New York City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2026

New York City vs Philadelphia Union Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -152

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We are backing Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at -152, with New York City and Philadelphia set to play out a high-scoring contest. We think the odds are attractive when it comes to at least three goals being scored.

Explore our full New York City vs Philadelphia betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

New York City vs Philadelphia Union Preview

New York City host Philadelphia Union at Yankee Stadium, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Sunday 16 August.

New York City FC had a 1-1 draw in their last game. This was at home to Toronto FC at Yankee Stadium. The Pigeons enjoyed 50% possession and five shots on target, with Nicolas Fernandez bagging the goal.

Philadelphia Union have suffered four straight away defeats. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 3-2 home victory against Atlanta United at Subaru Park. Ryan Richter's team boasted 71% possession and had six shots on goal, while Milan Iloski, Neil Pierre and Ezekiel Alladoh were all on target.

H2H: City Beat Union Last Time Out

City have won the last two clashes against Philadelphia, achieving winning away scorelines of 2-1 and 1-0 at Subaru Park. We’ve seen six Philadelphia wins and four City victories in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Philadelphia	27	11	6	10	54	44	10	54:44	39
18	NYCFC	27	8	9	10	41	36	5	41:36	33

View Full Table

City have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Pascal Jansen's side have averaged 53.5% possession and 2.3 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.8 corners from 11.1 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Nicolas Fernandez leads the way with 7 goals, with Agustin Ojeda and Hannes Wolf getting 3 apiece. Agustin Ojeda and Nicolas Fernandez are the leading assists makers with 3.

Philadelphia have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 5.6 shots on goal, 17.7 attempts and 1.9 goals. The Union average 44.0% possession, 5.6 corners taken and 3.4 corners against them, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Milan Iloski is the leading scorer with 9 goals, followed by Neil Pierre on 2, with Ezekiel Alladoh and two others bagging 1. Kai Wagner and Francis Westfield have both managed 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Maxwell Murray, James Sands, Nico Cavallo, Jonathan Shore, Keaton Parks, Andres Perea, Agustin Ojeda, Luighi, Benie Traore.

Philadelphia Union confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Andre Blake (GK), Francis Westfield, Neil Pierre, Nathan Harriel, Kai Wagner, Cavan Sullivan, Jovan Lukic, Danley Jean Jacques, Indiana Vassilev, Milan Iloski, Bruno Damiani.

Main Match Prediction

We think that a goal-filled MLS game could be on the cards, with Over 2.5 looking like a sound bet when it comes to securing value. You can land odds of -152 for this selection and that looks worth backing.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 17 NYCFC games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 NYCFC games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Philadelphia games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Philadelphia games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Philadelphia games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 games between these teams.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest MLS stats.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are options to secure a larger price on your Over 2.5 Goals wager and that includes putting this pick in a Bet Builder with other selections. Create a bet with bigger odds in the process.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Over 2.5 Goals @ -152 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 15, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

New York City 1 - 2 Philadelphia

Philadelphia are available at +650 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Quinn Sullivan Over 0.5 Shots On Target +155

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia) can be wagered at +155 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.

Latest Quinn Sullivan Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

---

Hannes Wolf to Score +210

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) has netted three goals in his past five MLS home matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +210.

Latest Hannes Wolf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Philadelphia To Have Most Corners +102

On average, Philadelphia have had 6.40 corners in the past 5 matches, with New York City managing an average of 2.00 corners in the last 5 games. Odds of +102 look attractive for Philadelphia to come out on top in the Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

New York City

Total

7.10 2.30 4.80

Home

7.40 3.80 3.60

Away

8.40 2.40 6.00

Philadelphia

Total

9.00 5.60 3.40

Home

10.40 7.80 2.60

Away

8.60 4.60 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-118

New York City Corners

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-133

Philadelphia Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-105

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+650

2

-115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York City vs Philadelphia Union Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have betting odds of +155 for New York City FC to triumph in this MLS encounter, with Philadelphia Union trading at the same price if you think they’ll win. Meanwhile, the draw is chalked up at +250.

City are available at odds of +118 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. With this bet, you need them to simply beat Philadelphia to win, although a draw would see half your stake returned.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -182.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to MLS games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+250

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+123

2

+195

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-357

X2

-204

Draw No Bet

1

-120

2

-118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-154

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+115

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+130

Milan Iloski is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +430 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +150.

Milan Iloski (Philadelphia)

First

+430

Anytime

+150

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

First

+525

Anytime

+195

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+650

Anytime

+220

Talles Magno (NYCFC)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (NYCFC)

First

+750

Anytime

+290

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

First

+800

Anytime

+300

Keaton Parks (NYCFC)

First

+1000

Anytime

+380

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Thiago Martins (NYCFC)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Jonathan Shore (NYCFC)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Talles Magno (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Milan Iloski (Philadelphia)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Keaton Parks (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Martins (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Shore (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 MLS matches only.
New York City haven’t been beaten in four straight games at Yankee Stadium. The Pigeons have managed five victories, three draws and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

It’s now been four consecutive Philadelphia losses on their travels. Ryan Richter's team have recorded seven defeats, two victories and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 2.40.

City beat Philadelphia 1-0 when the teams last met at Yankee Stadium. The previous 4 H2H games at Yankee Stadium have involved two Philadelphia wins, a single draw and one City victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
New York City Home Stats		5-3-2	3.60	2.40	1.20	7	3	6	4
Philadelphia Union Away Stats		2-1-7	4.20	1.80	2.40	8	2	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

New York City vs Philadelphia Union Lineups & Team News

Double-check the City vs Philadelphia team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the MLS, along with current injury news.

New York City Team Page Philadelphia Union Team Page

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