Tondela vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Apr 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Nacional

Tondela go head-to-head with Nacional at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 25 April.

If you’re in agreement with our verdict that there won’t be lots of goals, back the -141 on the Under 2.5 selection when it comes to Total Goals. We are not anticipating that Tondela vs Nacional will produce too many fireworks.

Tondela were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Porto at Estadio do Dragao. Goncalo Feio's team recorded 40% possession and had three shots on target.

Nacional have lost their previous two Primeira Liga games on the road. Their most recent league match was at home at Estadio da Madeira where they secured a 1-0 win against Alverca. The White and Black had 50% of possession and six shots on goal, with Jesus Ramirez finding the net in the 67th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Nacional claim a 3-1 home win over Tondela at Estadio da Madeira. In the previous 3 H2H matches, there have been two Nacional victories and one Tondela win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	37:45	34
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	27:55	28

View Full Table

Tondela have 1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. The Gold and Green have averaged 44.0% possession, 342.7 passes and 4.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 14.0 attempts and 5.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Pedro Henryque has found the net 3 times, Bebeto 2, with Rony Lopes and two other players on 1. Joe Hodge, Brayan Medina and Cicero are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Bernardo Fontes managing 3 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 13.1 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 0.5 goals. Tiago Margarido's side average 48.9% possession, 359.1 passes, 4.9 corners in their favour and 6.3 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

Jesus Ramirez and Paulinho Boia have scored 2 goals, followed by Miguel Baeza with 1. Jose Gomes, Leonardo Santos and Alan Nunez have clocked up 1 assists, with Kaique Pereira keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Tondela confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Bebeto, Joao Silva, Brayan Medina, Rodrigo Conceicao, Juan Rodriguez, Joe Hodge, Hugo Felix, Moudjatovic, Rony Lopes, Arjen van der Heide.

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Nunez, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Filipe Soares, Matheus Dias, Daniel, Gabriel Veron, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez.

Tondela vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Tondela vs Nacional with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

A low goal count could be on the cards for this Primeira Liga encounter. On this basis, we’ll land the -141 for Under 2.5, with the two sides unlikely to reach a combined three goals or more between them.

We study the Primeira Liga form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Tondela vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Tondela games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Tondela games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Nacional games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 19 Nacional games on the road.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as an option when it comes to placing a Bet Builder. You can add different picks to your bet slip and get a return if all selections win.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -141 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 23, 16:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tondela 0 - 1 Nacional

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Nacional at odds of +550. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio To Score +850

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional) is available at +850 to score. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+1900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Tondela Over 4.5 Corners -135

It’s been an average of 6.00 Tondela corners in the past five home games, with Nacional conceding a corner average of 8.20 in their previous five away matches. There’s everything to like about the Tondela Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -135.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tondela

Total

10.10 4.20 5.90

Home

10.20 4.20 6.00

Away

9.40 4.00 5.40

Nacional

Total

11.20 4.90 6.30

Home

11.30 4.60 6.70

Away

9.60 3.30 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-112

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-105

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-123

Most Corners

1

-110

X

+650

2

+112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tondela vs Nacional Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Nacional are +155 for a Primeira Liga victory, while Tondela are +163. The draw is trading at +220 should you think the game will end all square.

If you think that Nacional are able to beat Tondela, then the +115 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -135.

The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Primeira Liga matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+163

X

+220

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

+114

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-233

12

-345

X2

-244

Draw No Bet

1

-116

2

-122

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-164

2 Hcp -0.25

+115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-141

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-135

No

-105

There’s the chance to back Jesus Ramírez Díaz at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+148

Anytime

+330

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+225

Anytime

+500

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Arjen Van der Heide (Tondela)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Makan Aïko (Tondela)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+510

Anytime

+1150

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Rémy Vita (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Emmanuel Maviram (Tondela)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Tondela have not won at Estadio Joao Cardoso in the past seven matches. Goncalo Feio's team have five draws, four defeats and one win in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Nacional haven’t tasted victory in the previous ten away matches. The White and Black have managed seven defeats and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

When the teams previously met at Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela defeated Nacional 2-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tondela Home Stats		1-5-4	2.10	0.90	1.20	4	6	5	5
Nacional Away Stats		0-3-7	2.40	0.70	1.70	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tondela vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Tondela vs Nacional team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Tondela Team Page Nacional Team Page

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