Puebla vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Sep 2026
Puebla vs Toluca Predictions
We’re keen to secure odds of -156 for an away win when Toluca face Puebla. There’s every chance that the visitors will have the edge and the Full-Time Result market offers plenty of value.
We analyse several betting angles in our Puebla vs Toluca betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Puebla vs Toluca Preview
Puebla meet Toluca at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 4 September.
Club Puebla were beaten last game and this was on their travels at Estadio Banorte. Club América claimed a 2-0 win. La Franja had 46% possession and recorded six shots on target.
Deportivo Toluca beat Juárez in their previous Liga MX match, making it back-to-back league wins. It was a 4-0 home victory at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Antonio Mohamed's team had the lion’s share of the ball recording 58% possession and eight shots on goal, while Helinho, Jesus Murillo (own goal), Oswaldo Virgen and Federico Vinas were all on target.
Goalless Draw in Pair’s Last Battle
Toluca are unbeaten when it comes to the past five meetings against Puebla, with the last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw at Estadio Cuahutehmoc. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five Toluca wins, two Puebla victories and three draws.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Toluca |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Puebla |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9:9 | 10 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts. Club Puebla have had 38.8% possession and 3.9 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.9 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts, while being awarded 5.9 corners.
Eduardo Mustre leads the way with 3 goals, Emiliano Gomez has 2, with Carlos Baltazar and two others on 1. Brayan Garnica and Alberto Herrera have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece.
Deportivo Toluca have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.9 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.7% possession, 6.1 corners taken and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts.
We’ve seen Helinho, Federico Vinas, Everardo Lopez, Jorge Diaz and Nicolas Castro score 2 goals each. Jesus Gallardo has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Puebla predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ricardo Daniel Gutiérrez (GK), Iker Moreno, Facundo Almada, Juan Pablo Vargas, Fernando Monárrez, Alejandro Organista, Alonso Ramírez, Bryan Garnica, Carlos Baltazar, Kevin Velasco, Eduardo Mustre Torres.
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Sebastián Aceves, Luan, Federico Pereira, Everardo del Villar, Franco Romero, Víctor Guzmán, Helinho, Jorge Díaz Price, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Oswaldo Virgen.
Main Match Prediction
Toluca could secure a return in this Liga MX clash and we’ll take this selection with a fair degree of confidence. There’s an attractive price of -156 and we can’t resist the opportunity to bet on the visitors.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Liga MX data.
The top betting apps make it a 61% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are several options to side with Toluca in addition to the match winner market. One option is to wager them to be leading at the interval and final whistle, along with the Asian Handicap.
Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
3
Toluca
We’re taking a chance on Toluca to achieve a 3-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +800 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Kevin Velasco (Puebla) can be wagered to register at least one shot on goal at -141. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Helinho (Toluca) has been on the scoresheet in back-to-back Liga MX games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +220.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
4 of the past 5 Toluca games have seen them cover the 5.5 corners line, with Puebla conceding over 5.5 corners in their previous five home matches. The Toluca Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -161.
Puebla
Toluca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi picks are Toluca to triumph, both teams to find the net merged with Toluca to have over 5.5 corners.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Puebla vs Toluca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Deportivo Toluca are the -156 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 61% chance of triumphing in this Liga MX encounter according to the latest odds. Club Puebla are the +350 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Toluca -0.75 at -125 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Puebla by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -192.
The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Liga MX match before making a decision.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Federico Viñas at +430. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.
Stats: Liga MX matches only
Puebla have four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Toluca have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. Antonio Mohamed's team have recorded four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
When Puebla last played Toluca at Estadio Cuahutehmoc, they drew 0-0. We’ve seen the past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Cuahutehmoc involve three Puebla wins. There have also been two draws and two Toluca victories.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla Home Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Toluca Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 31/01 2026 Puebla 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 14/09 2025 Toluca 3 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 15/03 2025 Puebla 0 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 23/10 2024 Toluca 5 Puebla 0
- Liga MX: 27/01 2024 Puebla 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 01/11 2023 Toluca 0 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 08/04 2023 Puebla 1 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 03/08 2022 Toluca 1 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 03/04 2022 Toluca 2 Puebla 1
- Liga MX: 06/11 2021 Puebla 1 Toluca 0
Puebla League Stats
Toluca League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 7.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 38.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Puebla this season are Eduardo Mustre (3), Carlos Baltazar (1), Emiliano Gomez (1)
- Top Assistors for Puebla this season are Alberto Herrera (2), Brayan Garnica (1), Carlos Baltazar (1)
Puebla vs Toluca Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Puebla vs Toluca team news before placing your bets. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest injury reports.
Puebla Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Puebla Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Puebla Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Puebla Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Gerardo Espinoza
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Toluca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Atlas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Querétaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | León | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Puebla | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Pumas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | San Luis | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlante | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Pachuca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Tigres | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Juárez | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 2 | América | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 6 | León | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 8 | Tigres | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 9 | Puebla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlante | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Querétaro | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 15 | Pumas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 16 | Pachuca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 18 | Juárez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
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