Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Jan 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Napoli vs Chelsea

Italian Serie A side Napoli host Premier League club Chelsea at Diego Armando Maradona on the final matchday of the UCL league phase, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 28 January.

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Napoli +0.25 at -119 against Chelsea. We need I Partenopei to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

Former Chelsea manager Antonio Conte leads Napoli, who sit 25th in the Champions League standings and need a win to avoid elimination, while Chelsea realistically require victory to secure a top-eight finish and direct qualification for the knockout stage.

Napoli suffered a defeat in their last game. A 3–0 Serie A loss occurred on the road against Juventus at Allianz Stadium. The Naples team had most of the ball boasting 58% possession and one shot on target.

Chelsea claimed a 3–1 Premier League victory away to Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in their previous game. The Blues enjoyed 57% possession and managed five shots on goal, with Estevao, Joao Pedro and Enzo Fernandez finding the net.

Chelsea star Cole Palmer, who has faced recent fitness issues and has been linked with a move to Manchester United, trained on Tuesday morning and travelled to Naples. Head coach Liam Rosenior confirmed Palmer is available for the match against Napoli.

In their most recent Champions League matches, Napoli were held to a 1-1 draw away to Danish Superliga outfit FC Copenhagen, while there was a 1-0 Chelsea win at home to Cypriot First Division side Pafos.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17	10	7	17:10	16
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	9:15	8

View Full Table

Napoli have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. I Partenopei have averaged 60.5% possession, 584.4 passes and 5.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 1.9 corners.

Scott McTominay leads the way with 4 goals, Rasmus Hoejlund has 2, with Stanislav Lobotka and two others on 1. Eljif Elmas, Noa Lang and Matteo Politano have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic has kept 4 clean sheets.

Chelsea have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 13.0 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The West London side average 54.8% possession, 515.9 passes, 6.7 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.

Joao Pedro is top scorer on 5, with Enzo Fernandez and Cole Palmer next on 3. Reece James has had 2 assists, with Robert Sanchez notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Napoli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Juan Jesus, Alessandro Buongiorno, Leonardo Spinazzola, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Mathias Olivera, Antonio Vergara, Eljif Elmas, Rasmus Hoejlund.

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Marc Cucurella, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Estevao, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro.

Napoli vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Napoli vs Chelsea picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

Napoli look a good bet in this Champions League clash and we can back them at -119 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Champions League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Napoli vs Chelsea Champions League & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Napoli in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Chelsea in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling goals. Choose how many goals to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Napoli Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -119 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 26, 21:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 2 - 1 Chelsea

We’re betting on Napoli to secure a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +900 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alejandro Garnacho Over 1.5 Shots -133

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea) has covered the 1.5 shots total in three straight games on the road. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -133 are now available.

Latest Alejandro Garnacho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Shots

Over 1.5

-217

Under 1.5

-

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Scott McTominay to Score +300

Scott McTominay (Napoli) has netted three goals in his past five games. We’ll throw a dart at +300 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Scott McTominay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Napoli To Have Most Corners +102

Napoli have won the Corner Match Bet in eight straight home games. Napoli should be capable of winning this Corner Match Bet and the odds of +102 look value.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

7.60 5.70 1.90

Home

8.20 5.50 2.70

Away

7.50 5.00 2.50

Chelsea

Total

11.70 6.70 5.00

Home

11.00 7.70 3.30

Away

9.10 5.10 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-120

Napoli Corners

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-133

Chelsea Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-104

Most Corners

1

+120

X

+600

2

-115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Napoli vs Chelsea Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an approximate 50% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -100 betting odds for Chelsea triumphing in this Champions League encounter. If you want to wager on the underdog, Napoli have been priced up at +260.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Napoli are +150 here. However, if you want to back favourites Chelsea, then -217 is on offer.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -154.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the best sports betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Champions League match, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+260

X

+265

2

-100

Half-Time Result

1

+285

X

+130

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-130

12

-357

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+150

2

-217

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-122

2 Hcp -0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+117

Rasmus Højlund is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +525, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

David Neres (Napoli)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Noa Lang (Napoli)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+102

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-105

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-111

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-118

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-122

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-141

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-149

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-154

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-175

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-189

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-182

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-222

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-217

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-217

Under 1.5

-

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Napoli Stats

Chelsea Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 1.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 54.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Napoli vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Napoli vs Chelsea before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League along with the latest injury news.

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