Necaxa vs León Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Aug 2026
Necaxa vs León Predictions
Necaxa could land the money against León and we’ll take this pick on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of +125 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
Continue reading for our full Necaxa vs León betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Necaxa vs León Preview
Necaxa welcome León to Estadio Victoria, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Monday 17 August.
Club Necaxa have secured back-to-back Liga MX home wins. Their last league game was on the road and a 3-1 defeat occurred against Deportivo Toluca at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Martin Varini's side ended up with just 34% possession and had two shots on target, with Julian Carranza registering the goal.
Club León won their previous game, beating Pachuca at home. It was a 1-0 win at Estadio Nou Camp. La Fiera had 51% possession and recorded two shots on goal, with Daniel Arcila on target late in the first half.
H2H: 2-1 Triumph for León in Last H2H
León have won the last two clashes against Necaxa. A 2-1 win when hosting at Estadio Nou Camp came after a 1-0 away victory at Estadio Victoria. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H matches feature six León wins, two draws and two Necaxa triumphs.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  León |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 17 |  Necaxa |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15:23 | 9 |
Club Necaxa have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. The Aguascalientes outfit have averaged 49.4% possession and 4.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 4.8 corners.
The three top scorers are Julian Carranza, Tomas Badaloni and Javier Ruiz, with these players all scoring 3 goals. The top assist makers are Alexis Pena, Francisco Mendez and Mauro Zaleta, all of whom have 1 on the board.
Club León have 5 victories and 5 defeats, averaging 4.5 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 1.4 goals. Ignacio Ambriz's team average 43.5% possession, 4.8 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 9.1 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
Diber Cambindo is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Daniel Arcila and Ismael Diaz have 3. Ismael Diaz has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Necaxa confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Luis Jimenez (GK), Kaiky Naves, Alexis Pena, Francisco Mendez, Ricardo Monreal, Danny Leyva, Lorenzo Faravelli, Carlos Vargas, Matias Espindola, Javier Ruiz, Juan Valencia.
León confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Oscar Garcia (GK), Ivan Moreno, Jhohan Romana, Juan Guevara, Sebastian Vegas, Jose Rodriguez, Jordi Cortizo, Rodrigo Echeverria, Fernando Beltran, Daniel Arcila, Diber Cambindo.
Main Match Prediction
There are several reasons to back Necaxa, especially considering that you can get value odds of +125. We think that the favourites will have too much in hand for this Liga MX encounter.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Liga MX form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.
The best betting sites make it a 44.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 50% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There are lots of different betting options when it comes to backing Rayos to win. This includes Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score, with bigger odds available.
Give your wagers a boost. Explore our bonus guide for the latest free bets, welcome bonuses and promo codes.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
León
We’re going for Necaxa at +700 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Ricardo Monreal (Necaxa) is available to record one or more shots on goal at +125. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.
Javier Ruiz (Necaxa) has netted three goals in his past eight Liga MX home games. There are odds of +270 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Each of the previous four León matches have featured under 10.5 corners. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -127.
Necaxa
León
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: Necaxa to come out on top, Under 2.5 merged with Ricardo Monreal (Necaxa) to record one or more shots on target.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Necaxa vs León Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The favourites are 44% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Club Necaxa being priced at +128 to come away with a victory in this Liga MX encounter. Club León are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +175.
If Necaxa only draw with León, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -102 if they’re able to land a victory.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -200.
For those wagering on Liga MX matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.
There’s the chance to back Jose Alvarado at +480 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
Necaxa are unbeaten over their previous six games at Estadio Victoria. Martin Varini's side have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
León have finished with seven defeats, two wins and one draw in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.10.
When the teams previously met at Estadio Victoria, León defeated Necaxa 1-0. In the past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Victoria, León have won five and Necaxa have triumphed in the remainder.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 2.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| León Away Stats |
2-1-7 | 2.90 | 0.80 | 2.10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 01/03 2026 León 2 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 16/08 2025 Necaxa 0 León 1
- Liga MX: 15/03 2025 Necaxa 2 León 1
- Liga MX: 22/07 2024 León 1 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 01/04 2024 Necaxa 1 León 2
- Liga MX: 03/09 2023 León 1 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 17/01 2023 León 2 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 03/09 2022 Necaxa 3 León 2
- Liga MX: 26/02 2022 Necaxa 0 León 1
- Liga MX: 07/11 2021 León 3 Necaxa 0
Necaxa League Stats
León League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Necaxa this season are Julian Carranza (3), Juan Valencia (1), Miguel Pedroza (1)
- Top Assistors for Necaxa this season are Alexis Pena (1), Francisco Mendez (1), Julian Carranza (1)
Necaxa vs León Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Rayos vs León without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
León Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
León Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Necaxa Substitutes
- 1Christopher Andrade
- 11Juan Pablo Torres
- 13Owen Gonzalez
- 14Mauro Zaleta
- 15Diego Ochoa
- 16Pedro Pedraza
- 17Rogelio Cortez
- 27Miguel Pedroza
- 33Raul Martinez
- 99Miguel Rodriguez
León Substitutes
- 4Bryan Colula
- 8Juan Dominguez
- 12Julio Gonzalez
- 19Jose Alvarado
- 22Sebastian Santos
- 25Paul Bellon
- 26Salvador Reyes
- 35Luis Valadez
- 185Christopher Mora
- 203Jesus Lara
Previous Necaxa Lineups
Previous León Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Necaxa Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Martin Varini
León Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 20 |
| 3 | Querétaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 5 | León | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 17 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | 13 |
| 15 | San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:23 | 9 |
| 18 | Juárez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | León | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 3 | América | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Tigres | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 7 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Querétaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlante | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Pumas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 | San Luis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Juárez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 18 | Pachuca | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 3 |
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