New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jul 2026
New York City vs Toronto FC Predictions
New York City are available to back at -1 on the Asian Handicap. The tempting odds of -104 means we need a winning margin of two or more. A one goal victory over Toronto would mean money back.
Read on for our full New York City vs Toronto betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
New York City vs Toronto FC Preview
New York City clash with Toronto FC at Yankee Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Friday 31 July.
The last MLS game involving New York City FC saw them triumph 3-1 at home. This victory over Chicago Fire at Yankee Stadium made it back-to-back league wins. Pascal Jansen's side enjoyed 47% possession and had three shots on target, while Nicolas Fernandez, Agustin Ojeda and Malachi Jones got among the goals.
Toronto FC were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Audi Field. D.C. United claimed a 2-1 victory. The Reds boasted 55% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Theodor Corbeanu was on the scoresheet.
3-1 City Win When Teams Last Clashed
City have landed five straight victories over Toronto. In the last clash, City secured a 3-1 win when hosting at Yankee Stadium. The previous 10 H2H matches have included six wins for City, two victories for Toronto along with two draws.
| MLS | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  NYCFC |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 26 |  Toronto FC |
17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 23:31 | 16 |
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. City have had 54.9% possession and 2.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.7 corners.
Nicolas Fernandez is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Agustin Ojeda and Hannes Wolf each have 3. Agustin Ojeda and Nicolas Fernandez have racked up the most assists with 3 each.
TFC have lost 5 and drawn 5, with an average of 4.0 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 1.3 goals. The Ontario team average 48.8% possession, 4.9 corners taken and 6.1 corners against them, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 12.6 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
Emilio Aristizabal has top scored with 3, while Joshua Sargent, Daniel Salloi and Kobe Franklin are next on 2. Alonso Coello, Jonathan Osorio and Daniel Salloi have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
New York City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Thiago Martins, James Sands, Nico Cavallo, Jonathan Shore, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau, Andrés Perea, Agustin Ojeda, Benie Traore, Malachi Jones.
Toronto FC predicted lineup (4-4-2): Luka Gavran (GK), Zane Monlouis, Kobe Franklin, Richie Laryea, Walker Zimmerman, Theo Corbeanu, Jackson Gilman, Jonathan Osorio, Dániel Sallói, Emilio Aristizábal, Derrick Etienne Jr..
Main Match Prediction
Backing New York City -1 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward, especially as there is lots of juice in the betting odds of -104. We’re expecting this MLS game to go in their favour.
The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant MLS stats to get the full picture.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 51% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
We advise that you move the line if you are looking for a larger price about the same selection. Make your prediction and land the bigger odds from your wager as a result.
Get ahead in sports betting by reviewing our detailed bonus guide featuring the latest betting promo codes for the best welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Toronto
We’re predicting NYCFC to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +575. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC) can be wagered to cover the shots on goal total at +135. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.
Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) has scored three goals in his past five MLS games on home soil. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +210 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
New York City have had under 4.5 corners in six consecutive games. For Team Corners, we’re expecting City to fall short and you can land odds of +107.
New York City
Toronto
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: New York City to cover the -1 Asian Handicap, less than three goals to be scored merged with Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC) to end up with over 1.5 shots on target.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
New York City vs Toronto FC Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have New York City FC as -172 favourites for this MLS encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 63% likely to triumph. Toronto FC are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +430.
For those wanting an alternative, City are +107 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Toronto being priced up at +400 and the draw is +140.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. BTTS Yes is on offer at -147 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
No matter what MLS game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.
Alonso Martínez is the market leader at +310 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Stats: MLS matches only
New York City have avoided defeat in their last three matches at Yankee Stadium. Pascal Jansen's side have six victories, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.60 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Toronto haven’t triumphed in five straight games on the road. The Reds have collected six losses, three draws and one victory in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
In the last meeting at Yankee Stadium, City defeated Toronto by a 3-1 scoreline. The previous 5 H2H games at Yankee Stadium have involved two City wins, one Toronto victory and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City Home Stats |
6-2-2 | 3.90 | 2.60 | 1.30 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
| Toronto FC Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 1.70 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- MLS: 04/07 2025 New York City 3 Toronto 1
- MLS: 26/04 2025 Toronto 0 New York City 1
- MLS: 12/05 2024 Toronto 2 New York City 3
- MLS: 17/03 2024 New York City 2 Toronto 1
- MLS: 24/09 2023 New York City 3 Toronto 0
- MLS: 30/04 2023 Toronto 1 New York City 0
- MLS: 24/04 2022 New York City 5 Toronto 4
- MLS: 02/04 2022 Toronto 2 New York City 1
- MLS: 08/08 2021 Toronto 2 New York City 2
- MLS: 15/05 2021 New York City 1 Toronto 1
New York City League Stats
Toronto FC League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for New York City this season are Nicolas Fernandez (12), Agustin Ojeda (5), Hannes Wolf (5)
- Top Assistors for New York City this season are Maxi Moralez (6), Agustin Ojeda (4), Nicolas Fernandez (3)
New York City vs Toronto FC Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the City vs Toronto team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed MLS lineups plus current injury reports.
New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Toronto FC Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Toronto FC Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous New York City Lineups
Previous Toronto FC Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
New York City Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Pascal Jansen
Toronto FC Player Stats & Squad
MLS Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | Vancouver | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 5 | SJ Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 6 | NE Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 10 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 11 | NYCFC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 12 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 13 | St. Louis | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 16 | Minnesota Utd | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 17 | NY Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 18 | D.C. United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 19 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 20 | LA Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 21 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 22 | San Diego | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 24 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 25 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 26 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 27 | CF Montréal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 28 | Sporting KC | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
| 29 | Philadelphia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 30 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:9 | 25 |
| 2 | NE Revolution | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 22 |
| 4 | Vancouver | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21:4 | 21 |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:17 | 16 |
| 9 | St. Louis | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 10 | San Diego | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 15 |
| 12 | NYCFC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:14 | 14 |
| 13 | SJ Earthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 15 | Portland Timbers | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 14 |
| 16 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 18 | Orlando City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 19 | Seattle Sounders | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 20 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Inter Miami | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19:15 | 12 |
| 22 | CF Montréal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17:18 | 11 |
| 24 | NY Red Bulls | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:16 | 11 |
| 25 | D.C. United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 26 | Minnesota Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 27 | Philadelphia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 28 | LA Galaxy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 29 | Sporting KC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 30 | Atlanta United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
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