Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Mar 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Pachuca vs Toluca

Pachuca host Toluca at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Sunday 22 March.

Pachuca +0.5 could be the best bet when they go up against Toluca. We’ll take Asian Handicap odds of -116 that the home team manage to either land a victory or draw, giving us two outcomes for our money.

Pachuca played Atlético San Luis away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. They managed six shots on target and recorded 45% possession, while Jose Salomon Rondon scored the goal.

Deportivo Toluca played Atlas at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Antonio Mohamed's men had the lion’s share of the ball recording 56% possession and seven shots on goal, while Jesus Angulo found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have gone unbeaten in their past six matches against Pachuca, with the last clash ending in a 2-2 draw at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in four wins apiece along with two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Pachuca	17	9	4	4	25	19	6	25:19	31
5	Toluca	17	8	6	3	28	16	12	28:16	30

View Full Table

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. Tuzos have had 47.5% possession and 4.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.7 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.4 corners.

Jose Salomon Rondon leads the way with 5 goals, Oussama Idrissi has 3, with Victor Guzman and two others on 1. The leading assistors are Victor Guzman and Brian Garcia with 3.

Deportivo Toluca have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.7 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.6% possession, 6.7 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

The leading scorer has been Paulinho with 6, while Jesus Angulo and Helinho have 2. Paulinho, Francisco Cordova and Marcel Ruiz have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Pachuca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Carlos Moreno (GK), Carlos Sanchez, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Brian Garcia, Victor Guzman, Christian Rivera, Kenedy, Alexei Dominguez Figueroa, Oussama Idrissi, Jose Salomon Rondon.

Toluca confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Lopez, Santiago Simon, Jesus Angulo, Franco Romero, Jesus Gallardo, Helinho, Paulinho, Alexis Vega.

Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Pachuca vs Toluca with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

Pachuca +0.5 could be the best bet to have and the latest stats back this up. Take the hosts at -116 on the Asian Handicap for their Liga MX clash, with this being a confident selection on the underdogs.

The Liga MX experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Pachuca vs Toluca league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pachuca in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pachuca in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pachuca in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pachuca in 6 of their last 10 games against Toluca.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

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Our Match Prediction

Pachuca Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 21, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Pachuca 1 - 1 Toluca

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +525. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Oussama Idrissi to Score +480

Oussama Idrissi (Pachuca) has registered two goals in his past five Liga MX home matches. It’s worth a play on the +480 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Oussama Idrissi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Pachuca vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookies giving them a 52% probability of winning, Deportivo Toluca might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -110 when it comes to triumphing in this Liga MX clash. The market implies that Pachuca are the most unlikely to win at +260.

Toluca can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -250. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Pachuca are +160.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -185.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Liga MX game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+260

X

+265

2

-110

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

+130

2

+145

Double Chance

1X

-127

12

-417

X2

-400

Draw No Bet

1

+160

2

-250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-116

2 Hcp -0.5

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-159

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-185

No

+120

João Paulo Paulinho is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +310. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

-100

Anytime

+310

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-100

Anytime

+310

Salomón Rondón (Pachuca)

First

+185

Anytime

+525

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro "Helinho" (Toluca)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Enner Valencia (Pachuca)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Oussama Idrissi (Pachuca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Alexei Dominguez (Pachuca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Alán Bautista (Pachuca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Sebastian Cordova (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Christian Rivera (Pachuca)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Pedro Pedraza (Pachuca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

William Carvalho (Pachuca)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Pachuca have secured four straight victories at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. They have clocked up seven wins, two defeats and one draw in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Toluca have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous five matches. Antonio Mohamed's men have secured four wins, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 0.50.

Pachuca and Toluca played out a 2-2 draw when the teams last met at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Toluca have secured three wins, Pachuca boast two wins and there have been two draws in the past 7 H2H matches at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Pachuca Home Stats		7-2-1	2.90	1.90	1.00	6	4	7	3
Toluca Away Stats		3-3-4	2.30	1.20	1.10	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Pachuca vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Always review the Tuzos vs Toluca team news before locking in your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Pachuca Team Page Toluca Team Page

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