New York City vs Inter Miami Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Mar 2026

MLS Betting Preview: New York City vs Inter Miami

New York City meet Inter Miami at Yankee Stadium, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 22 March.

Miami have a strong chance against New York City and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -122 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

New York City FC have enjoyed three consecutive MLS victories, most recently beating Colorado Rapids 3-1. It was a home win at Yankee Stadium. The Pigeons had 41% possession and totalled eight shots on target, with Nicolas Fernandez registering two goals and Talles Magno scoring one.

Inter Miami played Charlotte FC on the road in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Bank of America Stadium. Javier Mascherano's team had three shots on goal and 52% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Miami have beaten City in the last two clashes. As the home side at Chase Stadium, the most recent scoreline was 5-1 which came after a 4-0 away success at Citi Field. We’ve seen four draws and three wins apiece in the previous 10 H2H meetings.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Inter Miami	11	5	4	2	22	19	3	22:19	19
20	NYCFC	11	3	3	5	19	18	1	19:18	12

View Full Table

City have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Pascal Jansen's side have averaged 54.9% possession and 4.2 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 8.0 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Nicolas Fernandez is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Maxi Moralez, Keaton Parks and Alonso Martinez each have 2. Leading assistor is Maxi Moralez with 5.

Miami have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 8.8 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 2.6 goals. The Herons average 47.5% possession, 3.2 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Lionel Messi and Tadeo Allende with 9, while Mateo Silvetti has 3. Lionel Messi has had 7 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Thiago Martins, Kai Trewin, Kevin O'Toole, Keaton Parks, Maxi Moralez, Aiden O'Neill, Agustin Ojeda, Nicolas Fernandez, Hannes Wolf.

Inter Miami confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Dayne St. Clair (GK), Ian Fray, Gonzalo Lujan, Micael, Noah Allen, Yannick Bright, David Ayala, Mateo Silvetti, Lionel Messi, Telasco Segovia, Tadeo Allende.

New York City vs Inter Miami Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best New York City vs Inter Miami betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Miami +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -122 for this MLS game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of MLS data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key New York City vs Inter Miami league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Miami in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Miami in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Miami in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 6 consecutive games against Miami.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Miami Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 18:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

New York City 0 - 1 Miami

Let’s take a chance on the +900 available that the Herons secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tadeo Allende to Score +280

Tadeo Allende (Miami) has racked up nine goals in his past ten MLS games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +280 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Tadeo Allende Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -135

Each of the past five New York City games have involved the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered. We’re expecting the teams to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners wager available at -135.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

New York City

Total

8.70 4.20 4.50

Home

9.10 5.40 3.70

Away

8.90 3.60 5.30

Miami

Total

7.00 3.20 3.80

Home

7.70 4.70 3.00

Away

8.70 4.10 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-132

New York City Corners

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-115

Miami Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-137

Most Corners

1

-109

X

+600

2

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York City vs Inter Miami Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The 1x2 odds are available for this MLS encounter and you can secure +135 that New York City FC are victorious and +190 that Inter Miami get the job done. Those wanting to wager the draw with the bookmakers can secure +240.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between City at -149 and Miami at +105.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. BTTS Yes is on offer at -227 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

MLS matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+240

2

+190

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+138

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-333

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-100

2 Hcp +0.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-227

No

+160

You will find favourite Lionel Messi at +350 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +105 that he finds the net any time.

Lionel Messi (Miami)

First

+105

Anytime

+350

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+190

Anytime

+575

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Germán Berterame (Miami)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Luis Suárez (Miami)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Tadeo Allende (Miami)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Keaton Parks (NYCFC)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Santiago Morales (Miami)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Mateo Silvetti (Miami)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Telasco Segovia (Miami)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

New York City have avoided defeat in their last three matches at Yankee Stadium. The Pigeons have recorded seven victories, two defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.40 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Miami have avoided defeat in their last three away matches. The Herons have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

The most recent Yankee Stadium meeting saw Miami claim a 4-0 win over City. City have landed three victories from the past 4 H2H meetings at Yankee Stadium, with a solitary draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
New York City Home Stats		7-1-2	3.30	2.40	0.90	8	2	6	4
Inter Miami Away Stats		5-2-3	3.50	2.10	1.40	8	2	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

New York City vs Inter Miami Lineups & Team News

The latest City vs Inter team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed MLS lineups and the latest on injuries.

New York City Team Page Inter Miami Team Page

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