RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 May 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli
Third-placed RB Leipzig clash with second-from-bottom St. Pauli at Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 9 May.
Leipzig are likely to beat St. Pauli and we think there’s merit in backing the favourites at -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at -116. It’s well within their capability to claim a victory by two goals or more here.
RB Leipzig have won four home games on the bounce. Away at BayArena in their last game, they were beaten 4-1 by Bayer Leverkusen. The Red Bulls had 45% possession and totalled five shots on target, with Christoph Baumgartner scoring the goal.
St. Pauli have been defeated in back-to-back Bundesliga games. They were recently beaten at home to Mainz 05 by a 2-1 scoreline at Millerntor-Stadion. Alexander Blessin's team had 51% possession and managed three shots on goal, with Abdoulie Ceesay finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Leipzig are unbeaten when it comes to the past four games against St. Pauli, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Millerntor-Stadion. The past 4 H2H matches have included two Leipzig wins along with two draws.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 29:60 | 26 |
Leipzig have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. The Saxony side have averaged 52.9% possession, 460.6 passes and 5.7 corners per match, conceding 1.2 goals and 4.3 corners from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.
Top goalscorer is Christoph Baumgartner on 5 goals, while Yan Diomande has bagged 4 and Romulo Cruz 3. Yan Diomande has the most assists with 3, while goalie Maarten Vandevoordt has recorded 2 clean sheets.
St. Pauli have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.7 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. The Kiezkickers have averaged 43.2% possession, 409.5 passes, 4.1 corners taken and 5.3 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts.
Mathias Pereira Lage has scored 2 goals, followed by Abdoulie Ceesay, Karol Mets, Danel Sinani and Hauke Wahl on 1. Manolis Saliakas has been chief assist maker on 2, with Nikola Vasilj recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Maarten Vandevoordt (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Brajan Gruda, Romulo Cruz, Yan Diomande.
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Jackson Irvine, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Connor Metcalfe, Martijn Kaars, Andreas Hountondji.
RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips
Join us as we dissect the best RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
If you agree with our verdict that Leipzig can win convincingly, then you can back them -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at -116. The favourites could have the upper hand in this Bundesliga clash.
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Bundesliga form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
Key RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 53.8% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back Leipzig to cover the line along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of picks on the same game.
Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
St. Pauli
A potentially entertaining bet is going for Leipzig to win by a 2-0 scoreline. At odds of +600, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has had over 1.5 shots in four consecutive Bundesliga matches away from home. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of -111 currently available.
Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) has scored four goals in his past five Bundesliga games on home soil. There are odds of +180 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Each of the past four Leipzig games have involved the 9.5 Total Corners line being covered, with the previous three St. Pauli matches having the same outcome. There are odds of -139 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.
Leipzig
St. Pauli
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is compiled of the following: Leipzig to cover the -1.5 Asian Handicap, BTTS No merged with Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) to score.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
RB Leipzig are strong -357 favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 78% chance of claiming victory. St. Pauli are the outsiders at +850 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.
Leipzig can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -141. However, St. Pauli are +600 and the draw is +180 if you want to take a different option.
Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -133.
For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Bundesliga matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.
Yan Diomande can be backed to find the net anytime at +135, with +410 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Stats: Bundesliga matches only
Leipzig have enjoyed four straight wins at Red Bull Arena. The Red Bulls have secured five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
St. Pauli have not triumphed in three straight away matches. Alexander Blessin's team have six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
Leipzig overcame St. Pauli 2-0 when the sides last met at Red Bull Arena.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
| St. Pauli Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.40 | 0.70 | 1.70 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
RB Leipzig League Stats
St. Pauli League Stats
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for RB Leipzig this season are Christoph Baumgartner (13), Yan Diomande (12), Romulo Cruz (9)
- Top Assistors for RB Leipzig this season are Christoph Baumgartner (7), Yan Diomande (7), David Raum (6)
RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Leipzig vs St. Pauli team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga together with updated injury news.
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
RB Leipzig Substitutes
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 5E. C. Bitshiabu
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 9Johan Bakayoko
- 11Conrad Harder
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 16Lukas Klostermann
- 35Max Finkgrafe
- 39Benjamin Henrichs
St Pauli Substitutes
- 1Ben Alexander Voll
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 9Abdoulie Ceesay
- 10Danel Sinani
- 14Fin Stevens
- 18Taichi Hara
- 20Mathias Rasmussen
Previous RB Leipzig Lineups
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
RB Leipzig Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ole Werner
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68:19 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40:16 | 41 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30:16 | 39 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40:20 | 38 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35:21 | 32 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Augsburg | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:28 | 26 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:27 | 25 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 22 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 19 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19:31 | 19 |
| 15 | Mainz 05 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:37 | 17 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:31 | 17 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21:32 | 10 |
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