PSG vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 May 2026

UEFA Champions League Final Betting Preview: PSG vs Arsenal

Defending champions PSG face Premier League winners Arsenal in the Champions League final at Puskás Aréna in Budapest, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 30 May.

We don’t expect too many goals when PSG take on Arsenal. Considering the latest stats, xG data, previous meetings and the overall profile of this final, we expect Arsenal to keep things tight, which could lead to a low-scoring contest. For those reasons, we’re backing Under 2.5 Goals at odds of -110.

Both sides arrive as domestic champions. Paris Saint-Germain lifted the Ligue 1 title for a fifth straight season, while Arsenal won their first Premier League title in 22 years.

PSG wrapped up their Ligue 1 campaign with a 2-1 away defeat to Paris FC at Stade Jean Bouin. Luis Enrique's men enjoyed 63% possession and had two shots on target, while Bradley Barcola registered the goal.

Arsenal claimed a 2-1 away win against Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in their final Premier League game of the season. The Gunners had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 61% possession and seven shots on goal, while Gabriel Jesus and Noni Madueke found the net.

In the Champions League semi-finals, PSG defeated Bayern Munich 6-5 on aggregate in a thrilling tie, while Arsenal beat Atlético Madrid 2-1 across two legs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

PSG have claimed back-to-back wins over Arsenal. The most recent was a 2-1 home victory at Parc des Princes following a 1-0 away win at Emirates Stadium. In the previous 3 H2H matches, we have seen two PSG victories and one Arsenal win.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	23:4	24
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	21	11	10	21:11	14

View Full Table

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 15.6 attempts. PSG have had 61.1% possession, 615.4 passes and 6.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.3 corners.

Top scorer Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has found the net 6 times, Ousmane Dembele 5, with Ibrahim Mbaye and Desire Doue both scoring 2. Desire Doue is top assists maker with 4, while goalies Matvey Safonov and Renato Marin have kept 5 clean sheets between them.

Arsenal have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 13.3 attempts, 3.8 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Mikel Arteta's team average 53.7% possession, 453.2 passes, 4.9 corners in their favour and 3.6 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 2.7 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.

Viktor Gyoekeres is top scorer on 4, with Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka next on 2. Kai Havertz, Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard have clocked up 2 assists, with David Raya keeping 6 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

PSG confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matvey Safonov (GK), Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Joao Neves, Vitinha, Fabian Ruiz, Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): David Raya (GK), Cristhian Mosquera, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Declan Rice, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Bukayo Saka, Martin Oedegaard, Leandro Trossard, Kai Havertz.

PSG vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down PSG vs Arsenal from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our research suggests that we'll see a low-scoring Champions League final, with Under 2.5 Goals looking like the best option. Odds of -110 are available for this pick.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Champions League experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key PSG vs Arsenal Champions League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 PSG games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Arsenal games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to combine Under 2.5 Goals with BTTS No if you want a bigger potential return, with bettors able to land this pick through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 28, 18:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

PSG 1 - 1 Arsenal

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +480. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bukayo Saka Over 1.5 Shots -149

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) has covered the 1.5 shots total in four straight games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -149.

Latest Bukayo Saka Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+800

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

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Joao Neves To Score +575

Joao Neves (PSG) is available to score at +575. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Joao Neves Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1500

Shots

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -118

There has been seven straight Arsenal games where 9.5 Total Corners has not been covered, while it has been two  consecutive PSG matches where the same thing has happened. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -118.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

PSG

Total

11.00 6.70 4.30

Home

10.50 7.20 3.30

Away

9.00 4.70 4.30

Arsenal

Total

8.50 4.90 3.60

Home

10.30 6.40 3.90

Away

7.40 3.50 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-114

PSG Corners

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-161

Arsenal Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-137

X

+650

2

+140

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

PSG vs Arsenal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have priced up the draw at +230 on the Full-Time Result, with Paris Saint-Germain available to back at betting odds of +150. Arsenal are +200 to win the Champions League final.

If you want to side with PSG winning against Arsenal, then the -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is one potential option. You can land +108 and also have the insurance of half stake returns in the event of a draw.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Champions League match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+230

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+107

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-303

X2

-189

Draw No Bet

1

-143

2

-100

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+108

2 Hcp +0.25

-133

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-123

No

-104

Favourite Ousmane Dembélé is priced at +400 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +175.

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

First

+400

Anytime

+175

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

First

+460

Anytime

+200

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+525

Anytime

+220

Désiré Doué (PSG)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+900

Anytime

+380

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Quentin Ndjantou (PSG)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+500

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Joao Neves (PSG)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Vitinha (PSG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Désiré Doué (PSG)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (PSG)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Quentin Ndjantou (PSG)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Joao Neves (PSG)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

PSG Stats

Arsenal Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 61.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 66.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

PSG vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Double-check the PSG vs Arsenal team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

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