025 Alianza Petrolera 3 Millonarios 0
- Categoria Primera A: 30/03 2025 Millonarios 2 Alianza Petrolera 0
- Categoria Primera A: 29/07 2024 Alianza Petrolera 2 Millonarios 1
- Categoria Primera A: 01/02 2024 Millonarios 1 Alianza Petrolera 1
- Categoria Primera A: 30/07 2023 Alianza Petrolera 1 Millonarios 0
- Categoria Primera A: 11/05 2023 Millonarios 3 Alianza Petrolera 1
- Categoria Primera A: 30/10 2022 Alianza Petrolera 2 Millonarios 4
- Categoria Primera A: 15/05 2022 Millonarios 1 Alianza Petrolera 0
- Categoria Primera A: 12/12 2021 Alianza Petrolera 0 Millonarios 1
Millonarios League Stats
Alianza Petrolera League Stats
- 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Millonarios this season are Rodrigo Contreras (8), Leonardo Castro (7), Beckham Castro (3)
- Top Assistors for Millonarios this season are Beckham Castro (4), Sebastian Viveros (4), Rodrigo Urena (3)
Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera Lineups & Team News
Previous Millonarios Lineups
Previous Alianza Petrolera Lineups
Millonarios Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alberto Gamero
Alianza Petrolera Player Stats & Squad
Primera A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | DIM | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Boyacá Chicó | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | América de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | DIM | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Boyacá Chicó | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Dep. Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | 12 |
Deportivo Pereira
América de Cali
Predictions
16:00 - Thu 12 Nov
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Categoría Primera A
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Predictions
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Millonarios
Alianza