New York City vs Chicago Fire Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jul 2026
New York City vs Chicago Fire Predictions
New York City and Chicago should be able to score at least three goals. For this reason, we’re betting on the Total Goals market and selecting Over 2.5 at -154 which will give us a nice payout if the selection wins.
This New York City vs Chicago betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
New York City vs Chicago Fire Preview
New York City take on Chicago Fire at Yankee Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 25 July.
New York City FC got the win in their last game. It was a 2-1 away triumph at Lower.com Field when meeting Columbus Crew. The Pigeons managed five shots on target and had 41% possession, while Nicolas Fernandez and Agustin Ojeda each scored one goal.
Chicago Fire were defeated in their previous game. On their travels, they suffered a 3-2 loss against Inter Miami at Nu Stadium. Gregg Berhalter's side enjoyed 47% possession and four shots on goal, with Rocco Rios Novo (own goal) and Puso Dithejane on the scoresheet.
City Won 3-1 in Teams’ Previous H2H
City have beaten Chicago in the last two head-to-head encounters. When travelling to Soldier Field, the scoreline was 3-1 following a 3-1 home win at Yankee Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have featured six City wins, three draws and one Chicago victory.
| MLS | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chicago Fire |
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 13 | NYCFC |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 27:22 | 22 |
3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. City have had 56.0% possession and 3.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.
Nicolas Fernandez leads the way with 6 goals, while Hannes Wolf and Agustin Ojeda have 3 and 2 respectively. Nicolas Fernandez has recorded the most assists with 3.
Chicago have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.2 goals from 16.3 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 52.1% possession, 4.5 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
The leading goalscorers have been Hugo Cuypers on 9, Philip Zinckernagel with 5 and Maren Haile-Selassie 3. Philip Zinckernagel is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 6.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
New York City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Thiago Martins, James Sands, Nico Cavallo, Jonathan Shore, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau, Andrés Perea, Agustin Ojeda, Benie Traore, Malachi Jones.
Chicago Fire predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Chris Brady (GK), Jonathan Dean, Jack Elliott, Joel Waterman, Andrew Gutman, Anton Saletros, Djé D'Avilla, Philip Zinckernagel, Jonathan Bamba, Maren Haile-Selassie, Robert Lewandowski.
Main Match Prediction
We expect the net to bulge plenty of times when it comes to this MLS showdown. Looking at the available stats, we will bet on Over 2.5 Goals and feel bullish with the -154 that is currently available.
The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a MLS verdict is reached.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 60.6% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
There are ways to get bigger odds for Over 2.5 Goals and one option is combining this pick with others in a Bet Builder. Add selections until you are happy with the price you’re getting.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-1 win in favor of Chicago is available at odds of +700. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC) can be backed at -105 to record at least one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.
Philip Zinckernagel (Chicago) has registered five goals in his past ten MLS games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +270 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by New York City in five consecutive matches. We think City might fall short of the mark, with odds of +108 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.
New York City
Chicago
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of three or more goals to be registered, Chicago with an Asian Handicap of +0.25 merged with Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC) to record one or more shots on target.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
New York City vs Chicago Fire Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The draw is currently trading at +260 if you think this MLS encounter will end all square, while New York City FC have betting odds of +135 and Chicago Fire are +180 to land a victory of their own.
If you want to side with City winning against Chicago, then the -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is one potential option. You can land +102 and also have the insurance of half stake returns in the event of a draw.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -200.
The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all MLS matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
There’s the chance to back Hugo Cuypers at +380 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
Stats: MLS matches only
City have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.40 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Chicago have recorded four victories, four draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
City beat Chicago 3-1 when the teams last met at Yankee Stadium. In the previous 4 H2H games at Yankee Stadium, City have a 100% win rate.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York City Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 3.80 | 2.40 | 1.40 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
Chicago Fire Away Stats |
4-4-2 | 3.90 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- MLS: 14/09 2025 Chicago 1 New York City 3
- MLS: 25/05 2025 New York City 3 Chicago 1
- MLS: 25/08 2024 New York City 2 Chicago 2
- MLS: 14/07 2024 Chicago 0 New York City 0
- MLS: 22/10 2023 New York City 1 Chicago 0
- MLS: 05/03 2023 Chicago 1 New York City 1
- MLS: 22/08 2022 Chicago 0 New York City 2
- MLS: 22/05 2022 New York City 1 Chicago 0
- MLS: 28/10 2021 New York City 1 Chicago 0
- MLS: 30/09 2021 Chicago 2 New York City 0
New York City League Stats
Chicago Fire League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for New York City this season are Nicolas Fernandez (11), Hannes Wolf (5), Agustin Ojeda (4)
- Top Assistors for New York City this season are Maxi Moralez (6), Agustin Ojeda (3), Nicolas Fernandez (3)
New York City vs Chicago Fire Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the City vs Chicago team news before you bet. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the MLS, along with current injury news.
New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Chicago Fire Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Chicago Fire Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous New York City Lineups
Previous Chicago Fire Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
New York City Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Pascal Jansen
Chicago Fire Player Stats & Squad
MLS Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 33:11 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 42:30 | 34 |
| 3 | Vancouver | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37:16 | 32 |
| 4 | SJ Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 8 | NE Revolution | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:24 | 26 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | 23 |
| 12 | FC Cincinnati | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 40:40 | 23 |
| 13 | NYCFC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 14 | Charlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:25 | 22 |
| 15 | St. Louis | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | 22 |
| 16 | Minnesota Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 17 | NY Red Bulls | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:35 | 22 |
| 18 | LA Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:28 | 20 |
| 19 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:24 | 19 |
| 20 | D.C. United | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:26 | 19 |
| 21 | Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:31 | 18 |
| 22 | Orlando City | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 27:44 | 17 |
| 23 | San Diego | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 30:28 | 17 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 25 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 26 | Toronto FC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 27 | CF Montréal | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:32 | 15 |
| 28 | Sporting KC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:40 | 14 |
| 29 | Atlanta United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 30 | Philadelphia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21:31 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:9 | 25 |
| 2 | NE Revolution | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Vancouver | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21:4 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:17 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 15 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 11 | SJ Earthquakes | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 13 |
| 12 | St. Louis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 13 | FC Dallas | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 15 | San Diego | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 12 |
| 17 | Inter Miami | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19:15 | 12 |
| 18 | NYCFC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 11 |
| 19 | Portland Timbers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:13 | 11 |
| 20 | CF Montréal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 21 | Columbus Crew | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 22 | Toronto FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17:18 | 11 |
| 23 | NY Red Bulls | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 24 | Orlando City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 25 | Minnesota Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 26 | LA Galaxy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 27 | Sporting KC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 28 | D.C. United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Atlanta United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 30 | Philadelphia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
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