Nacional vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Vitória

Survival hopefuls Nacional meet Vitória at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 16 May.

We’ll take the plunge and back Nacional to secure victory when they go up against Vitória. There’s plenty of confidence behind this Full-Time Result wager and the odds of -111 look attractive.

Nacional have lost back-to-back Primeira Liga games. Away at Estadio do Sao Miguel, Santa Clara recently beat them 2-0. The Madeira side enjoyed 59% possession and managed one shot on target.

Vitória de Guimarães have suffered back-to-back Primeira Liga defeats, recently being beaten at home by Casa Pia 1-0 at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Conquerors dominated possession with 71% of the ball and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vitória have claimed back-to-back wins over Nacional. There was a 2-1 home victory at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques after a 2-1 away success at Estadio da Madeira. We’ve seen the previous 5 H2H games involve three triumphs for Vitória, one draw and one win for Nacional.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Vitória	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Nacional have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Tiago Margarido's team have averaged 49.9% possession, 353.8 passes and 5.1 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 6.8 corners.

Top scorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 3 times, Paulinho Boia 2, with Filipe Soares and Miguel Baeza both scoring 1. Daniel, Jose Gomes and Leonardo Santos have the most assists with 1, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Vitória have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.2 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.5% possession, 432.4 passes, 4.1 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 10.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Samu has landed 4 goals, Gustavo Silva 3, with Tony Strata and two others scoring 1. Goncalo Nogueira has been chief assist maker on 2, with Charles recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Nunez, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Filipe Soares, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Witi, Jesus Ramirez, Paulinho Boia.

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Charles (GK), Maga, Thiago Balieiro, Rodrigo Abascal, Francisco Dias, Goncalo Nogueira, Ricardo Rocha, Telmo Arcanjo, Samu, Oumar Camara, Gustavo Silva.

Nacional vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Nacional vs Vitória betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

Nacional can’t be ignored when they play this Primeira Liga clash, especially as odds of -111 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Primeira Liga form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key Nacional vs Vitória league stats:

• Vitória have lost 11 of their last 18 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost their last 2 games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are some different ways to back Nacional if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Match Prediction

Nacional To Win @ -111 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 14, 19:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 2 - 1 Vitória

We’re going for Nacional at +550 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: José Manuel Mendes Gomes To Score +750

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional) is available to be among the goals at +750. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest José Manuel Mendes Gomes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Over 4.5 Corners -118

Vitória have covered the 4.5 corners line in two straight games, while Nacional have conceded an average of 8.20 corners in the past 5 games. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Vitória to cover the Team Corners line, with -118 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

11.90 5.10 6.80

Home

11.30 5.10 6.20

Away

10.90 3.80 7.10

Vitória

Total

9.50 4.10 5.40

Home

8.70 3.90 4.80

Away

8.00 4.50 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-133

Nacional Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-149

Vitória Corners

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-109

Most Corners

1

-118

X

+650

2

+118

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Vitória Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Nacional are forecasted to have a 49% chance of triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being +105. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +230 about Vitória de Guimarães.

If Nacional and Vitória play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -133.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -172 for the BTTS Yes option.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Primeira Liga game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+240

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+130

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-385

X2

-152

Draw No Bet

1

-204

2

+138

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-133

2 Hcp +0.25

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+120

Jesus Ramírez Díaz is priced at +270 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +110 to find the net anytime.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+270

Anytime

+110

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+525

Anytime

+210

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+525

Anytime

+215

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+330

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+335

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+410

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+950

Anytime

+420

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+1150

Anytime

+460

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+460

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+1050

Anytime

+460

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Rodrigo Abascal (Vitória)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Miguel Nobrega (Vitória)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Nacional have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Vitória have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.10.

The past meeting at Estadio da Madeira saw Vitória defeat Nacional 2-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		4-2-4	2.50	1.50	1.00	5	5	4	6
Vitória Away Stats		2-2-6	3.10	1.00	2.10	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

The latest Nacional vs Vitória team news could impact your bets — review it first. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Nacional Team Page Vitória de Guimarães Team Page

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