Nacional vs Estoril Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2026

Nacional vs Estoril Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Nacional Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -167

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Nacional +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -167. They should be able to avoid defeat against Estoril, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

This Nacional vs Estoril betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Nacional vs Estoril Preview

Nacional go head-to-head with Estoril at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 16 August.

Nacional played out a 2-2 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Estadio do Sao Miguel against Santa Clara. The Madeira team had 49% possession and recorded four shots on target, while Liziero and Miguel Baeza each scored one goal.

Estoril Praia hosted Famalicão at Antonio Coimbra da Mota in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. The Canaries had 50% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Yanis Begraoui found the net.

H2H: Estoril Won 1-0 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Estoril have not lost to Nacional in the past four meetings. Their last clash took place at Estadio da Madeira, with Estoril winning 1-0 away. The past 4 H2H meetings have featured two Estoril wins and two draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	9	18	-9	9:18	4
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4	12	-8	4:12	2

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. Nacional have had 49.1% possession, 335.0 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 6.8 corners.

Top scorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 5 times, with Liziero, Miguel Baeza, Filipe Soares and Paulinho Boia getting 1 goals each. Witi, Daniel and Jose Gomes have the most assists with 1, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Estoril have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Cascais club average 52.5% possession, 448.6 passes, 4.6 corners taken and 5.6 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.1 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Yanis Begraoui has scored 4 goals, followed by Peixinho, Andre Lacximicant, Xeka and Ferro on 1. Joao Carvalho has clocked up 2 assists, with Joel Robles keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Renato Marin (GK), Leonardo Santos, Matheus Dias, Ze Vitor, Wesley, Liziero, Filipe Soares, Markus Gustav Jensen, Miguel Baeza, Pablo Ruan, Daniel.

Estoril confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Joel Robles (GK), Ricard Sanchez, Ferro, Ismael Sierra, Fernando Medrano, Antef Tsoungui, Xeka, Rafik Guitane, Joao Carvalho, Andre Lacximicant, Yanis Begraoui.

Main Match Prediction

Nacional look capable of winning this Primeira Liga encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -167 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estoril in 9 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estoril in 13 of their last 17 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estoril in 14 of their last 20 games.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Primeira Liga data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 62.5% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take Nacional to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

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Nacional Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -167 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 14, 16:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 1 - 0 Estoril

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Nacional which is available at odds of +600. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pereira Liziero To Score +390

Pereira Liziero (Nacional) can be wagered at +390 to be among the goals. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Pereira Liziero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -118

All of the past six Estoril away games has seen the 10.5 Total Corners line not covered, with three  straight Nacional matches having the same outcome. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back the teams to go under the Total Corners line at a price of -118.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

11.50 4.70 6.80

Home

10.80 5.00 5.80

Away

10.60 4.00 6.60

Estoril

Total

10.20 4.60 5.60

Home

10.30 4.70 5.60

Away

8.70 3.80 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-122

Under 10.5

-118

Nacional Corners

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-154

Estoril Corners

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+650

2

-102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Estoril Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Nacional are +150 with the bookies to get the better of Estoril Praia, with the latter having the same betting odds. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this Primeira Liga clash, this can be wagered at +220.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Estoril available at -120 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Nacional at -119.

The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Over and Under 2.5 Goals available at similar odds. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -154.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primeira Liga match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+220

2

+150

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+115

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-233

12

-370

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-119

2

-120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-167

2 Hcp -0.25

+114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-119

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+107

There’s the chance to back Yanis Begraoui at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril)

First

+330

Anytime

+140

Stavros Gavriel (Nacional)

First

+550

Anytime

+235

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+850

Anytime

+390

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+390

Rafik Guitane (Estoril)

First

+900

Anytime

+410

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+1050

Anytime

+460

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+1200

Anytime

+540

Ricard Sánchez (Estoril)

First

+1200

Anytime

+540

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Fernando Medrano (Estoril)

First

+1700

Anytime

+800

Jandro Orellana (Estoril)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Stelios Andreou (Estoril)

First

+1900

Anytime

+900

Pedro Carvalho (Estoril)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Daniel de la Cruz (Nacional)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1000

Ferro (Estoril)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Gasolina (Nacional)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Nacional have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Estoril haven’t triumphed in four straight games on the road. The Canaries have five defeats, three wins and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

The last Estadio da Madeira meeting saw Estoril beat Nacional 1-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		4-2-4	2.30	1.40	0.90	4	6	3	7
Estoril Away Stats		3-2-5	3.20	1.50	1.70	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Estoril Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Nacional vs Estoril before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.

Nacional Team Page Estoril Team Page

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