Monaco vs PSG Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Feb 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Monaco vs PSG

French Ligue 1 sides Monaco and PSG lock horns at Stade Louis II in the first leg of this Champions League play-off tie, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 17 February.

We’re expecting Monaco to give a good account of themselves against the defending Champions League champions PSG and you can get Asian Handicap odds of -106 about the underdogs with a +1 goal start. It means a return if Les Monégasques win or draw the game and money back if they lose by one.

Monaco were winners last time out. Landing a 3-1 Ligue 1 home victory against Nantes at Stade Louis II. Sebastien Pocognoli's side enjoyed 47% possession and had six shots on target, while Simon Adingra bagged two goals and Denis Zakaria scored the other.

Paris Saint-Germain lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 3-1 Ligue 1 defeat against Rennes at Roazhon Park. Les Parisiens had seven shots on goal and enjoyed 68% possession, while Ousmane Dembele found the net.

In their last Champions League games, Monaco drew 0-0 at home to Juventus, while PSG were held to a 1-1 draw at home to Newcastle United.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Monaco who came out on top when they last played PSG. At Stade Louis II, a 1-0 Ligue 1 home win was recorded. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in four wins apiece along with two draws.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	21:11	14
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	8:14	10

View Full Table

Monaco have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Les Monégasques have averaged 49.2% possession, 427.7 passes and 6.3 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 3.9 corners from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts.

The three top scorers are Simon Adingra, Ansu Fati and Mamadou Coulibaly, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Aleksandr Golovin is the top assists maker on 3, with goalkeepers Philipp Koehn and Lukas Hradecky managing 5 clean sheets between them.

PSG have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 19.2 attempts, 6.7 shots on goal and 1.9 goals. Luis Enrique's men average 65.2% possession, 647.6 passes, 6.3 corners awarded and 2.8 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts.

Ousmane Dembele has scored 6, followed by Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola and Desire Doue with 2 goals apiece. Ousmane Dembele has clocked up 3 assists, with Matvey Safonov and Lucas Chevalier collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Monaco confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Philipp Koehn (GK), Vanderson, Jordan Teze, Wout Faes, Caio Henrique, Lamine Camara, Denis Zakaria, Maghnes Akliouche, Aleksandr Golovin, Simon Adingra, Folarin Balogun.

PSG confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matvey Safonov (GK), Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Joao Neves, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembele, Bradley Barcola.

Monaco vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Monaco vs PSG, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’re backing Monaco +1 for this Champions League game at -106. We will see a nice return from this bet if the underdogs manage to win or draw and we think they are more than capable of a positive result.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Champions League data.

Key Monaco vs PSG Champions League & league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Monaco in 5 consecutive games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Monaco in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Monaco in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by PSG in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by PSG in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by Monaco in 6 of their last 10 games against PSG.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 51.5% chance of landing a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Monaco Asian Hcp +1 @ -106 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 15, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Monaco 1 - 1 PSG

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +850 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Folarin Balogun Over 2.5 Shots +133

Folarin Balogun (Monaco) has had over 2.5 shots in seven of his past ten games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get +133 that he goes over the line.

Latest Folarin Balogun Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+900

Shots

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

---

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia To Score +170

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) can be wagered to score at +170. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.

Latest Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+130

First

+390

Shots

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Monaco Over 3.5 Corners -111

In their past ten games, Monaco have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous two PSG away matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We’re happy to back the -111 when it comes to Monaco covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Monaco

Total

10.20 6.30 3.90

Home

8.00 5.20 2.80

Away

9.90 4.70 5.20

PSG

Total

9.10 6.30 2.80

Home

8.80 6.40 2.40

Away

9.90 6.60 3.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-120

Monaco Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-143

PSG Corners

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+270

X

+700

2

-286

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Monaco vs PSG Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the betting odds, Paris Saint-Germain are major -270 favourites with the bookies to triumph and that means a 73% chance of winning this Champions League clash. If you’re searching for a different slant, outsiders Monaco are available at +650.

PSG can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -127. However, Monaco are +460 and the draw is +188 if you want to take a different option.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -182.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Champions League game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+650

X

+440

2

-270

Half-Time Result

1

+460

X

+188

2

-127

Double Chance

1X

+195

12

-667

X2

-1111

Draw No Bet

1

+400

2

-833

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.5

-119

2 Hcp -1.5

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+210

Over 2.5

-270

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+140

Those interested in favourite Ousmane Dembélé to find the net first are able to get +330. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is -105.

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

First

-105

Anytime

+330

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

First

+130

Anytime

+390

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

First

+135

Anytime

+400

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

First

+150

Anytime

+450

Désiré Doué (PSG)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Quentin Ndjantou (PSG)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Joao Neves (PSG)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Mika Biereth (Monaco)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Folarin Balogun (Monaco)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Ansu Fati (Monaco)

First

+330

Anytime

+1000

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

First

+350

Anytime

+1100

Maghnes Akliouche (Monaco)

First

+360

Anytime

+1200

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

First

+360

Anytime

+1200

Vitinha (PSG)

First

+380

Anytime

+1200

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Simon Adingra (Monaco)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Denis Zakaria (Monaco)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Mamadou Coulibaly (Monaco)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Stanis Idumbo Muzambo (Monaco)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Illia Zabarnyi (PSG)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Aleksandr Golovin (Monaco)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Willian Pacho (PSG)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Marquinhos (PSG)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Beraldo (PSG)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Hernández (PSG)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Désiré Doué (PSG)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Mika Biereth (Monaco)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Folarin Balogun (Monaco)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Simon Adingra (Monaco)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (PSG)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Maghnes Akliouche (Monaco)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Ansu Fati (Monaco)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Joao Neves (PSG)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Denis Zakaria (Monaco)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Mamadou Coulibaly (Monaco)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Illia Zabarnyi (PSG)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Aleksandr Golovin (Monaco)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Willian Pacho (PSG)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Marquinhos (PSG)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Monaco Stats

PSG Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 2.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 49.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 65.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 67.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches

Monaco vs PSG Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Monaco vs PSG team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Champions League along with up-to-date injury news.

Top Football Pages