Nacional vs Alverca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Apr 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Alverca
Nacional take on Alverca at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 18 April.
We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Nacional to land a victory, with odds of +120 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Alverca over ninety minutes.
Nacional were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Benfica at Estadio da Luz. Tiago Margarido's side had 42% possession and totalled four shots on target.
Alverca claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 3-1 triumph against Casa Pia at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca made it back-to-back Primeira Liga wins. The Alverca do Ribatejo outfit had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 60% possession and five shots on goal, with Lucas Figueiredo, Chiquinho and Rhaldney Norberto all on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Alverca had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca, they recorded a 1-0 home win over Nacional.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Alverca |
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 15 | Nacional |
29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 31:41 | 25 |
1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Nacional have had 47.7% possession, 353.2 passes and 4.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts, while being awarded 6.6 corners.
Paulinho Boia is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Jesus Ramirez, Miguel Baeza and Alan Nunez each have 1. Leonardo Santos, Alan Nunez and Andre Sousa have the most assists with 1, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Alverca have 2 victories, 2 defeats and 6 draws, averaging 11.4 attempts, 3.9 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Villains average 47.9% possession, 370.1 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts.
Lucas Figueiredo has scored 4, followed by Marko Milovanovic on 3 and Sandro Lima with 2. Chiquinho and Lincoln have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Andre Gomes has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Núñez, Léo Santos, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Gabriel Veron, Jesús Ramírez, Witi.
Alverca predicted lineup (3-4-3): Mateus (GK), Kaiky Naves, Sergi Gomez, Bastien Meupiyou, Nabil Touaizi, Rhaldney, Lincoln, Isaac James, Lucas Figueiredo, Sandro Lima, Chiquinho.
Nacional vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full Nacional vs Alverca betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
Nacional look like an attractive bet at +120 and we think they can win this Primeira Liga clash. We’ll place this wager with confidence and there’s plenty of juice in the available price.
Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Primeira Liga stats.
Key Nacional vs Alverca league stats:
The top betting apps make it a 45.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 50-55%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Want to back Nacional for the win but in search of larger odds? How about taking the bigger Double Result price when it comes to our pick leading at both half-time and full-time.
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Correct Score Prediction
You can secure odds of +575 that Nacional are able to land a 2-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.
Player Prop Picks
Lucas Figueiredo (Alverca) has managed three goals in his past five Primeira Liga games away from home. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +310.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past five Alverca away matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 12.00 corners in the previous five Nacional games. There are odds of -141 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.
Nacional
Alverca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a same-game multi that incorporates Nacional to succeed, Yes on the BTTS market accompanied by Lucas Figueiredo (Alverca) to score.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Nacional vs Alverca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Primeira Liga clash, Nacional are the +120 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 45% chance of winning. The +210 means that Alverca are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
There are various ways to back Nacional and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -115 currently available that they beat Alverca and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. BTTS Yes is available at -149 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Primeira Liga matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Those interested in favourite Jesus Ramírez Díaz to find the net first are able to get +300. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +130.
Nacional have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
Alverca have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous four matches. The Alverca do Ribatejo outfit have recorded five defeats, three draws and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nacional Home Stats |
3-2-5 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
Alverca Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.90 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Nacional League Stats
Alverca League Stats
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 6.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 6.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 39.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Jesus Ramirez (14), Paulinho Boia (4), Ze Vitor (4)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Jose Gomes (4), Liziero (4), Alan Nunez (2)
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Nacional vs Alverca Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Nacional vs Alverca team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest injury reports.
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Alverca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tiago Margarido
Alverca Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 44:30 | 46 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 9 | Vitória | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | 32 |
| 13 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | 28 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21:46 | 21 |
| 18 | AVS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | 12 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 29:6 | 36 |
| 2 | Benfica | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 35:10 | 35 |
| 3 | Sporting | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 40:6 | 34 |
| 4 | Braga | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:10 | 27 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 27 |
| 7 | Vitória | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Estoril | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28:22 | 23 |
| 9 | Alverca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Arouca | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:27 | 18 |
| 12 | Estrela | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 13:16 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19:21 | 14 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | AVS | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11:25 | 8 |
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