Nacional vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Vitória

Nacional meet Vitória at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 16 May.

We’ll take the plunge and back Nacional to secure victory when they go up against Vitória. There’s plenty of confidence behind this Full-Time Result wager and the odds of -111 look attractive.

Nacional have lost back-to-back Primeira Liga games. Away at Estadio do Sao Miguel, Santa Clara recently beat them 2-0. The Madeira side enjoyed 59% possession and managed one shot on target.

Vitória de Guimarães have suffered back-to-back Primeira Liga defeats, recently being beaten at home by Casa Pia 1-0 at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Conquerors dominated possession with 71% of the ball and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vitória have claimed back-to-back wins over Nacional. There was a 2-1 home victory at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques after a 2-1 away success at Estadio da Madeira. We’ve seen the previous 5 H2H games involve three triumphs for Vitória, one draw and one win for Nacional.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Vitória	33	12	6	15	39	49	-10	39:49	42
14	Nacional	33	8	7	18	35	45	-10	35:45	31

View Full Table

Nacional have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Tiago Margarido's team have averaged 49.9% possession, 353.8 passes and 5.1 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 6.8 corners.

Top scorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 3 times, Paulinho Boia 2, with Filipe Soares and Miguel Baeza both scoring 1. Daniel, Jose Gomes and Leonardo Santos have the most assists with 1, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Vitória have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.2 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.5% possession, 432.4 passes, 4.1 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 10.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Samu has landed 4 goals, Gustavo Silva 3, with Tony Strata and two others scoring 1. Goncalo Nogueira has been chief assist maker on 2, with Charles recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Léo Santos, Chico Gonçalves, Jose Gomes, Filipe Soares, Matheus Dias, Witi, Daniel Júnior, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez.

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Charles Marcelo (GK), Tony Strata, Óscar Rivas, Rodrigo Abascal, Francisco Dias, Goncalo Nogueira, Beni Mukendi, Miguel Nogueira, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Gustavo Silva.

Nacional vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Nacional vs Vitória betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

Nacional can’t be ignored when they play this Primeira Liga clash, especially as odds of -111 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Primeira Liga form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key Nacional vs Vitória league stats:

• Vitória have lost 11 of their last 18 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost their last 2 games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are some different ways to back Nacional if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Match Prediction

Nacional To Win @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 19:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 2 - 1 Vitória

We’re going for Nacional at +550 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: José Manuel Mendes Gomes To Score +750

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional) is available to be among the goals at +750. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest José Manuel Mendes Gomes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+1800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Over 4.5 Corners -118

Vitória have covered the 4.5 corners line in two straight games, while Nacional have conceded an average of 8.20 corners in the past 5 games. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Vitória to cover the Team Corners line, with -118 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

11.90 5.10 6.80

Home

11.30 5.10 6.20

Away

10.90 3.80 7.10

Vitória

Total

9.50 4.10 5.40

Home

8.70 3.90 4.80

Away

8.00 4.50 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-133

Nacional Corners

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-135

Vitória Corners

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-135

X

+650

2

+135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Vitória Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Nacional are forecasted to have a 53% chance of triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -111. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +270 about Vitória de Guimarães.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Nacional are -118 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Vitória +0.5 at -120 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -167 for the BTTS Yes option.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Primeira Liga game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

-111

X

+250

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+133

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-400

X2

-128

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+165

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-118

2 Hcp +0.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+116

Jesus Ramírez Díaz is priced at +260 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +104 to find the net anytime.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+104

Anytime

+260

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Miguel Nobrega (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Rodrigo Abascal (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nacional have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Vitória have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.10.

The past meeting at Estadio da Madeira saw Vitória defeat Nacional 2-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		4-2-4	2.50	1.50	1.00	5	5	4	6
Vitória Away Stats		2-2-6	3.10	1.00	2.10	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Nacional vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

The latest Nacional vs Vitória team news could impact your bets — review it first. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Nacional Team Page Vitória de Guimarães Team Page

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