Querétaro vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Aug 2026
Querétaro vs Toluca Predictions
There’s a strong case for backing Querétaro +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with Toluca. Landing odds of -109 looks like great value and we simply need the hosts to avoid a defeat here.
Scroll down to view our Querétaro vs Toluca betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Querétaro vs Toluca Preview
Querétaro welcome Toluca to Estadio La Corregidora, with kick-off set for 23:10 on Friday 21 August.
Querétaro played Pumas UNAM away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Olimpico Universitario. Querétaro recorded just 35% possession and had three shots on target.
Deportivo Toluca played Atlante F.C. on the road in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio Quintana Roo. Los Diablos Rojos had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and two shots on goal.
1-0 Victory for Gallos Blancos in Pair’s Last Battle
It was a 1-0 home win for Querétaro at Estadio La Corregidora when they last played Toluca. The past 10 H2H games have featured five triumphs for Toluca, two for Querétaro and three draws.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Toluca |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Querétaro |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. Gallos Blancos de Querétaro have had 43.6% possession and 5.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 9.6 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 6.5 corners.
Ali Avila leads the way with 6 goals, while Mateo Coronel and Santiago Homenchenko have scored 3 and 2 respectively. Santiago Homenchenko, Bayron Duarte and Eduardo Perez have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Deportivo Toluca have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.5 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 60.1% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts.
We’ve seen Everardo Lopez, Jorge Diaz and Nicolas Castro score 2 goals each. Jesus Gallardo is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Querétaro predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Guillermo Allison (GK), Bayron Duarte, Diego Reyes, Lucas Abascia, Daniel Parra, Carlo García, Santiago Homenchenko, Enzo Giménez, Alejandro Alcalá, Paulo Victor, Ali Ávila.
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Everardo del Villar, Diego Barbosa, Franco Romero, Jorge Díaz Price, Jesús Angulo, Érick Gutiérrez, Brian García, Federico Viñas.
Main Match Prediction
Querétaro +0.5 can deliver a return for this Liga MX clash. We’ll side with the home team on the Asian Handicap, with the stats backing up this selection which is on offer at odds of -109.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Liga MX form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 52.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
Take full advantage of our betting promo codes. Browse our up-to-date guide featuring top bonuses and exclusive offers.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
2
Toluca
An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 2-2 draw at odds of +750. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Franco Romero (Toluca) can be wagered at +180 to register at least one shot on goal. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.
Santiago Homenchenko (Querétaro) has racked up two goals in his past five Liga MX matches on home soil. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +510 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past three games, Toluca have covered the 5.5 corners line, with Querétaro conceding 8.20 corners on average in their previous 5 home matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Toluca to cover the Team Corners line, with -141 available.
Querétaro
Toluca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a bet builder, then we’ve got Querétaro with an Asian Handicap of +0.5, three or more goals in total and also Franco Romero (Toluca) to have one or more shots on target.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Querétaro vs Toluca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Favourites Deportivo Toluca are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Liga MX clash. The -119 about them triumphing means a 54% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Querétaro are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +265.
It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +130. Alternatively, Toluca can be backed at +128 and Querétaro are on offer at +270.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -204.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Liga MX game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
You will find favourite Edgar López at +400 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +135 that he finds the net any time.
Stats: Liga MX matches only
Querétaro have four victories, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Toluca have collected four defeats, three wins and three draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Querétaro won 1-0 when they last played Toluca at Estadio La Corregidora. The past 8 H2H games at Estadio La Corregidora have seen four draws, three Querétaro victories and one Toluca triumph.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Querétaro Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 2.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
| Toluca Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 05/04 2026 Querétaro 1 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 19/10 2025 Toluca 4 Querétaro 0
- Liga MX: 27/02 2025 Toluca 5 Querétaro 0
- Liga MX: 19/10 2024 Querétaro 0 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 13/01 2024 Querétaro 2 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 08/10 2023 Toluca 3 Querétaro 1
- Liga MX: 06/03 2023 Querétaro 1 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 02/10 2022 Toluca 4 Querétaro 1
- Liga MX: 25/02 2022 Querétaro 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 03/10 2021 Toluca 1 Querétaro 1
Querétaro League Stats
Toluca League Stats
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 38.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 60.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Querétaro this season are Ali Avila (3), Mateo Coronel (1), Santiago Homenchenko (1)
- Top Assistors for Querétaro this season are Bayron Duarte (1), Santiago Homenchenko (1)
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Querétaro vs Toluca Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Gallos Blancos vs Toluca team news before placing your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Querétaro Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Querétaro Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Querétaro Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Querétaro Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Esteban Gonzalez
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Puebla | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Querétaro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Guadalajara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | León | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 15 | San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 16 | Tigres | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 18 | Juárez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 3 | América | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Querétaro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 | León | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Guadalajara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlante | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | Tigres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Puebla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | San Luis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Pumas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Pachuca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Juárez | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
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