Toronto FC
Football USA - MLS BMO Field Sat 29 Aug 19:30
New York City FC
  1. Predictions
  2. Preview
  3. Odds
  4. Stats
  5. Team News
  6. Lineups
  7. Injuries
  8. Squads
  9. Table

Toronto FC vs New York City Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -149

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A Free-Flowing Game Could Lead to Goals

There could be some merit in backing Over 2.5 when Toronto go up against New York City. We think that the Total Goals market provides a value betting angle and we’re happy to take the -149 on offer.

Continue reading for our complete Toronto vs New York City betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Toronto FC vs New York City Preview

Toronto FC host New York City at BMO Field, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 29 August.

Toronto FC won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was on their travels against Inter Miami at Nu Stadium. The Reds recorded just 38% possession and had three shots on target, with Joshua Sargent and Derrick Etienne scoring one goal apiece.

New York City FC played New England Revolution on the road in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Gillette Stadium. Pascal Jansen's team had 48% possession and managed five shots on goal, while James Sands was on the scoresheet.

1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash

City boast an unbeaten record in the past six games against Toronto, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Yankee Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have featured six City wins, two draws and two Toronto victories.

MLS G W D L GF GA GD GD P
18 NYCFC logo NYCFC 21 7 6 8 35 30 5 35:30 27
23 Toronto FC logo Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 31 37 -6 31:37 24
View Full Table
Toronto FC – Last 10 League Games

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. TFC have had 44.4% possession and 3.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 15.0 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal, while earning 5.7 corners.

Players to Watch

The four top scorers are Joshua Sargent, Derrick Etienne, Niklas Dorsch and Emilio Aristizabal, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Daniel Salloi is the top assists maker with 2.

New York City – Last 10 League Games

City have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. The Pigeons have averaged 48.5% possession, 3.2 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Players to Watch

Nicolas Fernandez is the leading goalscorer with 5, Hannes Wolf has 3, with Luighi and Agustin Ojeda getting 2. Agustin Ojeda and Nicolas Fernandez are the top assist makers, managing 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toronto FC predicted lineup (4-3-3): Luka Gavran (GK), Richie Laryea, Walker Zimmerman, Benjamin Kuscevic, Kobe Franklin, Markus Cimermancic, Alonso Coello Camarero, Djordje Mihailovic, Derrick Etienne Jr., Josh Sargent, Dániel Sallói.

New York City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Max Murray, James Sands, Nico Cavallo, Jonathan Shore, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau, Andrés Perea, Agustin Ojeda, Talles Magno, Benie Traore.

Main Match Prediction

There’s a strong argument for backing Over 2.5 Goals at attractive odds of -149 based on the information to hand. We’re expecting at least three goals to be scored in this MLS clash.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 TFC games.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 TFC games at home.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 TFC games.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 NYCFC games.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 NYCFC games.
  • The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 games between these teams.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest MLS injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Over 2.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 59.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Bettors looking for bigger odds can place a Result & Total Goals bet that includes Over 2.5 Goals. You require at least three goals to be scored along with predicting the team that wins.

Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.

Over 2.5 Goals @ -149 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 28, 01:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:58, 28 August 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Toronto Toronto logo 1 - 2 New York City logo New York City

One bet that has caught our eye is NYCFC to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Markus Cimermancic Over 0.5 Shots On Target +170 BetMGM logo

Markus Cimermancic (TFC) can be wagered at +170 to record one or more shots on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.

Latest Markus Cimermancic Player Prop Odds

Agustín Ojeda To Score +300 BetMGM logo

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC) can be wagered to be among the goals at +300. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Agustín Ojeda Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -104 BetMGM logo

The past five games featuring New York City have seen 7.40 corners on average, with 8.40 the average corner count for the last five Toronto matches. There is juice when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is priced at -104.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Toronto Logo Toronto
Total
9.50 3.80 5.70
Home
10.80 5.30 5.50
Away
9.90 4.40 5.50
New York City Logo New York City
Total
8.20 3.20 5.00
Home
8.00 4.20 3.80
Away
8.30 2.80 5.50
Latest Corner Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Total Goals Over 2.5 -149
Asian Handicap NYCFC +0.25 -147
Shots On Target Markus Cimermancic Over 0.5 +170

Our bet builder picks are more than two goals in total, New York City with an Asian Handicap of +0.25 along with Markus Cimermancic (TFC) to end up with one or more shots on target.

We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto FC vs New York City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Close Game in the Eyes of the Betting Sites

New York City FC are available at betting odds of +165 to beat Toronto FC, with their opponents trading at +145 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +250 for this MLS encounter.

If you think Toronto can overcome City, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +110 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -185 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

No matter what MLS match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.

Alonso Martínez is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Alonso Martínez is priced at +460 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +160 to find the net anytime.

Player Goals
Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)
First
+460
Anytime
+160
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Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC)
First
+500
Anytime
+180
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Joshua Sargent (TFC)
First
+575
Anytime
+210
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Jules-Anthony Vilsaint (TFC)
First
+600
Anytime
+220
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Player Shots On Target
Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC)
Over 0.5
-238
Under 0.5
-
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Joshua Sargent (TFC)
Over 0.5
-172
Under 0.5
-
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Daniel Salloi (TFC)
Over 0.5
-132
Under 0.5
-
BetMGM Logo
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint (TFC)
Over 0.5
-122
Under 0.5
-
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
BMO Field
BMO Field
Past Seven H2H BMO Field Clashes Have Seen Toronto Win Four

Stats: MLS matches only
Toronto have five draws, three wins and two defeats in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

City have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

City were 1-0 victors against Toronto last time out at BMO Field. The 7 previous H2H meetings at BMO Field have involved four Toronto wins, one draw and two City victories.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Toronto FC logo Toronto FC Home Stats 3-5-2 4.20 2.10 2.10 8 2 10 0
New York City logo New York City Away Stats 3-3-4 2.20 1.00 1.20 4 6 7 3
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Toronto FC logo Toronto FC League Stats
New York City logo New York City League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Toronto FC vs New York City Lineups & Team News

The Toronto vs City team news could change everything — review it before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Toronto FC Predicted Lineup 4-3-3

New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3

Toronto FC Predicted Lineup 4-3-3

1 Luka Gavran
22 Richie Laryea 25 Walker Zimmerman 13 Benjamin Kuscevic 19 Kobe Franklin
71 Markus Cimermancic 14 A. Coello Camarero 10 Djordje Mihailovic
11 Derrick Etienne Jr. 9 Josh Sargent 20 Dániel Sallói
49 Matt Freese
24 Tayvon Gray 23 Max Murray 6 James Sands 2 Nico Cavallo
32 Jonathan Shore 7 N. Fernandez Mercau 8 Andrés Perea
26 Agustin Ojeda 11 Talles Magno 9 Benie Traore

New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3

Previous Toronto FC Lineups

22 Aug MLS
Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto FC
19 Aug MLS
Toronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FC
15 Aug MLS
Toronto FC 2-1 NE Revolution
31 Jul MLS
NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC
25 Jul MLS
D.C. United 2-1 Toronto FC
22 Jul MLS
NE Revolution 0-0 Toronto FC

Previous New York City Lineups

23 Aug MLS
NE Revolution 1-1 NYCFC
19 Aug MLS
FC Cincinnati 2-1 NYCFC
16 Aug MLS
NYCFC 2-3 Philadelphia
31 Jul MLS
NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC
25 Jul MLS
NYCFC 3-1 Chicago Fire
22 Jul MLS
Columbus Crew 1-2 NYCFC

Injuries & Suspensions

Toronto FC Injury Table
Type Name Info
Lazar Stefanovic Thigh
Henry Wingo Hamstring
New York City Injury Table
Type Name Info
Maxi Moralez Cruciate ligame
Drew Baiera Knee
Alonso Martinez Cruciate ligame
Jacob Arroyave Lower leg
Team Squads

Toronto FC Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Robin Fraser

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Luka Gavran 1 G 21 1890 21 0 1 0 0 0
Daniel Salloi 20 F 21 1793 20 1 5 4 2 0
Jonathan Osorio 21 M 17 1530 17 0 0 3 7 0
Richie Laryea 22 M 16 1440 16 0 2 1 4 0
Alonso Coello 14 M 21 1432 16 5 0 3 3 0

New York City Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Pascal Jansen

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Matt Freese 49 G 21 1890 21 0 0 0 0 0
Nicolas Fernandez 7 D 20 1768 20 0 13 3 7 0
Tayvon Gray 24 D 20 1703 20 0 1 1 5 1
Agustin Ojeda 26 M 21 1694 21 0 5 5 1 0
Thiago Martins 13 D 17 1506 17 0 0 0 0 0
USA FlagMLS Table
Major League Soccer Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 43:17 49
2 Vancouver 20 12 4 4 45:18 40
3 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 49:40 39
4 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 30:26 38
5 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 37:26 36
6 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 36:22 35
7 NE Revolution 21 10 4 7 33:26 34
8 SJ Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 39:33 33
9 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 38:34 33
10 St. Louis 21 9 6 6 30:27 33
11 Charlotte FC 21 9 5 7 38:32 32
12 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 49:47 31
13 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 30:28 28
14 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 34:32 28
15 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 38:37 28
16 Minnesota Utd 21 7 7 7 27:29 28
17 San Diego 21 7 6 8 37:32 27
18 NYCFC 21 7 6 8 35:30 27
19 NY Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 31:43 26
20 LA Galaxy 22 6 8 8 27:32 26
21 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 22:27 25
22 Orlando City 21 7 3 11 34:51 24
23 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 31:37 24
24 D.C. United 21 5 9 7 28:36 24
25 Atlanta United 21 6 3 12 25:36 21
26 Philadelphia 21 5 6 10 31:38 21
27 CF Montréal 21 5 6 10 29:39 21
28 Austin FC 21 5 6 10 26:40 21
29 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 30:36 20
30 Sporting KC 21 4 3 14 20:51 15
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Nashville SC 11 10 1 0 32:12 31
2 NE Revolution 12 8 2 2 22:11 26
3 Vancouver 11 8 1 2 27:6 25
4 Charlotte FC 12 7 3 2 26:13 24
5 Los Angeles FC 12 7 2 3 23:11 23
6 FC Cincinnati 11 7 2 2 31:21 23
7 Real Salt Lake 10 7 1 2 22:13 22
8 Houston Dynamo 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
9 Colorado Rapids 10 7 0 3 20:9 21
10 Chicago Fire 10 7 0 3 20:11 21
11 Portland Timbers 10 6 2 2 23:16 20
12 St. Louis 10 6 2 2 18:11 20
13 San Diego 11 5 3 3 27:15 18
14 Orlando City 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
15 NYCFC 11 4 3 4 25:18 15
16 Austin FC 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
17 Toronto FC 11 3 6 2 22:22 15
18 NY Red Bulls 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
19 CF Montréal 11 3 5 3 15:13 14
20 Columbus Crew 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
21 SJ Earthquakes 11 4 2 5 19:19 14
22 Inter Miami 9 3 4 2 22:19 13
23 FC Dallas 9 3 4 2 18:16 13
24 Philadelphia 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
25 Atlanta United 10 4 1 5 15:16 13
26 Seattle Sounders 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
27 LA Galaxy 11 3 4 4 12:14 13
28 D.C. United 10 3 3 4 15:22 12
29 Minnesota Utd 10 2 5 3 8:8 11
30 Sporting KC 10 2 3 5 12:18 9

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