Toluca vs Tijuana Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Oct 2026

Toluca vs Tijuana Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -161

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The BTTS Yes betting option really stands out at odds of -161. We think that this price is worth taking when Toluca go up against Tijuana, with the two teams capable of finding the net.

Read on for our full Toluca vs Tijuana betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Toluca vs Tijuana Preview

Toluca take on Tijuana at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Wednesday 21 October.

Deportivo Toluca drew their last game 1-1 at home, with the action taking place at Estadio Nemesio Diez against Atlético San Luis.

Club Tijuana played Club Puebla at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio Caliente. They recorded 58% possession and had six shots on goal.

H2H: Toluca 1-0 Winners When Teams Last Met

Toluca have not lost to Tijuana in the past five meetings. In their last clash, Toluca enjoyed a 1-0 success when hosting at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved six Toluca wins, two Tijuana victories and two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	12	6	3	3	26	16	10	26:16	21
10	Tijuana	11	4	4	3	15	14	1	15:14	16

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's men have averaged 51.2% possession and 6.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Top goalscorer Federico Vinas has found the net 5 times, with Paulinho, Helinho and Alexis Vega scoring 3 each. Helinho, Nicolas Castro and Alexis Vega have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Xolos have 3 victories, 3 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 9.8 attempts, 3.2 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. They average 36.2% possession, 4.4 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

Gilberto Mora has scored 5, followed by Mourad El Ghezouani, Ignacio Rivero and Elias Manoel with 2 goals apiece. Adonis Preciado and Jesus Vega have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (4-1-3-2): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Santiago Simón, Federico Pereira, Everardo del Villar, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Helinho, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Érick Gutiérrez, Federico Viñas, Paulinho.

Tijuana predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): José Antonio Rodriguez (GK), Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Jesús Alejandro Gómez, Jesus Alan Vega, Ivan Tona, Ramiro Árciga, Francisco Gonzalez, Ignacio Rivero, Adonis Preciado, Mourad El Ghezouani.

Main Match Prediction

Goals could be scored by both teams in this Liga MX clash and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -161 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 straight Toluca games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Toluca games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Toluca games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Tijuana games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Tijuana games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 10 of the last 18 Tijuana games on the road.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Liga MX team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 61.7% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are similar picks and they can be combined together on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. Consider going down this route if you’re looking for slightly bigger odds.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -161 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 20, 03:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 1 Tijuana

A 2-1 win in favor of Toluca is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: João Paulo Paulinho Over 1.5 Shots On Target -154

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca) is available at -154 to cover the shots on goal total. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.

Latest João Paulo Paulinho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-111

First

+300

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

---

Alexis Vega to Score +160

Alexis Vega (Toluca) has racked up two goals in his past four Liga MX games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +160 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -128

There’s been a corner average of 14.40 in the past five games involving Tijuana, with the 10.5 Total Corners line being covered in the last three Toluca home matches. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Total Corners line is covered at -128.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

11.90 6.70 5.20

Home

10.90 7.00 3.90

Away

10.80 5.70 5.10

Tijuana

Total

9.80 4.40 5.40

Home

10.10 5.00 5.10

Away

8.00 2.50 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-118

Toluca Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-156

Tijuana Corners

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-182

Most Corners

1

-357

X

+750

2

+320

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toluca vs Tijuana Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookies giving them a 71% probability of winning, Deportivo Toluca might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -244 when it comes to triumphing in this Liga MX clash. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Club Tijuana are trading at +540.

A bet on Toluca -1.25 against Tijuana means you’re splitting stake between -1 and -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at -116. You’ll get money back on the first part if they win by one and there’s a full payout if the margin is two or more goals.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -161 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

For those wagering on Liga MX matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-244

X

+360

2

+540

Half-Time Result

1

-128

X

+155

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-588

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+360

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-116

2 Hcp +1.25

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+108

João Paulo Paulinho is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +300. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at -111.

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

+300

Anytime

-111

Federico Viñas (Toluca)

First

+410

Anytime

+130

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+160

Edgar López (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+170

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+195

Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+230

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+250

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+250

Diego Abreu (Tijuana)

First

+900

Anytime

+290

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+1050

Anytime

+330

Érick Gutiérrez (Toluca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+1050

Anytime

+350

Mourad El Ghezouani (Tijuana)

First

+1150

Anytime

+380

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+1200

Anytime

+380

Aldahir Perez (Tijuana)

First

+1200

Anytime

+400

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+1300

Anytime

+430

Adonis Preciado (Tijuana)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Francisco Gonzalez (Tijuana)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+1400

Anytime

+475

Elias Manoel (Tijuana)

First

+1500

Anytime

+480

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Tijuana)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

First

+1600

Anytime

+575

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+1900

Anytime

+650

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

+2000

Anytime

+700

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Edgar López (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Helinho (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Víctor Guzmán (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Diego Abreu (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Mourad El Ghezouani (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Aldahir Perez (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Érick Gutiérrez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Federico Viñas (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Francisco Gonzalez (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Adonis Preciado (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Elias Manoel (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
Toluca have racked up four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Tijuana haven’t tasted victory in the previous six away matches. They have recorded five draws, three defeats and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Toluca overcame Tijuana 1-0 when the sides last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Toluca have won six of the past 7 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with Tijuana picking up one win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		4-3-3	3.50	2.20	1.30	6	4	8	2
Tijuana Away Stats		2-5-3	2.70	1.20	1.50	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs Tijuana Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Toluca vs Xolos team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with timely injury updates.

Toluca Team Page Tijuana Team Page

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