Toluca vs Pumas Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Jul 2026
Toluca vs Pumas Predictions
There’s a strong case for siding with Toluca when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Pumas and odds of -161 are attractive.
Take a closer look at our complete Toluca vs Pumas betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Toluca vs Pumas Preview
Toluca go head-to-head with Pumas at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Tuesday 21 July.
Deportivo Toluca won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Guadalajara at Guadalajara Stadium. Los Diablos Rojos had nine shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession, while Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo each scored one goal.
Pumas UNAM were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 3-0 at home to Pachuca at Olimpico Universitario. Esteban Solari's side had two shots on goal and boasted 61% possession.
Toluca Beat Pumas in their Last Clash
Toluca have not lost to Pumas in the past six meetings. In the last clash, Toluca banked a 3-2 win when visiting Olimpico Universitario. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five draws, three victories for Pumas and two wins for Toluca.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Toluca |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pumas |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0:3 | 0 |
Deportivo Toluca have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's team have averaged 58.0% possession and 5.2 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.6 corners from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts.
Top goalscorer Nicolas Castro has found the net 2 times, with Alexis Vega, Jesus Gallardo, Francisco Cordova and Fernando Arce scoring 1 each. Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo are tied for the most assists on 2.
Pumas UNAM have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 8.7 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The Mexico City club average 51.3% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 7.0 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts.
Robert Morales and Jordan Carrillo have top scored with 4 goals, while Juninho is next on 2. Jordan Carrillo is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Santiago Simón, Federico Pereira, Everardo del Villar, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Érick Gutiérrez, Jesús Angulo, Nicolas Castro, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Jorge Díaz Price.
Pumas predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Keylor Navas (GK), Rodrigo Lopez, Nathan Silva, Ruben Duarte, Alvaro Angulo, Santiago Trigos, Pedro Vite, Sebastián Córdova, Robert Morales, Stanley García, Juninho.
Main Match Prediction
Toluca should be able to deliver a return when they line up in this Liga MX game, with odds of -161 looking really appealing. We are confident that this is the best way to play this wager.
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Liga MX form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 61.7% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
If you’re looking for greater odds, Toluca can be backed at a bigger price on the Asian Handicap. Also consider the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets for more juice.
Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Pumas
An exciting bet could be a 2-0 victory in favor of Toluca at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Robert Morales (Pumas) is available at -147 to record a minimum of one shot on goal. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.
Nicolas Castro (Toluca) has registered two goals in his past five Liga MX games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +240 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Pumas have failed to cover the 3.5 corners line in three consecutive away matches, while Toluca have conceded 3.50 corners on average in their previous 10 home games. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -141 for this Pumas wager.
Toluca
Pumas
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are Toluca on the Full-Time Result, Under 2.5 goals combined with Pumas to record under 3.5 corners.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Toluca vs Pumas Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Deportivo Toluca odds are -189 which leads to them being favourites in this Liga MX clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 65% prospect of securing a victory. Pumas UNAM are regarded as the least likely winner at +425.
Toluca winning by one goal means that the Asian Handicap -1 selection would get a full refund. However, you would get paid out at -111 if they manage to beat Pumas by two or more.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -179 on the BTTS market.
The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Liga MX game and take your pick.
You will find João Paulo Paulinho at +280 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get -115 that he finds the net at anytime.
Stats: Liga MX matches only
Toluca have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
Pumas haven’t tasted victory in the previous three away matches. Esteban Solari's side have managed five draws, four victories and one loss in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.10.
The last meeting at Estadio Nemesio Diez saw Toluca and Pumas draw 1-1. Toluca have three wins from the previous 8 H2H matches at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with three draws and two Pumas triumphs also happening.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca Home Stats |
6-3-1 | 2.60 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
| Pumas Away Stats |
4-5-1 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 1.10 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 04/03 2026 Pumas 2 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 17/08 2025 Toluca 1 Pumas 1
- Liga MX: 30/01 2025 Pumas 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 06/10 2024 Toluca 1 Pumas 1
- Liga MX: 18/03 2024 Toluca 3 Pumas 0
- Liga MX: 19/08 2023 Pumas 1 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 16/04 2023 Pumas 3 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 11/09 2022 Toluca 2 Pumas 2
- Liga MX: 11/01 2022 Pumas 5 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 22/11 2021 Toluca 1 Pumas 2
Toluca League Stats
Pumas League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 7.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
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Toluca vs Pumas Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Toluca vs Pumas before making your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Pumas Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Pumas Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Toluca Lineups
Previous Pumas Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Antonio Mohamed
Pumas Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | América | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Puebla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 11 | San Luis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 12 | León | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 13 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Juárez | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Querétaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Tigres | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Pumas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | América | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | San Luis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 | León | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Juárez | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Querétaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Pumas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
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