Southampton vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Aug 2026
Southampton vs Stoke Predictions
We think that Southampton can get the better of Stoke and we really like the odds of -167 on the Full-Time Result market. The price looks appealing and we’re confident this selection will be on the money.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Southampton vs Stoke, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Southampton vs Stoke Preview
Southampton square off against Stoke at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 22 August.
Southampton opened the new season with a 2-1 defeat away to Watford at Vicarage Road. Tonda Eckert's team enjoyed 66% possession and had three shots on target, while Cyle Larin was the goalscorer.
Stoke City also started the new season with a defeat, losing 2-1 at home to Swansea City at bet365 Stadium. The Potters recorded 41% possession and had two shots on goal, with Eric Bocat finding the net.
H2H: Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 2-0 Southampton Victory
Southampton triumphed in the last encounter between the pair. Landing a 2-0 away victory when playing Stoke at bet365 Stadium. Southampton have won three of the previous 5 H2H games, with Stoke victorious in the other two.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Stoke |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 13 |  Southampton |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19:10 | 10 |
7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 14.3 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal. Southampton have had 55.9% possession and 6.2 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 11.1 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.0 corners.
Cyle Larin is the top goalscorer with 7, Ross Stewart has 3, with Taylor Harwood-Bellis and two other players on 2. Cameron Archer and Ryan Manning have been top assistors with 3.
Stoke have 2 victories, 7 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 3.3 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 1.0 goals. Mark Robins' men average 49.1% possession, 7.1 corners taken and 3.5 corners against them, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 11.0 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.
We’ve seen Lamine Cisse, Jesurun Rak-Sakyi and Million Manhoef score 2 goals each. Sorba Thomas is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Southampton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Nathan Wood, Jack Stephens, Ryan Manning, Flynn Downes, Kuryu Matsuki, Tom Fellows, Finn Azaz, Leo Scienza, Cyle Larin.
Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Ben Johnson, Ben Wilmot, Ben Gibson, Eric Bocat, Djibril Soumare, Ethan Galbraith, Sam Gallagher, Jun-Ho Bae, Sorba Thomas, George Hirst.
Main Match Prediction
There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Southampton record a victory and they are priced at -167 to win this Championship clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Championship stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 62.5% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Southampton. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.
Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Stoke
We’re going for Southampton at +600 to secure a 2-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Million Manhoef (Stoke) can be backed at -105 to have at least one shot on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.
Cyle Larin (Southampton) has found the net in four straight Championship matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +165 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Southampton have had under 6.5 corners in three consecutive matches, with Stoke conceding under 6.5 corners in the previous eight games. We’re expecting Southampton to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at -141.
Southampton
Stoke
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Southampton on the 1x2, two or less goals along with Million Manhoef (Stoke) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Southampton vs Stoke Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Southampton are the -167 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 63% chance of triumphing in this Championship encounter according to the latest odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +410 about Stoke City.
Siding with Southampton -1 on the Asian Handicap at -103 is a solid option if you think they might beat Stoke by two goals or more. A one-goal margin of victory would see you get money back with this wager.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. BTTS Yes is available at -154 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Championship match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.
Favourite Cyle Larin is available at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Stats: Last 10 Championship matches only.
Southampton have not tasted defeat at St. Mary's in ten straight matches. The Saints have seven victories and three draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.60.
It’s now been seven straight Stoke defeats on the road. The Potters have clocked up seven losses, two draws and one win in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Stoke overcame Southampton 2-1 when the sides last met at St. Mary's.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton Home Stats |
7-3-0 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
| Stoke Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Southampton League Stats
Stoke League Stats
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Southampton this season are Cyle Larin (1)
- Top Assistors for Southampton this season are Cameron Bragg (1)
Southampton vs Stoke Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Southampton vs Stoke before making your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship along with up-to-date injury news.
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Substitutes
- 11Lewis Dobbin
- 17Joshua Quarshie
- 19Cameron Archer
- 23Samuel Edozie
- 25George Long
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 28Divin Mubama
- 29Romeo Akachukwu
- 34Welington
Stoke Substitutes
- 4Ben Pearson
- 5Luke Graham
- 6Svante Ingelsson
- 9Robert Bozenik
- 19Tomas Rigo
- 24Joshua Griffiths
- 40Maksym Talovierov
- 42Million Manhoef
- 52Laurence Giani
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Stoke Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Southampton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tonda Eckert
Stoke Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 3 | West Ham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Swansea | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Charlton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 8 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 10 | Watford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bolton | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 17 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 18 | Birmingham | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 21 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Preston | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 23 | Lincoln | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 24 | Derby | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
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