Nacional vs Estoril Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2026
Nacional vs Estoril Predictions
Nacional +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -167. They should be able to avoid defeat against Estoril, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.
This Nacional vs Estoril betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Nacional vs Estoril Preview
Nacional go head-to-head with Estoril at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 16 August.
Nacional played out a 2-2 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Estadio do Sao Miguel against Santa Clara. The Madeira team had 49% possession and recorded four shots on target, while Liziero and Miguel Baeza each scored one goal.
Estoril Praia hosted Famalicão at Antonio Coimbra da Mota in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. The Canaries had 50% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Yanis Begraoui found the net.
Estoril Won 1-0 in Teams’ Last Encounter
Estoril have not lost to Nacional in the past four meetings. Their last clash took place at Estadio da Madeira, with Estoril winning 1-0 away. The past 4 H2H meetings have featured two Estoril wins and two draws.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nacional |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. Nacional have had 49.1% possession, 335.0 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 6.8 corners.
Top scorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 5 times, with Liziero, Miguel Baeza, Filipe Soares and Paulinho Boia getting 1 goals each. Witi, Daniel and Jose Gomes have the most assists with 1, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded 4 clean sheets.
Estoril have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Cascais club average 52.5% possession, 448.6 passes, 4.6 corners taken and 5.6 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.1 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.
Yanis Begraoui has scored 4 goals, followed by Peixinho, Andre Lacximicant, Xeka and Ferro on 1. Joao Carvalho has clocked up 2 assists, with Joel Robles keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Nacional predicted lineup (3-4-3): Renato Marin (GK), Léo Santos, Matheus Dias, Zé Vítor, Wesley Gasolina, Joel Silva, Liziero, Markus Jensen, Miguel Baeza, Pablo Ruan, Daniel Júnior.
Estoril predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Joel Robles (GK), Ricard Sánchez, Ferro, Ismael Sierra, Fernando Medrano, Xeka, Antef Tsoungui, Rafik Guitane, João Carvalho, André Lacximicant, Yanis Begraoui.
Main Match Prediction
Nacional look capable of winning this Primeira Liga encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -167 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.
Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Primeira Liga data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 62.5% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take Nacional to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.
Discover top betting offers to power your next wager, including free bets, welcome bonuses, and exciting new promos.
Correct Score Prediction
Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Nacional which is available at odds of +600. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.
Player Prop Picks
Pereira Liziero (Nacional) can be wagered at +390 to be among the goals. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past six Estoril away games has seen the 10.5 Total Corners line not covered, with three straight Nacional matches having the same outcome. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back the teams to go under the Total Corners line at a price of -118.
Nacional
Estoril
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of Nacional with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, two or less goals to be scored accompanied by Pereira Liziero (Nacional) to find the net at any time.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Nacional vs Estoril Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Nacional are +150 with the bookies to get the better of Estoril Praia, with the latter having the same betting odds. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this Primeira Liga clash, this can be wagered at +220.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Estoril available at -120 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Nacional at -119.
The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Over and Under 2.5 Goals available at similar odds. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -154.
The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primeira Liga match and take your pick.
There’s the chance to back Yanis Begraoui at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Nacional have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Estoril haven’t triumphed in four straight games on the road. The Canaries have five defeats, three wins and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
The last Estadio da Madeira meeting saw Estoril beat Nacional 1-0.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nacional Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Estoril Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.20 | 1.50 | 1.70 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Nacional League Stats
Estoril League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 6.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
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Nacional vs Estoril Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Nacional vs Estoril before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.
Nacional Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Estoril Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Estoril Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Estoril Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Joao Giao
Estoril Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Marítimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Viseu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Marítimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Vitória | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
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