Norway vs France Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jun 2026
Norway vs France Predictions
The stats and Norway’s heavily rotated team selection suggest we could see a high-scoring game. If you agree with our prediction, you can get odds of -167 when backing Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market.
Continue reading for our full Norway vs France betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Norway vs France Preview
Norway are making ten changes when they take on France in this FIFA World Cup Group I showdown at Boston Stadium (Gillette Stadium), with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 26 June.
The teams meet in a battle for top spot in the group. France are ahead on goal difference, so a draw would be enough for them to advance as group winners, while Norway must win.
Boston Stadium is an open-air venue where overcast skies, scattered showers and a temperature of 24°C (75°F) are expected at kick-off.
Norway beat Iraq 4-1 in their opening game before edging Senegal 3-2 last time out at New York/New Jersey Stadium. Staale Solbakken's men had 42% possession and seven shots on target against the Lions of Teranga, with Erling Haaland scoring twice and Marcus Holmgren Pedersen also on target.
France beat Senegal 3-1 in their opener before claiming a 3-0 win over Iraq at Philadelphia Stadium. Les Bleus had 56% possession and five shots on target, with Kylian Mbappe netting twice and Ousmane Dembele also scoring.
France Dominate the Head-to-Head Record
France and Norway have met 14 times, with France winning seven, Norway claiming three victories and four matches ending in draws. Their most recent meeting came in a 2014 friendly, when France won 4-0.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Norway |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
The past 10 Norway games have all ended in a win, averaging 4.4 goals from 7.3 shots on goal and 17.6 attempts. The Lions have averaged 57.7% possession, 523.3 passes and 5.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.8 goals from 2.6 shots on goal, 8.8 attempts and 2.6 corners.
Top scorer Erling Haaland has found the net 20 times, with Alexander Soerloth and Thelo Aasgaard getting 5 apiece. Leading assistor is Martin Oedegaard with 9, while goalkeeper Oerjan Haaskjold Nyland has 4 clean sheets.
France have won 8, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 20.0 attempts, 7.5 shots on goal and 2.8 goals. Didier Deschamps' side average 61.5% possession, 604.5 passes, 6.3 corners in their favour and 2.6 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 2.3 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts.
Kylian Mbappe has recorded 11 goals, Michael Olise 3, with Bradley Barcola and Jean-Philippe Mateta both managing 2. Kylian Mbappe is top assists provider with 5, while Mike Maignan has kept 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Norway confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Egil Selvik (GK), Fredrik Aursnes, Henrik Falchener, Leo Oestigard, Fredrik Andre Bjoerkan, Kristian Thorstvedt, Patrick Berg, Thelo Aasgaard, Oscar Bobb, Joergen Strand Larsen, Andreas Schjelderup.
France confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, Maxence Lacroix, Theo Hernandez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Manu Kone, Ousmane Dembele, Michael Olise, Desire Doue, Kylian Mbappe.
Main Match Prediction
The stats and xG data strongly support a high-scoring game, but the key factor is that Kylian Mbappe and the French stars are facing a heavily rotated Norway side that have made ten changes to their starting XI. Benfica midfielder Fredrik Aursnes is the only player to retain his place from the team that beat Senegal.
It's difficult to gauge France's motivation levels, but if Didier Deschamps' side approach this game with the right intensity, it could turn into a goalfest.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The first port of call is to check out the World Cup injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.
The best betting apps make it a 62.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 65-70% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
There are some great alternatives available and the BTTS Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market could be the attractive option for those anticipating that both sides will find the net. It doesn’t matter how many goals there are in total.
Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
France
Let’s go for France to win 2-1, a bet which is available at +650. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Ousmane Dembélé looks like a value bet when considering the latest xG data and stats. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re backing +118 on this Shots on Target wager.
Kylian Mbappé (France) can be backed at -132 to find the net. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been under 9.5 corners in nine consecutive Norway matches. There is value when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is available at -118.
Norway
France
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our bet builder picks which include three or more goals to be scored, France on the Full-Time Result together with Under 9.5 corners.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Norway vs France Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies are taking few risks with their betting odds of -278 for France winning which indicates that they have a 74% chance of triumphing in this World Cup encounter. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +600 for Norway.
The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -164.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to World Cup matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
There is -200 available that Kylian Mbappé finds the net at any stage. He is available at +220 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Norway Stats
France Stats
- 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 matches.
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 5.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 1.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Norway vs France Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Norway vs France before you bet. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Norway Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
France Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Norway Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
France Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Norway Substitutes
- 1O. Haaskjold Nyland
- 2Morten Thorsby
- 3K. Vassbakk Ajer
- 5David Moeller Wolfe
- 7Alexander Soerloth
- 8Sander Berge
- 9Erling Haaland
- 10Martin Oedegaard
- 12Sander Tangvik
- 16M. Holmgren Pedersen
- 17T. Lysaker Heggem
- 20Antonio Nusa
- 23Jens Petter Hauge
- 24S. Klingen Langaas
- 26Julian Ryerson
France Substitutes
- 1Brice Samba
- 2Malo Gusto
- 3Lucas Digne
- 9Marcus Thuram
- 12Bradley Barcola
- 13N'Golo Kante
- 14Adrien Rabiot
- 15Ibrahima Konate
- 17William Saliba
- 18Warren Zaire-Emery
- 21Lucas Hernandez
- 22Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 23Robin Risser
- 24Rayan Cherki
- 25Maghnes Akliouche
Previous Norway Lineups
Previous France Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Norway Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Staale Solbakken
France Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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