Toluca vs Juárez Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2026
Toluca vs Juárez Predictions
Toluca should finish well clear of Juárez and we’re playing the -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means our stake is split between -1.5 and -2.0 at tempting betting odds of -106.
We analyse several betting angles in our Toluca vs Juárez betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Toluca vs Juárez Preview
Toluca meet Juárez at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Sunday 30 August.
Deportivo Toluca won their last game 2-1. This was a road win against Querétaro at Estadio La Corregidora. Antonio Mohamed's men had 50% possession and three shots on target, while Helinho and Federico Vinas scored one goal each.
Juárez suffered a fifth straight defeat when losing 2-1 in their previous game. This was at home to Club América at Estadio Benito Juarez. Juárez were restricted to 41% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Oscar Estupinan finding the net.
3-1 Win for Toluca in Last H2H Battle
Toluca have gone unbeaten in their past seven meetings with Juárez. Their last encounter was at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with Toluca claiming a 3-1 home win. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in six Toluca victories, three draws and a solitary win for Juárez.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Toluca |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 18 | Juárez |
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3:15 | 0 |
4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 59.0% possession and 6.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.
The three top scorers are Everardo Lopez, Jorge Diaz and Nicolas Castro, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Jesus Gallardo is the top assists maker with 3.
Bravos de Juárez have won 1, lost 8 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.0 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. Pedro Caixinha's side have averaged 44.0% possession, 3.8 corners taken and 7.3 corners against, while conceding 2.6 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts.
Oscar Estupinan got 4 goals, Ettson Ayon notched 2, while Jose Luis Rodriguez and two other players scored 1. Jose Luis Rodriguez is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Brian García, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Fernando Arce, Helinho, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Federico Viñas.
Juárez predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Sebastián Jurado (GK), Francisco Nevarez, Jesús Murillo, Gilberto Sepúlveda, Javier Aquino, Rodrigo Dourado, Denzell García, Madson, Ían Jairo Torres, José Luis Rodríguez, Oscar Estupiñán.
Main Match Prediction
A big win could be on the cards for Toluca and that’s why we’re backing them at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap market. We’re a fan of the appealing -106 odds for this Liga MX match.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Liga MX stats.
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
In the quest to secure larger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.
Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +600 available that Toluca land a 3-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Jairo Torres (Juárez) is available to record at least one shot on goal at +200. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.
Helinho (Toluca) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +165. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past three away matches, Juárez have not covered the 2.5 corners line, with Toluca conceding 3.00 corners on average in their last 5 home games. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of -105 that Juárez fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.
Toluca
Juárez
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Toluca with an Asian Handicap of -1.75, No on the BTTS market and also Juárez to record under 2.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Toluca vs Juárez Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
According to the betting odds, Deportivo Toluca are major -385 favourites with the bookies to triumph and that means a 79% chance of winning this Liga MX clash. At +800, Juárez are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Juárez are +600 here and the draw is +175, with Toluca on offer at -167.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -130.
Hundreds of markets for every Liga MX match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.
Federico Viñas can be backed to find the net anytime at +112, with +360 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Stats: Liga MX matches only
Toluca have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
Juárez have been beaten in four consecutive away games. Juárez have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 2.40.
Toluca beat Juárez 3-1 when they last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Each team have landed three wins from the previous 8 H2H meetings at Estadio Nemesio Diez, along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toluca Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
Juárez Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 3.50 | 1.10 | 2.40 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 09/03 2026 Toluca 3 Juárez 1
- Liga MX: 30/11 2025 Toluca 0 Juárez 0
- Liga MX: 27/11 2025 Juárez 1 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 12/08 2025 Juárez 0 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 23/02 2025 Juárez 0 Toluca 4
- Liga MX: 14/07 2024 Toluca 3 Juárez 2
- Liga MX: 09/03 2024 Juárez 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 16/07 2023 Toluca 2 Juárez 4
- Liga MX: 23/04 2023 Toluca 1 Juárez 1
- Liga MX: 09/10 2022 Toluca 3 Juárez 0
Toluca League Stats
Juárez League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 7.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 7.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Toluca this season are Alexis Vega (1), Everardo Lopez (1), Federico Vinas (1)
- Top Assistors for Toluca this season are Helinho (2), Ivan Lopez (1), Jesus Gallardo (1)
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Toluca vs Juárez Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Toluca vs Bravos team news beforehand. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX, along with current injury news.
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Juárez Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Juárez Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Toluca Lineups
Previous Juárez Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Antonio Mohamed
Juárez Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Guadalajara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | León | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Pumas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 11 | Querétaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlante | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Tigres | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 16 | San Luis | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 0 |
| 18 | Juárez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:15 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 3 | América | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 5 | León | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Puebla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlante | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Querétaro | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 14 | San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 15 | Pumas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 16 | Pachuca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Juárez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
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