Tigres vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Oct 2026

Tigres vs Toluca Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Tigres Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -137

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Tigres look capable of beating Toluca and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back the home team at -137 with a +0.25 goal start, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5 which means a return if they avoid defeat.

Continue reading for our complete Tigres vs Toluca betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Tigres vs Toluca Preview

Tigres host Toluca at El Volcán, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Friday 9 October.

Tigres UANL got the victory in their last game. This was in the form of a 1-0 home scoreline against Club Puebla at El Volcán. Guido Pizarro's team boasted 56% possession and had four shots on target, with Juan Brunetta scoring the winning goal in the 54th minute.

Deportivo Toluca had a 3-3 draw at Estadio Banorte in their previous game. This was away to Cruz Azul. Los Diablos Rojos boasted 56% possession and had six shots on goal, while Alexis Vega was on the scoresheet twice and Helinho also found the net.

H2H: Toluca Penalties Victory in Last Head-to-Head

Toluca are unbeaten against Tigres in three games, with the last clash seeing them land a penalty shootout CONCACAF Champions Cup victory (1-1 AET) at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Toluca wins, three draws and three Tigres successes.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	23	12	11	23:12	20
15	Tigres	10	2	4	4	10	13	-3	10:13	10

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Tigres UANL have had 52.6% possession and 6.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.6 corners.

Juan Brunetta leads the way with 4 goals, Rodrigo Aguirre has 3, with Fernando Gorriaran and two others on 1. Juan Brunetta has made the most assists with 4.

Deportivo Toluca have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.3 goals from 16.0 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. Antonio Mohamed's side average 56.8% possession, 5.7 corners in their favour and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 12.1 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Alexis Vega and Federico Vinas have scored 4 goals, followed by Helinho with 3. Look no further than Helinho for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Tigres predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Alan Franco, Joaquim, Rafael Guerrero, Mauro Laínez, Fernando Gorriarán, Diego Sánchez, Jonathan Ozziel Herrera, Juan Pablo Vigón, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Guillermo Martinez Ayala.

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Luan, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Everardo del Villar, Diego Barbosa, Nicolas Castro, Helinho, Pavel Uriel Pérez, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Main Match Prediction

When Tigres line up for this Liga MX game, we will back them at -137 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tigres in 9 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tigres in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 2 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tigres in 2 consecutive games against Toluca.

It's essential to know the players who are missing for the next clash along with the form for each of the two sides. If you’re looking for the best Liga MX stats, we will showcase them and they provide the foundation for our football picks.

The best betting apps make it a 57.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

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Tigres Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -137 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 8, 05:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tigres 1 - 0 Toluca

There could be merit in backing Tigres to win 1-0. Odds of +750 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ozziel Herrera Over 0.5 Shots On Target +110

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres) can be wagered to record one or more shots on goal at +110. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Ozziel Herrera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

---

Juan Brunetta to Score +220

Juan Brunetta (Tigres) has managed seven goals in his past ten Liga MX matches on home soil. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +220 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Juan Brunetta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Toluca Over 4.5 Corners -137

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Toluca in nine straight games. The amount of Toluca corners could be bigger than the Team Corners line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -137.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tigres

Total

10.40 6.80 3.60

Home

8.60 5.20 3.40

Away

11.60 6.80 4.80

Toluca

Total

11.20 5.70 5.50

Home

10.20 6.10 4.10

Away

10.70 5.20 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

-103

Tigres Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-109

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-114

Most Corners

1

-103

X

+650

2

+102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tigres vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds are available for this Liga MX encounter and you can get +132 that Deportivo Toluca win and +175 that Tigres UANL triumph. Those wanting to back the draw can get +235.

You can back Toluca at -147 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Tigres are -100 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. BTTS Yes is available at -189 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Liga MX games.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+235

2

+132

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+118

2

+175

Double Chance

1X

-179

12

-345

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-100

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-137

2 Hcp -0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-189

No

+125

João Paulo Paulinho is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +135.

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+135

Emiliano Gomez (Tigres)

First

+575

Anytime

+210

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

First

+575

Anytime

+220

Rodrigo Aguirre (Tigres)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Ricardo Monreal (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+250

Edgar López (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+260

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+300

Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)

First

+900

Anytime

+330

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

First

+950

Anytime

+360

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+360

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Mauro Laínez (Tigres)

First

+1200

Anytime

+460

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Érick Gutiérrez (Toluca)

First

+1400

Anytime

+500

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

First

+2000

Anytime

+750

Osvaldo Rodríguez (Tigres)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Emiliano Gomez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Aguirre (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Ricardo Monreal (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Edgar López (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Helinho (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Mauro Laínez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Érick Gutiérrez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Osvaldo Rodríguez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
Tigres have swerved defeat at El Volcán in the previous nine matches. Guido Pizarro's team have six victories, three draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Toluca are unbeaten over their previous five games on the road. Los Diablos Rojos have four defeats, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The last meeting at El Volcán saw Tigres and Toluca draw 0-0. Tigres have landed victory in six of the past 10 H2H meetings at El Volcán, with Toluca securing a win along with three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tigres Home Stats		6-3-1	2.80	2.00	0.80	5	5	6	4
Toluca Away Stats		3-3-4	2.70	1.30	1.40	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tigres vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Tigres vs Toluca before making your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX together with updated injury news.

Tigres Team Page Toluca Team Page

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