Toluca vs San Luis Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Oct 2026
Toluca vs San Luis Predictions
Goals could be on the cards and we’re backing both Toluca and San Luis to find the net. You can get odds of -167 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection and this looks like real value.
Continue reading for our full Toluca vs San Luis betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Toluca vs San Luis Preview
Toluca square off against San Luis at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Saturday 17 October.
Deportivo Toluca lost away from home in their last game. Tigres UANL won 3-2 at El Volcán. Antonio Mohamed's team enjoyed 70% possession and managed six shots on target, while Paulinho and Federico Vinas scored one goal apiece.
Atlético San Luis were beaten in their previous game, losing 2-1 at home to Santos Laguna at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. Los Atléticos had three shots on goal and boasted 56% possession, while Oscar Macias found the net.
H2H: 7 Toluca Wins in Last 10 Head-to-Head Clashes
Toluca are unbeaten in the past seven games against San Luis, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven Toluca victories, one draw and two San Luis wins.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Toluca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25:15 | 20 |
| 15 |  San Luis |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15:20 | 12 |
Deportivo Toluca have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 16.2 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. Los Diablos Rojos have averaged 57.8% possession and 6.1 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 5.1 corners from 12.8 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.
Top scorer Federico Vinas has found the net 5 times, with Paulinho, Helinho and Alexis Vega getting 3 each. The leading assistor is Helinho with 3.
San Luis have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.5 attempts, 4.3 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. Diego Mejia's side average 53.7% possession, 3.0 corners in their favour and 6.5 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts.
David Rodriguez has scored 3, followed by Oscar Macias, Sebastien Lamonge and Rafa Llorente with 2 goals apiece. Sebastien Lamonge has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 2.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Brian García, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Érick Gutiérrez, Helinho, Nicolas Castro, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.
San Luis predicted lineup (3-4-3): Gibrán Lajud (GK), Benjamín Galindo, Eduardo Águila, Aldo Cruz, Román Torres, Óscar Macías, Sébastien Salles Lamonge, Anderson Duarte, David Rodriguez, Felipe Mora, Rafael Llorente.
Main Match Prediction
Toluca and San Luis both look capable of finding the net and we’re really taken by the -167 available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. This means a nice potential return for this Liga MX encounter.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Liga MX experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 62.5% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are picks along the same lines and they can be combined on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. In the quest for a slightly bigger price, you can take this option.
Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
San Luis
We’re predicting Toluca to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +575. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Nicolas Castro (Toluca) can be wagered at -137 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.
Alexis Vega (Toluca) has managed three goals in his past four Liga MX matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +150.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Toluca have racked up over 5.5 corners in 4 of the past 5 home games, while the last five San Luis away matches have involved them conceding over 5.5 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Toluca Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of -141 that they go over.
Toluca
San Luis
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi selections include both teams to find the net, San Luis with an Asian Handicap of +1.5 combined with Nicolas Castro (Toluca) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Toluca vs San Luis Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result odds give Deportivo Toluca a 74% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -278 favourites to win this Liga MX clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +600 about Atlético San Luis.
If you want a bigger price for Toluca winning, then there’s the option to bet them on the Asian Handicap -1.5 at -105. A victory by 2+ goals against San Luis would see you get a full return on this wager.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -167 on the BTTS market.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Liga MX games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
Toluca have collected five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
San Luis have finished with five losses, three victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 2.00.
The last meeting at Estadio Nemesio Diez saw Toluca and San Luis draw 1-1. There have been five Toluca victories, one San Luis win and one draw in the past 7 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 3.70 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
| San Luis Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.40 | 1.40 | 2.00 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 13/04 2026 Toluca 1 San Luis 1
- Liga MX: 30/08 2025 San Luis 1 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 17/04 2025 San Luis 0 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 25/08 2024 Toluca 2 San Luis 1
- Liga MX: 20/04 2024 San Luis 1 Toluca 5
- Liga MX: 29/10 2023 Toluca 3 San Luis 1
- Liga MX: 26/02 2023 Toluca 2 San Luis 0
- Liga MX: 22/08 2022 San Luis 1 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 13/02 2022 San Luis 0 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 26/09 2021 Toluca 1 San Luis 2
Toluca League Stats
San Luis League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 7.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Toluca this season are Federico Vinas (5), Alexis Vega (4), Helinho (3)
- Top Assistors for Toluca this season are Helinho (4), Alexis Vega (2), Nicolas Castro (2)
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Toluca vs San Luis Lineups & Team News
The Toluca vs San Luis team news could change everything — review it before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest injury reports.
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
San Luis Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
San Luis Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Toluca Lineups
Previous San Luis Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Antonio Mohamed
San Luis Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 20 |
| 3 | Querétaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 5 | León | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 17 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | 13 |
| 15 | San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:23 | 9 |
| 18 | Juárez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | León | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 3 | América | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Tigres | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 7 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Querétaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlante | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Pumas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 | San Luis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Juárez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 18 | Pachuca | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 3 |
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