Tijuana vs Puebla Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Oct 2026

Tijuana vs Puebla Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Tijuana To Win @ -119

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Tijuana look like a standout bet when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. There are odds of -119 that the home team overcome Puebla and we’re confident that this is a value play.

We analyse several betting angles in our Tijuana vs Puebla betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Tijuana vs Puebla Preview

Tijuana take on Puebla at Estadio Caliente, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Friday 16 October.

Club Tijuana drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Juárez at Estadio Benito Juarez. Sebastian Abreu's men managed three shots on target and recorded 42% possession, with Mourad El Ghezouani bagging the goal.

Club Puebla drew 1-1 against Club León in their previous game. This was on home soil at Estadio Cuahutehmoc. La Franja had 51% possession and recorded six shots on goal, while Eduardo Armenta found the net.

H2H: Goalless Draw in Pair’s Last Battle

Puebla have avoided defeat against Tijuana in the past three games, with their last clash being a 0-0 draw at Estadio Caliente. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in five Puebla victories, three draws and two Tijuana wins.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15	14	1	15:14	15
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12	13	-1	12:13	15

View Full Table

Xolos have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. They have averaged 35.5% possession and 3.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 5.5 corners.

Gilberto Mora leads the way with 5 goals, Mourad El Ghezouani has 4, with Ignacio Rivero and Elias Manoel scoring 2. Adonis Preciado and Jesus Vega have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Club Puebla have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 12.0 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Gerardo Espinoza's side average 39.5% possession, 4.1 corners in their favour and 5.7 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Eduardo Mustre got 3 goals, Mathias Tomas notched 2, while Eduardo Armenta and two other players scored 1. Juan Pablo Vargas has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Tijuana predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): José Antonio Rodriguez (GK), Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Jesús Alejandro Gómez, Jesus Alan Vega, Ivan Tona, Ramiro Árciga, Jonathan Yael Padilla, Ignacio Rivero, Adonis Preciado, Mourad El Ghezouani.

Puebla predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ricardo Daniel Gutiérrez (GK), Iker Moreno, Facundo Almada, Juan Pablo Vargas, Fernando Monárrez, Alejandro Organista, Alonso Ramírez, Bryan Garnica, Mathias Tomas, Omar Moreno, Ignacio Maestro Puch.

Main Match Prediction

We really like Tijuana at odds of -119 to win this Liga MX game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Tijuana have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Tijuana have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Puebla have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Puebla have lost 12 of their last 19 games on the road.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Liga MX data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Fancy Xolos to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the Asian Handicap and consider them to cover one of the available lines.

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Tijuana To Win @ -119 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 15, 05:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tijuana 2 - 1 Puebla

You can secure odds of +575 that Tijuana are able to land a 2-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Omar Moreno Over 0.5 Shots On Target -108

Omar Moreno (Puebla) is available to record one or more shots on goal at -108. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Omar Moreno Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

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Mourad El Ghezouani to Score +220

Mourad El Ghezouani (Tijuana) has found the net in his past two Liga MX matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +220 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Mourad El Ghezouani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -122

We’ve seen the past five Tijuana games feature an average 13.20 corners, while the last five Puebla matches have averaged 11.60. There’s a chance to go over the Total Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -122 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tijuana

Total

8.80 3.30 5.50

Home

9.30 4.10 5.20

Away

8.00 2.50 5.50

Puebla

Total

9.80 4.10 5.70

Home

12.70 5.10 7.60

Away

8.60 3.50 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-120

Tijuana Corners

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-154

Puebla Corners

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+108

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+650

2

+160

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tijuana vs Puebla Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Club Tijuana are available at -119 to come away with a triumph in this Liga MX clash, meaning a 54% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Club Puebla are the underdogs at +275 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Tijuana are -122 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on Puebla +0.5 at -112, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -175 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Hundreds of markets for every Liga MX match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-119

X

+255

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+125

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-385

X2

-112

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-122

2 Hcp +0.5

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-175

No

+116

Diego Abreu can be backed to find the net anytime at +165. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +475.

Diego Abreu (Tijuana)

First

+475

Anytime

+165

Eduardo Mustre (Puebla)

First

+575

Anytime

+200

Mourad El Ghezouani (Tijuana)

First

+600

Anytime

+220

Aldahir Perez (Tijuana)

First

+650

Anytime

+230

Kevin Velasco (Puebla)

First

+650

Anytime

+230

Francisco Gonzalez (Tijuana)

First

+700

Anytime

+260

Adonis Preciado (Tijuana)

First

+750

Anytime

+280

Elias Manoel (Tijuana)

First

+850

Anytime

+290

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Tijuana)

First

+900

Anytime

+320

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

First

+1000

Anytime

+340

Omar Moreno (Puebla)

First

+1050

Anytime

+370

Ignacio Maestro Puch (Puebla)

First

+1100

Anytime

+390

Fernando Monárrez (Puebla)

First

+1200

Anytime

+410

Iker Moreno (Puebla)

First

+1200

Anytime

+430

Frank Boya (Tijuana)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Angel Zapata (Tijuana)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Eduardo Armenta (Puebla)

First

+1500

Anytime

+525

Alejandro Organista (Puebla)

First

+1500

Anytime

+550

Bryan Garnica (Puebla)

First

+1500

Anytime

+575

Sergio Sanabria (Puebla)

First

+1500

Anytime

+575

Raúl Castillo (Puebla)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Heriberto Jurado (Puebla)

First

+1700

Anytime

+600

Jackson Porozo (Tijuana)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Alejandro Gomez (Tijuana)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Alberto Herrera (Puebla)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Eduardo Mustre (Puebla)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Kevin Velasco (Puebla)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Mourad El Ghezouani (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Aldahir Perez (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Francisco Gonzalez (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Elias Manoel (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Adonis Preciado (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Omar Moreno (Puebla)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Ignacio Maestro Puch (Puebla)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Monárrez (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Iker Moreno (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Diego Abreu (Tijuana)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Armenta (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Frank Boya (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Angel Zapata (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Organista (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Sergio Sanabria (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Garnica (Puebla)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Jackson Porozo (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Gomez (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
Tijuana have secured six victories, three defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Puebla have managed seven losses and three victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Tijuana were involved in a 0-0 draw when last meeting Puebla at Estadio Caliente. We’ve seen the previous 8 H2H meetings at Estadio Caliente involve four Tijuana victories. There have also been three draws and Puebla triumphing once.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tijuana Home Stats		6-1-3	2.60	1.60	1.00	5	5	6	4
Puebla Away Stats		3-0-7	2.70	0.90	1.80	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Tijuana vs Puebla Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Xolos vs Puebla team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Tijuana Team Page Puebla Team Page

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