Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Nov 2026

Toluca vs Monterrey Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Monterrey Asian Hcp +1 @ -120

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We’re confident with our pick of Monterrey +1 on the Asian Handicap and you can land odds of -120 that they draw or defeat Toluca. Money is returned if the underdogs are beaten by one goal.

Scroll down to view our Toluca vs Monterrey betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Toluca vs Monterrey Preview

Toluca clash with Monterrey at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 7 November.

Deportivo Toluca played out a 2-2 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Estadio Banorte against Club América. Los Diablos Rojos had 45% possession and recorded one shot on target, while Federico Vinas and Alexis Vega each scored one goal.

Monterrey hosted Club Tijuana in their previous game, ending in a 3-3 draw at Estadio BBVA. They racked up seven shots on goal and enjoyed 70% possession, while Hugo Cuypers scored twice and Lucas Ocampos also found the net.

H2H: Toluca Won 1-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Toluca have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Monterrey. The most recent was a 1-0 away win at Estadio BBVA after a 3-2 home victory at Estadio Nemesio Diez. It has been six Toluca victories, two Monterrey wins and two draws in the previous 10 meetings between these sides.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Toluca	15	6	6	3	31	21	10	31:21	24
9	Monterrey	14	6	3	5	26	21	5	26:21	21

View Full Table

3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 15.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. Deportivo Toluca have had 52.2% possession and 7.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal, while earning 4.5 corners.

Federico Vinas leads the way with 7 goals, Alexis Vega has 4, with Helinho and Paulinho scoring 3. Helinho has recorded the most assists with 4.

Rayados have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 15.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.9% possession, 7.4 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.

Hugo Cuypers has recorded 5 goals, Diego Rossi 3, with Lucas Ocampos and Roberto de la Rosa both managing 2. Oliver Torres has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Santiago Simón, Luan, Diego Barbosa, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Érick Gutiérrez, Helinho, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Monterrey predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Esteban Andrada (GK), Ricardo Chávez, Víctor Andrés Guzmán, Carlos Salcedo, Gerardo Arteaga, Iker Fimbres, Orbelin Pineda, Diego Rossi, Cesar Garza, Lucas Ariel Ocampos, Hugo Cuypers.

Main Match Prediction

Monterrey should be able to be competitive as the underdogs and you can get odds of -120 that they win with a +1 goal start. We expect them to play their part in this Liga MX match.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +1 line has been covered by Monterrey in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Monterrey in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Monterrey in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 7 consecutive games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 9 of their last 10 games against Monterrey.

The first port of call is to check out the Liga MX injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Monterrey Asian Hcp +1 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 6, 02:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 2 Monterrey

We’re sweet on the prospect of a 2-2 draw which is available at odds of +800. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: João Paulo Paulinho Over 1.5 Shots On Target -122

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca) can be backed at -122 to cover the shots on goal total. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.

Latest João Paulo Paulinho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-100

First

+340

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

---

Lucas Ocampos to Score +340

Lucas Ocampos (Monterrey) has racked up two goals in his past four Liga MX matches on the road. It’s worth a gamble on the +340 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Lucas Ocampos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Toluca Under 6.5 Corners -137

Toluca have had under 6.5 corners in 8 of the past 10 matches, while Monterrey have conceded less than 6.5 corners in ten straight away games. The Toluca Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and -137 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

11.70 7.20 4.50

Home

11.90 7.90 4.00

Away

10.00 5.20 4.80

Monterrey

Total

10.50 7.40 3.10

Home

10.10 7.00 3.10

Away

9.00 4.60 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

-110

Toluca Corners

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-137

Monterrey Corners

Over 3.5

-172

Under 3.5

+108

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+650

2

+215

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toluca vs Monterrey Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites are 65% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Deportivo Toluca being priced at -182 to come away with a victory in this Liga MX encounter. The market suggests that Monterrey are least likely to win at +390.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Toluca are -106, while Monterrey are alternatively priced at +340 and the draw is +150.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -213 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Liga MX matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-182

X

+320

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

-106

X

+150

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-500

X2

+133

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-114

2 Hcp +1

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+165

Over 2.5

-238

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-213

No

+140

João Paulo Paulinho is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +340 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is -100.

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

+340

Anytime

-100

Federico Viñas (Toluca)

First

+450

Anytime

+140

Hugo Cuypers (Monterrey)

First

+540

Anytime

+165

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+180

Edgar López (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+185

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+200

Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+240

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+250

Diego Rossi (Monterrey)

First

+850

Anytime

+270

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+270

Lucas Ocampos (Monterrey)

First

+1100

Anytime

+340

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+1050

Anytime

+350

Roberto De La Rosa (Monterrey)

First

+1100

Anytime

+350

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+1100

Anytime

+360

Érick Gutiérrez (Toluca)

First

+1200

Anytime

+380

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+1300

Anytime

+420

Luca Orellano (Monterrey)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+1400

Anytime

+450

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+1500

Anytime

+475

Jesús Corona (Monterrey)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Iker Fimbres (Monterrey)

First

+1700

Anytime

+550

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+2000

Anytime

+650

Érick Aguirre (Monterrey)

First

+2000

Anytime

+650

Everardo López (Toluca)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Edgar López (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Helinho (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Diego Rossi (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Ocampos (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Roberto De La Rosa (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Luca Orellano (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Hugo Cuypers (Monterrey)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Érick Gutiérrez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Federico Viñas (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Jesús Corona (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
Toluca haven’t tasted victory in three consecutive matches at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Los Diablos Rojos have managed four victories, three draws and three losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Monterrey have managed five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

The most recent Estadio Nemesio Diez meeting saw Toluca claim a 3-2 win over Monterrey. The past 10 H2H matches at Estadio Nemesio Diez have seen six Toluca triumphs, one Monterrey win and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		4-3-3	3.70	2.30	1.40	7	3	8	2
Monterrey Away Stats		2-3-5	2.80	1.20	1.60	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs Monterrey Lineups & Team News

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