New York Red Bulls vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026
MLS Betting Preview: New York Red Bulls vs New York City
New York Red Bulls host New York City in the Hudson River Derby at Sports Illustrated Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 16 May.
If you agree with our view that City can perform well against the Red Bulls, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -152. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.
New York Red Bulls have enjoyed back-to-back MLS victories, most recently beating Columbus Crew 3-2. It was a home win at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The Red Bulls ended up with just 31% possession and had six shots on target, while Julian Hall stole the show with a hat-trick.
New York City FC won their previous league game 1-0. This road win at Bank of America Stadium against Charlotte FC was their second the MLS victory on the bounce. Pascal Jansen's men had 53% possession and one shot on goal, with an early first half strike from Nicolas Fernandez proving the difference.
Head-to-Head Statistics
City have three straight victories against Red Bulls. Their last clash involved a 3-1 City U.S. Open Cup away win. The past 10 H2H meetings have included seven victories for City, two wins for Red Bulls and a single draw.
| MLS | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  NY Red Bulls |
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 17 |  NYCFC |
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25:21 | 19 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. NY Red Bulls have had 51.0% possession and 5.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.6 goals from 13.6 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal, while earning 4.6 corners.
Top scorer is Julian Hall on 6 goals, while Jorge Ruvalcaba has racked up 4 and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 2. The leading assistor is Ronald Donkor with 4.
City have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.5 goals from 11.5 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.5% possession, 3.7 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Nicolas Fernandez is the leading goalscorer with 7, Hannes Wolf has 4, with Agustin Ojeda and Talles Magno getting 2. Maxi Moralez has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.
Confirmed Lineups
New York Red Bulls confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ethan Horvath (GK), Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty, Justin Che, Dylan Nealis, Matthew Dos Santos, Ronald Donkor, Adri Mehmeti, Emil Forsberg, Cade Cowell, Julian Hall, Jorge Ruvalcaba.
New York City confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Thiago Martins, Raul, Nico Cavallo, Keaton Parks, Kai Trewin, Agustin Ojeda, Maxi Moralez, Hannes Wolf, Nicolas Fernandez.
New York Red Bulls vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our top New York Red Bulls vs New York City betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
New York City +0.25 at -152 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in the Hudson River Derby and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent MLS stats before coming up with a verdict.
Key New York Red Bulls vs New York City league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
City
Let’s go for City to win 2-1, a bet which is available at +650. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) has managed three goals in his past four MLS games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +210 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 2.60 corners for New York City in their past 5 matches, while the previous three New York Red Bulls home games have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. There is juice when it comes to going under the City Team Corners line and this is priced at -141.
Red Bulls
City
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: New York City with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, at least three goals in total merged with New York City to have under 4.5 corners.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
New York Red Bulls vs New York City Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The 1x2 odds are available for the Hudson River Derby and you can secure +150 that New York City FC are victorious and +155 that New York Red Bulls get the job done. Those wanting to wager the draw with the bookmakers can secure +265.
If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then City are -120 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Red Bulls are -118 and there is money back if the game ends all square.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -227 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The best football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to MLS matches, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Nicolás Fernández Mercau at +350, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
Stats: MLS matches only
Red Bulls have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
City have finished with five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
The past meeting at Sports Illustrated Stadium saw City defeat Red Bulls 3-1. The previous 8 H2H meetings at Sports Illustrated Stadium have included four wins for Red Bulls, three triumphs for City and a single draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.20 | 1.50 | 1.70 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
| New York City Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- U.S. Open Cup: 30/04 2026 Red Bulls 1 City 3
- MLS: 28/09 2025 Red Bulls 2 City 3
- MLS: 17/05 2025 City 2 Red Bulls 0
- MLS: 23/11 2024 City 0 Red Bulls 2
- MLS: 29/09 2024 Red Bulls 1 City 5
- MLS: 19/05 2024 City 2 Red Bulls 1
- MLS: 16/09 2023 City 0 Red Bulls 0
- MLS: 14/05 2023 Red Bulls 1 City 0
- MLS: 17/09 2022 City 2 Red Bulls 0
- MLS: 17/07 2022 Red Bulls 0 City 1
New York Red Bulls League Stats
New York City League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 6.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for New York Red Bulls this season are Julian Hall (9), Jorge Ruvalcaba (4), Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (2)
- Top Assistors for New York Red Bulls this season are Ronald Donkor (4), Cade Cowell (3), Emil Forsberg (3)
New York Red Bulls vs New York City Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Red Bulls vs City team news before wagering. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
New York Red Bulls Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
New York City Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
New York Red Bulls Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
New York City Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
New York Red Bulls Substitutes
- 4Gustav Berggren
- 5Omar Valencia
- 14Julian Bazan
- 26Tim Parker
- 33Roald Mitchell
- 37Mohammed Sofo
- 39Nehuen Benedetti
- 77John McCarthy
- 79Rafael Mosquera
New York City Substitutes
- 8Andres Perea
- 15Kevin Pierre
- 19S. Tanasijevic
- 29Maximo Carrizo
- 30Tomas Romero
- 32Jonathan Shore
- 87Arnau Farnos
- 88Malachi Jones
- 99Seymour Reid
Previous New York Red Bulls Lineups
Previous New York City Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
New York Red Bulls Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Michael Bradley
New York City Player Stats & Squad
MLS Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Vancouver | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 3 | SJ Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 7 | NE Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 9 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 24 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 24 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Minnesota Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 13 | NY Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 14 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 15 | LA Galaxy | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 20 |
| 16 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 17 | NYCFC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 18 | D.C. United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 19 | San Diego | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 21 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 22 | St. Louis | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | 14 |
| 24 | CF Montréal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | 14 |
| 25 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 26 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | 14 |
| 27 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | 11 |
| 29 | Sporting KC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | 11 |
| 30 | Philadelphia | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 3 | NE Revolution | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 15 |
| 9 | SJ Earthquakes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 13 | San Diego | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 12 |
| 14 | NYCFC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 16 | Austin FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 17 | Toronto FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17:18 | 11 |
| 18 | NY Red Bulls | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 19 | St. Louis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 21 | CF Montréal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 22 | Orlando City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 9 |
| 24 | Inter Miami | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 25 | LA Galaxy | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 26 | Minnesota Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 27 | D.C. United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Sporting KC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 5 |
| 30 | Philadelphia | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
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