Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026
Serie A Betting Preview: Sassuolo vs AC Milan
Sassuolo go head-to-head with AC Milan at Stadio Mapei, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 3 May.
Milan have a good chance of getting a result against Sassuolo. On this basis, we will bet the away team at -143 on the Full-Time Result market and land the dividends if they manage to secure a victory.
Sassuolo faced Fiorentina away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Stadio Artemio Franchi. I Neroverdi had 52% possession and two shots on target.
AC Milan hosted Juventus at San Siro in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw. The Lombardy club recorded 48% possession and had one shot on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Milan have gone unbeaten in their past four matches against Sassuolo, with the last clash ending in a 2-2 draw at San Siro. The previous 10 H2H games have featured four Milan wins, three draws and three Sassuolo victories.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AC Milan |
34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 48:27 | 67 |
| 10 | Sassuolo |
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41:44 | 46 |
Sassuolo have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. Fabio Grosso's side have averaged 44.1% possession, 380.8 passes and 4.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.0 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 14.4 attempts and 5.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Andrea Pinamonti has found the net 4 times, with Ismael Kone, Armand Lauriente and Domenico Berardi scoring 2 each. Armand Lauriente has the most assists with 5, while goalkeepers Arijanet Muric and Stefano Turati have recorded 2 clean sheets between them.
Milan have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. I Rossoneri have averaged 54.3% possession, 503.4 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 0.9 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.
We’ve seen Adrien Rabiot, Strahinja Pavlovic and Rafael Leao score 2 goals each. Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic and Zachary Athekame are top assists providers with 1, while Mike Maignan has recorded 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Sassuolo predicted lineup (4-3-3): Stefano Turati (GK), Sebastian Walukiewicz, Jay Idzes, Tarik Muharemovic, Ulisses Garcia, Ismael Kone, Nemanja Matic, Kristian Thorstvedt, Cristian Volpato, Andrea Pinamonti, Armand Lauriente.
AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Samuele Ricci, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover our expert Sassuolo vs AC Milan betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Match Prediction
We’re confident when it comes to Milan landing a victory. It’s looking likely that the away team could have the upper hand in this Serie A clash and a price of -143 is highly appealing.
The latest Serie A injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key Sassuolo vs AC Milan league stats:
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
Bettors who are looking for a bigger price when backing Milan should take a look at the Asian Handicap. Place a bet on the favourites to cover the line that makes the most appeal.
Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Milan winning 2-0. Odds of +700 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Cristian Volpato (Sassuolo) has covered the 1.5 shots total in back-to-back Serie A matches. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Player Shots line at odds of +128.
Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has registered four goals in his past nine Serie A away games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +370.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen under 9.5 corners in four consecutive Milan games. There’s a price of -109 for this Total Corners bet and we think the line is too big.
Sassuolo
Milan
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Milan to succeed, no more than two goals to be scored combined with Cristian Volpato (Sassuolo) to finish with Over 1.5 shots.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an approximate 59% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -143 betting odds for AC Milan triumphing in this Serie A encounter. Sassuolo are seen as the most unlikely winner at +370.
Milan are -110 if you take them on the Asian Handicap at -0.75. Stakes are split between -0.5 and -1 which means you need a 2+ goal win for a full payout. A one-goal victory means a return with half your stake and the other half refunded.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -149.
There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Serie A coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.
Favourite Rafael Leão is available at +440 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Sassuolo have racked up five wins, four defeats and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Milan have racked up six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.60.
The most recent Stadio Mapei meeting saw Sassuolo draw 3-3 with Milan. 3 of the past 5 H2H matches at Stadio Mapei have gone the way of Milan, with two draws also occurring.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sassuolo Home Stats |
5-1-4 | 2.50 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
AC Milan Away Stats |
6-2-2 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 14/12 2025 AC Milan 2 Sassuolo 2
- Coppa Italia: 03/12 2024 AC Milan 6 Sassuolo 1
- Serie A: 14/04 2024 Sassuolo 3 AC Milan 3
- Serie A: 30/12 2023 AC Milan 1 Sassuolo 0
- Serie A: 29/01 2023 AC Milan 2 Sassuolo 5
- Serie A: 30/08 2022 Sassuolo 0 AC Milan 0
- Serie A: 22/05 2022 Sassuolo 0 AC Milan 3
- Serie A: 28/11 2021 AC Milan 1 Sassuolo 3
- Serie A: 21/04 2021 AC Milan 1 Sassuolo 2
- Serie A: 20/12 2020 Sassuolo 1 AC Milan 2
Sassuolo League Stats
AC Milan League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sassuolo this season are Andrea Pinamonti (8), Domenico Berardi (7), Ismael Kone (6)
- Top Assistors for Sassuolo this season are Armand Lauriente (8), Cristian Volpato (4), Domenico Berardi (4)
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Sassuolo vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Sassuolo vs Milan team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A together with updated injury news.
Sassuolo Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Sassuolo Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Sassuolo Lineups
Previous AC Milan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sassuolo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fabio Grosso
AC Milan Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80:31 | 79 |
| 2 | Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52:33 | 69 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:29 | 64 |
| 5 | Como | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 59:28 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:32 | 54 |
| 8 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 48 |
| 9 | Bologna | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 48 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:44 | 46 |
| 11 | Udinese | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:46 | 44 |
| 12 | Parma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25:40 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:56 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40:48 | 39 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:49 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | 29 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | 28 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23:56 | 19 |
| 20 | Pisa | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24:61 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 47:15 | 41 |
| 2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Juventus | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:13 | 36 |
| 4 | Roma | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27:10 | 36 |
| 5 | Como | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | 32 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 22:16 | 32 |
| 8 | Lazio | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:21 | 27 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 10 | Torino | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 24 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 22 |
| 12 | Genoa | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 13 | Bologna | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 16:20 | 20 |
| 14 | Udinese | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:20 | 20 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 16 | Parma | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | 18 |
| 17 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:23 | 17 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | 13 |
| 19 | Pisa | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 8:21 | 10 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12:25 | 8 |
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