Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Oct 2026
Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Predictions
We believe that Paderborn 0.0 could be the way forward against Hamburger SV. The Asian Handicap odds of -159 makes plenty of appeal, with our stake refunded if the home team only manage to draw.
Explore our full Paderborn vs Hamburger SV betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Preview
Paderborn welcome Hamburger SV to Home Deluxe Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 24 October.
Paderborn drew on the road in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Werder Bremen at Weserstadion. Ralf Kettemann's side enjoyed just 39% possession and had four shots on target, while Stefano Marino and Steffen Tigges each scored one goal.
Hamburger SV have won their previous three games. The latest was a 1-0 home win at Volksparkstadion against Stuttgart. The Dinosaurs had just 37% possession and totalled three shots on goal, with a late winner coming from Miro Muheim.
H2H: Teams’ Previous Head-to-Head Saw 2-0 Paderborn Victory
Paderborn boast an unbeaten record in the past five games with HSV. In their last encounter, Paderborn banked a 2-0 2. Bundesliga home win at Home Deluxe Arena. The previous 10 H2H games have resulted in four wins apiece and two draws.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Hamburger SV |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 16 |  Paderborn |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5:9 | 5 |
3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 13.5 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Paderborn have had 48.0% possession and 5.2 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 15.1 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.8 corners.
Stefano Marino leads the way with 3 goals, with Steffen Tigges and Filip Bilbija getting 2 apiece. Steffen Tigges, Laurin Curda and Jonah Sticker are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Nahuel Noll has kept one clean sheet.
HSV have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, averaging 12.2 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Lower Saxony club average 40.3% possession, 351.5 passes, 3.6 corners in their favour and 6.6 corners against, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 5.8 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts.
We’ve seen Miro Muheim, Yussuf Poulsen and Fabio Vieira score 2 goals each. Albert Groenbaek is top assists provider with 4, while Daniel Heuer Fernandes has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Paderborn predicted lineup (3-3-2-2): Nahuel Noll (GK), Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Jonah Sticker, Laurin Curda, Santiago Castaneda, Raphael Obermair, Laurin Ulrich, Gabriel Vidovic, Steffen Tigges, Stefano Marino.
Hamburger SV predicted lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Nicolas Capaldo, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Warmed Omari, David Moeller Wolfe, Martin Adeline, Bilal Nadir, Miro Muheim, Louis Lemke, Albert Groenbaek, Yussuf Poulsen.
Main Match Prediction
We’re happy to side with Paderborn 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this Bundesliga clash. At odds of -159, the home team offer plenty of appeal and we’re expecting a strong showing.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide Bundesliga betting predictions.
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 61.3% chance of landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 65-70% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Hamburger SV
Paderborn can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +750 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Martin Adeline (HSV) can be wagered to record a minimum of one shot on goal at -133. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.
Steffen Tigges (Paderborn) has racked up two goals in his past five Bundesliga matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +200.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been an average 8.20 Paderborn corners in their past 5 home games, with HSV conceding over 5.5 corners in 9 of their previous 10 away matches. There’s an opportunity to go over the Paderborn Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -115 available.
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Paderborn on the Asian Handicap at 0.0, No on the Both Teams to Score market merged with Paderborn to rack up over 5.5 corners.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an approximate 45% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +120 betting odds for Paderborn triumphing in this Bundesliga encounter. Hamburger SV are the +188 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
Paderborn can be backed at +170 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. HSV can be chanced at +230 and the draw is +140.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -213 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Bundesliga match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Stefano Marino can be backed to find the net anytime at +190. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +575.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Paderborn have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
HSV have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.30.
When the sides last met at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn beat HSV 2-0. The previous 5 H2H meetings at Home Deluxe Arena have involved HSV winning three times and Paderborn registering two victories.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
| Hamburger SV Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.50 | 1.20 | 2.30 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- 2. Bundesliga: 02/03 2025 Paderborn 2 Hamburger SV 0
- 2. Bundesliga: 28/09 2024 Hamburger SV 2 Paderborn 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 10/05 2024 Paderborn 1 Hamburger SV 0
- 2. Bundesliga: 09/12 2023 Hamburger SV 1 Paderborn 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 05/05 2023 Hamburger SV 2 Paderborn 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 30/10 2022 Paderborn 2 Hamburger SV 3
- 2. Bundesliga: 02/04 2022 Hamburger SV 1 Paderborn 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 22/10 2021 Paderborn 1 Hamburger SV 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 30/01 2021 Hamburger SV 3 Paderborn 1
- 2. Bundesliga: 28/09 2020 Paderborn 3 Hamburger SV 4
Paderborn League Stats
Hamburger SV League Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 6.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 7.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 40.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 41.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Paderborn this season are Stefano Marino (2), Steffen Tigges (2), Santiago Castaneda (1)
- Top Assistors for Paderborn this season are Jonah Sticker (1), Laurin Curda (1), Steffen Tigges (1)
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Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Lineups & Team News
Paderborn Predicted Lineup 3-3-2-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Paderborn Predicted Lineup 3-3-2-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Paderborn Lineups
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Paderborn Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ralf Kettemann
Hamburger SV Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | B. M'gladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 9 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 18 | B. M'gladbach | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 0 |
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