Portugal vs Wales Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Sep 2026
Portugal vs Wales Predictions
We’re expecting Wales to produce a solid performance against Portugal. +2 at -122 on the Asian Handicap means that our cash is returned for a two-goal loss although we expect a more positive outcome.
Our Portugal vs Wales betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Portugal vs Wales Preview
Portugal clash with Wales at Estadio Jose Alvalade, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 24 September.
Portugal lost their last game, being beaten 1-0 in the World Cup by Spain at AT&T Stadium. Jorge Jesus' side had two shots on target and 44% possession.
Wales were defeated in their previous game, being turned over on penalties (1-1 AET) at home to Bosnia-Herzegovina at Cardiff City Stadium in the World Cup qualifier. The Dragons had five shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, with Daniel James finding the net.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Wales |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2:5 | 3 |
Portugal have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. The Navigators have averaged 62.3% possession and 5.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 3.4 corners.
Top goalscorer Cristiano Ronaldo has found the net 6 times, with Joao Neves and Bruno Fernandes scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Bruno Fernandes is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Diogo Costa keeping 3 clean sheets.
Wales have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.8 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 66.5% possession, 7.0 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.
The leading scorer has been Harry Wilson with 6, while Daniel James and Brennan Johnson have 3. Sorba Thomas has had 5 assists in the previous 10 games, while Karl Darlow has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Portugal confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Diogo Costa (GK), Joao Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes, Ruben Neves, Pedro Neto, Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes, Joao Felix, Cristiano Ronaldo.
Wales confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Danny Ward (GK), Neco Williams, Ben Cabango, Ben Davies, Jay Dasilva, Jordan James, Ethan Ampadu, Josh Sheehan, David Brooks, Lewis Koumas, Brennan Johnson.
Main Match Prediction
We’ll plump for Wales +2, especially when you consider the odds of -122. It allows us to bank a return if the underdogs are able to perform better than expectations for this Nations League clash.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Nations League data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 54.9% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
You have the choice to buy or sell goals depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Wales
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +850 and it involves Portugal winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) is available to cover the shots on goal total at +115. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Bruno Fernandes (Portugal) has racked up three goals in his past five games on home soil. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +175 which will hopefully see him find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past ten matches, Wales have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the last three Portugal games have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Wales Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of +102 that they go over.
Portugal
Wales
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: Wales to cover the +2 Asian Handicap, one or both teams not scoring accompanied by Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) to manage over 2.5 shots on target.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Portugal vs Wales Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Portugal are overwhelming -625 favourites to win this Nations League clash based on the latest betting odds. The bookmakers afford them a 86% probability of claiming the spoils. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, the underdogs Wales are trading at +1500.
Portugal can be backed at -208 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Wales can be chanced at +900 and the draw is +220.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -147 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.
No matter what Nations League game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.
Cristiano Ronaldo is available at -182 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +215 to find the net first.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Portugal Stats
Wales Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 62.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Portugal vs Wales Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Portugal vs Wales team news before you bet. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Nations League as well as the latest injury reports.
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-1-3-2
Wales Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Portugal Confirmed Lineup 4-1-3-2
Wales Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Portugal Substitutes
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 4Tomas Araujo
- 5Nuno Tavares
- 6Joao Palhinha
- 9Goncalo Ramos
- 10Bernardo Silva
- 12Rui Silva
- 14Chico Conceicao
- 15Joao Neves
- 16Trincao
- 17Rafael Leao
- 22Samuel Soares
Wales Substitutes
- 1David Cornell
- 2Chris Mepham
- 8Wes Burns
- 10Liam Cullen
- 13Kieffer Moore
- 14Connor Roberts
- 16R. Norrington-Davies
- 18Mark Harris
- 19Sorba Thomas
- 20Daniel James
- 21Tom King
- 23Joel Colwill
Previous Portugal Lineups
Previous Wales Lineups
Portugal Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jorge Jesus
Wales Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
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