Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Mar 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Rio Ave

Second-from-bottom Tondela welcome third-from-bottom Rio Ave to Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Monday 9 March.

We’ll back Tondela with a fair degree of confidence when they clash with Rio Ave. At betting odds of +112 on the Full-Time Result market, this looks a value pick and we expect a return.

In the last Tondela game, they played out a 2-2 draw at home to Santa Clara at Estadio Joao Cardoso. Cristiano Bacci's team had 42% possession and totalled four shots on target, with Bebeto and Rodrigo Conceicao scoring one goal each.

Rio Ave drew 0-0 in their previous game. This was at home against Famalicão at Estadio dos Arcos. The Big River recorded 44% possession and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Rio Ave have claimed back-to-back victories over Tondela, achieving winning home scorelines of 3-0 and 2-1 at Estadio dos Arcos. The previous 5 H2H games have involved three Rio Ave triumphs, one Tondela win and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Rio Ave	30	8	10	12	33	50	-17	33:50	34
17	Tondela	29	4	9	16	21	48	-27	21:48	21

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 8.1 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal. Tondela have had 38.3% possession, 300.5 passes and 3.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 6.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Pedro Henryque has found the net 3 times, Bebeto 2, with Rodrigo Conceicao and two other players on 1. Emmanuel Maviram has the most assists with 2, while goalie Bernardo Fontes has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Rio Ave have 1 victory, 7 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.6 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. Sotiris Sylaidopoulos' men have averaged 46.7% possession, 391.8 passes, 3.8 corners awarded and 6.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.2 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts.

Andre Luiz is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Jalen Blesa and Brandon Aguilera have 1. Clayton has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Ennio van der Gouw has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Tondela confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Joao Silva, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Bebeto, Joe Hodge, Juan Rodriguez, Rodrigo Conceicao, Pedro Henryque, Benjamin Mbunga Kimpioka, Makan Aiko.

Rio Ave confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ennio van der Gouw (GK), Marios Vrousai, Jakub Brabec, Gustavo Mancha, Nelson Abbey, Tamas Nikitscher, Andreas-Richardos Ntoi, Diogo Bezerra, Ole Pohlmann, Dario Spikic, Jalen Blesa.

Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Tondela vs Rio Ave with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Tondela can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this Primeira Liga match. The odds of +112 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Primeira Liga stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Tondela vs Rio Ave league stats:

• Rio Ave have lost their last 4 games on the road.
• Rio Ave have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 47.2% chance of delivering a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 50-55%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Those that feel bullish when it comes to Tondela delivering a big win can find some big priced alternatives on the Asian Handicap. Choose your line and secure a larger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Tondela To Win @ +112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 7, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tondela 2 - 1 Rio Ave

One bet that has caught our eye is the Gold and Green to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +600 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: João Silva To Score +950

João Silva (Tondela) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +950. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest João Silva Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+950

First

+2000

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -119

All of the past three Tondela home games have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with the same thing happening in the last three Rio Ave away matches. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -119 is available to back.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tondela

Total

9.80 3.80 6.00

Home

9.90 3.80 6.10

Away

9.70 4.60 5.10

Rio Ave

Total

10.60 3.80 6.80

Home

10.40 4.40 6.00

Away

11.60 3.60 8.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-110

Tondela Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

Rio Ave Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-154

X

+700

2

+155

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tondela vs Rio Ave Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Primeira Liga clash, Tondela are the +102 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 50% chance of winning. Rio Ave are regarded as the least likely winner at +255.

Tondela can be backed at -103 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 if you think they’ll win. Alternatively, opponents Rio Ave +0.5 are -137 and that means you get a return if they triumph or the draw happens.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Primeira Liga games. Head to one of our recommended betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

+102

X

+225

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+163

X

+116

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-357

X2

-147

Draw No Bet

1

-222

2

+150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-103

2 Hcp +0.5

-137

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-123

No

-114

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos is the market leader at +430 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+185

Anytime

+430

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+220

Anytime

+480

Makan Aïko (Tondela)

First

+265

Anytime

+575

Marc Gual (Rio Ave)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Karem Zoabi (Rio Ave)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Tobias Medina (Rio Ave)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Ole Pohlmann (Rio Ave)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Tamás Nikitscher (Rio Ave)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Marious Vrousai (Rio Ave)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Brandon Aguilera (Rio Ave)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Rémy Vita (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Emmanuel Maviram (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Christian Marques (Tondela)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

João Silva (Tondela)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Leonardo Buta (Rio Ave)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Cícero Alves Santana (duplicate) (Tondela)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Brayan Medina (Tondela)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Tondela have not tasted defeat at Estadio Joao Cardoso in three straight matches. Cristiano Bacci's team have collected five losses, four draws and one victory in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Rio Ave have suffered a four match losing run away from home. The Big River have clocked up four draws, four losses and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

When previously meeting at Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela and Rio Ave played out a 1-1 draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tondela Home Stats		1-4-5	2.00	0.70	1.30	4	6	4	6
Rio Ave Away Stats		2-4-4	2.60	0.80	1.80	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tondela vs Rio Ave Lineups & Team News

The latest Tondela vs Rio Ave team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest on injuries.

Tondela Team Page Rio Ave Team Page

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