Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Mid-table Rayo Vallecano meet third-placed Villarreal at Estadio de Vallecas, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 17 May.

Villarreal +0.25 at -139 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Rayo, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.

Rayo Vallecano played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Estadio Mestalla against Valencia. Los Franjirrojos had three shots on target and 48% possession, with Florian Lejeune bagging the goal.

Villarreal were beaten 3-2 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Sevilla at Estadio de la Ceramica. Marcelino Garcia's men boasted 63% possession and had four shots on goal, with Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villarreal have triumphed in the last two encounters against Rayo. On home soil at Estadio de la Ceramica, the scoreline was 4-0 following a 1-0 away win at Estadio de Vallecas. Villarreal have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings, with Rayo getting two victories along with two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Villarreal	38	22	6	10	72	46	26	72:46	72
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3	41:44	50

View Full Table

Rayo have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. The Madrid team have averaged 53.1% possession, 381.8 passes and 5.5 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 5.1 corners.

Sergio Camello is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Florian Lejeune, Alexandre Zurawski and Randy Nteka each have 2. Gerard Gumbau has the most assists with 2, while goalkeepers Augusto Batalla and Dani Cardenas have recorded 3 clean sheets between them.

Villarreal have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, averaging 4.8 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 1.9 goals. El Submarino Amarillo average 45.8% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 6.2 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 12.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

The leading goalscorers have been Nicolas Pepe on 5, Georges Mikautadze with 4 and Gerard Moreno 3. Santi Comesana has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Rayo Vallecano confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Pathe Ciss, Florian Lejeune, Pep Chavarria, Oscar Trejo, Oscar Valentin, Unai Lopez, Jorge de Frutos, Alexandre Zurawski, Sergio Camello.

Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Arnau Tenas (GK), Santiago Mourino, Willy Kambwala, Rafa Marin, Sergi Cardona, Tajon Buchanan, Santi Comesana, Pape Gueye, Alberto Moleiro, Ayoze Perez, Tani Oluwaseyi.

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Villarreal +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -139 for this La Liga game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest La Liga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

Key Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villarreal in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villarreal in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villarreal in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 5 consecutive games against Villarreal.

The best betting apps make it a 58.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to get an odds boost when it comes to Villarreal covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder where multiple picks on the same game can be combined together.

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Our Match Prediction

Villarreal Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 19:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rayo 1 - 2 Villarreal

A 2-1 win in favor of Villarreal can be backed at odds of +950. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Randy Nteka Over 1.5 Shots +110

Randy Nteka (Rayo) has recorded over 1.5 shots in three consecutive La Liga matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of +110.

Latest Randy Nteka Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+550

Shots

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

---

Nicolas Pepe to Score +300

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal) has netted three goals in his past five La Liga matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +300 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Nicolas Pepe Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+900

Shots

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Villarreal Under 4.5 Corners -156

Villarreal have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in ten consecutive away matches, while Rayo Vallecano have conceded 4.60 corners on average in their previous 10 home games. There’s a price of -156 for this Team Corners bet and we think the Villarreal line is too big.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rayo

Total

10.60 5.50 5.10

Home

11.20 6.60 4.60

Away

9.70 4.30 5.40

Villarreal

Total

10.30 4.10 6.20

Home

10.70 5.00 5.70

Away

8.20 2.60 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Rayo Corners

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-115

Villarreal Corners

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+104

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+650

2

+190

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookmakers affording them a 50% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are +102 when it comes to this La Liga encounter. If you’re interested in wagering Villarreal, you can get +250 for the underdog.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Rayo are -217 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Villarreal being priced up at +145 with the same money back guarantee.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -182 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to La Liga games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+102

X

+255

2

+250

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+132

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-345

X2

-130

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+145

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-100

2 Hcp +0.5

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+133

Favourite Gerard Moreno is +500 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+180

Anytime

+510

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Alemão (Rayo)

First

+200

Anytime

+575

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+200

Anytime

+600

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Alfonso González (Villarreal)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Santi Comesaña (Villarreal)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Alexander Freeman (Villarreal)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Unai López (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Jozhua Vertrouwd (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Alemão (Rayo)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Alfonso González (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Jozhua Vertrouwd (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Unai López (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Freeman (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Santi Comesaña (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Stats: La Liga matches only
Rayo have gone unbeaten at Estadio de Vallecas in the last six games. Los Franjirrojos have recorded five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Villarreal have not lost on their travels in the past three matches. El Submarino Amarillo have finished with four draws, four defeats and two win in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Villarreal overcame Rayo 1-0 when the sides last met at Estadio de Vallecas. We’ve seen the previous 4 H2H meetings at Estadio de Vallecas involve two triumphs for Villarreal, one draw and one win for Rayo.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Rayo Vallecano Home Stats		5-4-1	2.20	1.50	0.70	3	7	4	6
Villarreal Away Stats		2-4-4	2.50	1.00	1.50	4	6	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Rayo vs Villarreal before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Rayo Vallecano Team Page Villarreal Team Page

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