Porto vs Alverca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Alverca
Porto meet Alverca at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Saturday 2 May.
A big victory could be on the cards for Porto against Alverca. We’re taking the hosts at -1.75 at Asian Handicap odds of -127, with the stake split between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal winning margin is needed for a full return.
Porto got a third consecutive victory in their last game. It was a 2-1 away win at Estadio Jose Gomes when playing Estrela Amadora. The Dragons had the majority of the ball boasting 54% possession and four shots on target, with Deniz Gul grabbing the goals.
Alverca won their previous game, beating Arouca at home. It was a 2-1 victory at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. Custodio's side had just 36% of the ball and recorded three shots on goal, while Kaiky Naves and Marko Milovanovic were both on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Porto and Alverca saw the former win away from home. It was a 3-0 scoreline at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63 | 15 | 48 | 63:15 | 82 |
| 9 | Alverca |
31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 34:49 | 38 |
Porto have 8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. Francesco Farioli's team have averaged 51.2% possession, 413.7 passes and 6.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal, 8.5 attempts and 2.6 corners.
Victor Froholdt leads the way with 4 goals, with William Gomes and Oskar Pietuszewski scoring 3 each. Victor Froholdt and Gabriel Veiga are the leading assists makers with 3, while goalie Diogo Costa has kept 4 clean sheets.
Alverca have 3 victories, 2 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 11.5 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 47.2% possession, 373.7 passes, 6.6 corners in their favour and 4.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 14.0 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.
Marko Milovanovic has recorded 4 goals, Lucas Figueiredo 3, with Kaiky Naves and Sandro Lima both managing 2. Chiquinho has been chief assist maker on 4, with Andre Gomes recording one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Thiago Silva, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Victor Froholdt, Pablo Rosario, Gabriel Veiga, Pepê, Deniz Gül, Oskar Pietuszewski.
Alverca predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mateus (GK), Kaiky Naves, Sergi Gomez, Bastien Meupiyou, Nabil Touaizi, Rhaldney, Lincoln, Isaac James, Lucas Figueiredo, Chiquinho, Sandro Lima.
Porto vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Porto vs Alverca with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.
Match Prediction
To get more juice in the Porto odds, why not back the home team at -127 on the Asian Handicap -1.75. A big winning margin is definitely the desired outcome for this Primeira Liga clash.
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Primeira Liga team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
Key Porto vs Alverca league stats:
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 55.9% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
If you’re searching for a larger price and feel confident that your selection will perform well, then moving the line can secure an increased possible pay out.
Ready to wager? First, explore top-tier betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses with our expert bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for Porto to win 3-0, a bet which is available at +460. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Gabriel Veiga (Porto) has been on the scoresheet in back-to-back Primeira Liga home matches. We’re content to land the +240 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past ten matches, Alverca have covered the 2.5 corners line, while the last two Porto home games have involved them conceding over 2.5 corners. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Alverca to cover the Team Corners line, with -104 available.
Porto
Alverca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Porto with an Asian Handicap of -1.75, at least three goals accompanied by Alverca to finish with over 2.5 corners.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Porto vs Alverca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result odds give Porto a 83% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -500 favourites to win this Primeira Liga clash. If you want to wager on the underdog, Alverca have been priced up at +1150.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Alverca are +850 here and the draw is +180, with Porto on offer at -172.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -185.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Primeira Liga match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
There’s the chance to back Samu Omorodion at +270 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Porto are unbeaten over their previous ten games at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have seven wins and three draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.60.
Alverca have five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.80.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Porto Home Stats |
7-3-0 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 0.60 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Alverca Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.80 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Porto League Stats
Alverca League Stats
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 41.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Porto this season are Samuel Aghehowa (12), William Gomes (8), Victor Froholdt (6)
- Top Assistors for Porto this season are Alberto Costa (8), Gabriel Veiga (7), Victor Froholdt (6)
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Porto vs Alverca Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Porto vs Alverca team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus current injury reports.
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Porto Lineups
Previous Alverca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Francesco Farioli
Alverca Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitória | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | 22 |
| 18 | AVS | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 31:6 | 39 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 39:11 | 38 |
| 3 | Sporting | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 43:10 | 35 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 5 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 31:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Vitória | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | 28 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:10 | 27 |
| 8 | Alverca | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 28:23 | 23 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | 23 |
| 11 | Arouca | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 15:17 | 20 |
| 13 | Nacional | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:25 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 18 | AVS | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12:26 | 9 |
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