Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Santa Clara vs Nacional

Santa Clara take on Nacional at Estadio do Sao Miguel, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Monday 11 May.

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 when Santa Clara clash with Nacional. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to take odds of -147 and we think a return is on the cards.

Santa Clara drew away from home in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Arouca at Municipal de Arouca. The Azores side managed three shots on target and had 49% possession, while Gabriel Silva and Elias Manoel scored one goal apiece.

Nacional lost when last in action. In a home game at Estadio da Madeira, they were beaten 2-1 by AVS. Tiago Margarido's men racked up five shots on goal and enjoyed 68% possession, while Filipe Soares found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio da Madeira hosted the last head-to-head when home side Nacional drew 3-3 with Santa Clara. The previous 5 H2H games have involved three Santa Clara triumphs, one Nacional win and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Santa Clara	32	8	9	15	30	40	-10	30:40	33
14	Nacional	32	8	7	17	35	43	-8	35:43	31

View Full Table

Santa Clara have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. Petit's team have averaged 49.9% possession, 352.5 passes and 4.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.2 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Gabriel Silva leads the way with 4 goals, Goncalo Paciencia has 2, with Elias Manoel and two others on 1. Welinton, Sergio Araujo and Frederico Venancio are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Gabriel Batista managing 4 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, with an average of 5.2 shots on goal, 13.7 attempts and 0.8 goals. The White and Black average 47.9% possession, 330.4 passes, 4.6 corners taken and 6.8 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 13.2 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Jesus Ramirez is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, Paulinho Boia has 2, with Filipe Soares and Miguel Baeza both on 1. Daniel, Jose Gomes and Leonardo Santos are top assists providers with 1, while Kaique Pereira has recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Santa Clara predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Batista (GK), Diogo Calila, Sidney Lima, Frederico Venancio, Guilherme Romão, José Luís Rocha Tavares, Sérginho Miguel Araújo Lobo, Brenner Lucas, Klismahn, Gabriel Silva, Gonçalo Paciência.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Núñez, Léo Santos, Witi, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Filipe Soares, Gabriel Veron, Daniel Júnior, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez.

Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Santa Clara vs Nacional from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

There could be some merit in betting Under 2.5 when it comes to this Primeira Liga game. The two teams could be set to play out a low-scoring clash and we’re happy to take the odds of -147.

We’re always focused on the Primeira Liga form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Santa Clara vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Santa Clara games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Santa Clara games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Nacional games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 19 Nacional games on the road.

The best football betting sites make it a 59.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re hunting larger odds, there’s the opportunity to not only back the Under 2.5 Goals selection but also back a specific team to win. The Result & Total Goals market presents this opportunity.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 9, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Santa Clara 1 - 1 Nacional

An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +430. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -147

It has now been six straight Nacional matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -147 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Santa Clara

Total

9.20 4.70 4.50

Home

8.80 4.20 4.60

Away

9.80 5.20 4.60

Nacional

Total

11.40 4.60 6.80

Home

11.30 5.10 6.20

Away

10.30 3.40 6.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Santa Clara Corners

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-116

Nacional Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+700

2

+180

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Santa Clara vs Nacional Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Primeira Liga encounter, the bookmakers have Santa Clara as the -105 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 51% chance of triumphing. Nacional are seen as the most unlikely winner at +275.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Santa Clara are -111, although Nacional are +0.5 at -128 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. The latest Both Teams to Score betting suggests that there’s exactly the same chance of BTTS Yes and No happening, with -119 available.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-105

X

+230

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+115

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-357

X2

-135

Draw No Bet

1

-244

2

+163

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-111

2 Hcp +0.5

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-119

Favourite Jesus Ramírez Díaz is priced at +430 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +185.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+185

Anytime

+430

Vinícius Lopes (Santa Clara)

First

+190

Anytime

+420

João Pedro Augusto Mourão Costa (Santa Clara)

First

+255

Anytime

+550

Gonçalo Paciência (Santa Clara)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Welinton Macedo dos Santos (Santa Clara)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Elias Manoel (Santa Clara)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Andrey Felisberto Dos Santos (Santa Clara)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Sérgio Miguel Lobo Araújo (Santa Clara)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Klismahn (Santa Clara)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Guilherme Romão (Santa Clara)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Pedro Pacheco (Santa Clara)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Frederico Venancio (Santa Clara)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Matheus ''MT'' Faugundes de Araújo (Santa Clara)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Diogo Calila (Santa Clara)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Sidney Alexssander Pena de Lima (Santa Clara)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Soares (Santa Clara)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Santa Clara have managed five losses, four victories and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Nacional have seven defeats, two draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

In the last meeting at Estadio do Sao Miguel, Santa Clara defeated Nacional by a 1-0 scoreline.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Santa Clara Home Stats		4-1-5	2.00	0.90	1.10	3	7	3	7
Nacional Away Stats		1-2-7	2.40	0.80	1.60	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Santa Clara vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Santa Clara vs Nacional team news before you bet. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus current injury reports.

Santa Clara Team Page Nacional Team Page

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