Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz

Red Bull Salzburg take on Sturm Graz at Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Sunday 3 May.

We feel confident when it comes to wagering Sturm Graz +0.5 on the Asian Handicap against Salzburg. Securing a price of +104 looks like the way forward and we need a win or draw here.

Red Bull Salzburg were beaten last game and this was on their travels at Allianz Stadion. Rapid Vienna claimed a 1-0 win. Daniel Beichler's team managed two shots on target and recorded 45% possession.

Sturm Graz drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Austria Vienna at Merkur-Arena. The Blackies recorded 60% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Paul-Friedrich Koller was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sturm have not lost to Salzburg in the past five games, with the last clash seeing a 1-1 draw played out at Merkur-Arena. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in four Sturm victories and two Salzburg wins. There have also been four draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Sturm Graz	29	14	7	8	44	32	12	44:32	30
3	RB Salzburg	29	13	8	8	53	35	18	53:35	28

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. Salzburg have had 58.7% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts, while being awarded 2.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Karim Konate has found the net 5 times, with Yorbe Vertessen, Kerim Alajbegovic and Sota Kitano scoring 2 each. Frans Kraetzig is the top assists maker with 4.

Sturm have 4 victories and 6 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.2% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts.

Otar Kiteishvili has landed 6 goals, Belmin Beganovic 2, with Paul-Friedrich Koller and two others scoring 1. Look no further than Seedy Jatta for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Red Bull Salzburg predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Alexander Schlager (GK), Stefan Lainer, Jannik Schuster, Tim Drexler, Frans Krätzig, Mads Bidstrup, Yorbe Vertessen, Sota Kitano, Maurits Kjaergaard, Kerim Alajbegović, Karim Konaté.

Sturm Graz predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Daniil Khudyakov (GK), Albert Vallci, Emanuel Aiwu, Paul-Friedrich Koller, Jacob Hodl, Maurice Malone, Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Emir Karic, Otar Kiteishvili, Seedy Jatta, Gizo Mamageishvili.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Sturm Graz seem like a great wager on the Asian Handicap for this Bundesliga encounter. Betting the visitors at +0.5 at +104 looks like the path to a return, with plenty of value in this price.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Bundesliga team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Sturm in 10 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Sturm in 13 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Sturm in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Salzburg in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Salzburg in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Salzburg in 5 consecutive games against Sturm.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Sturm Graz Asian Hcp +0.5 @ +104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 1, 17:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Salzburg 1 - 1 Sturm

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +525. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Corners Prediction

Salzburg Under 5.5 Corners -122

In their past three home games, Red Bull Salzburg have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the previous two Sturm Graz matches have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting Salzburg to fall short and you can get odds of -122.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Salzburg

Total

7.90 5.10 2.80

Home

8.30 5.20 3.10

Away

8.10 4.70 3.40

Sturm

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

9.80 5.00 4.80

Away

9.50 4.80 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-102

Salzburg Corners

Over 5.5

-116

Under 5.5

-122

Sturm Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-189

X

+600

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 58% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -141 betting odds for Red Bull Salzburg winning this Bundesliga clash. Sturm Graz are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +310.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Salzburg are +118, while Sturm are alternatively priced at +320 and the draw is +143.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -200.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Bundesliga match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+285

2

+310

Half-Time Result

1

+118

X

+143

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-476

X2

-102

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-147

2 Hcp +0.5

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+133

Over 2.5

-192

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+132

Salzburg have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Sturm Graz haven’t tasted defeat in four consecutive away matches. The Blackies have finished with five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Sturm beat Salzburg 2-0 when the teams last met at Red Bull Arena. It’s been five Salzburg victories, three draws and two Sturm wins in the previous 10 H2H games at Red Bull Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Red Bull Salzburg Home Stats		5-1-4	3.10	1.80	1.30	6	4	6	4
Sturm Graz Away Stats		5-2-3	3.30	1.90	1.40	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Salzburg vs Sturm without reviewing the latest team news. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga and the newest injury information.

Red Bull Salzburg Team Page Sturm Graz Team Page

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