Toronto FC vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2026
Toronto FC vs New York City Predictions
There could be some merit in backing Over 2.5 when Toronto go up against New York City. We think that the Total Goals market provides a value betting angle and we’re happy to take the -149 on offer.
Continue reading for our complete Toronto vs New York City betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Toronto FC vs New York City Preview
Toronto FC host New York City at BMO Field, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 29 August.
Toronto FC won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was on their travels against Inter Miami at Nu Stadium. The Reds recorded just 38% possession and had three shots on target, with Joshua Sargent and Derrick Etienne scoring one goal apiece.
New York City FC played New England Revolution on the road in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Gillette Stadium. Pascal Jansen's team had 48% possession and managed five shots on goal, while James Sands was on the scoresheet.
1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash
City boast an unbeaten record in the past six games against Toronto, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Yankee Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have featured six City wins, two draws and two Toronto victories.
| MLS | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | NYCFC |
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 35:30 | 27 |
| 23 | Toronto FC |
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31:37 | 24 |
2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. TFC have had 44.4% possession and 3.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 15.0 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal, while earning 5.7 corners.
The four top scorers are Joshua Sargent, Derrick Etienne, Niklas Dorsch and Emilio Aristizabal, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Daniel Salloi is the top assists maker with 2.
City have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. The Pigeons have averaged 48.5% possession, 3.2 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.
Nicolas Fernandez is the leading goalscorer with 5, Hannes Wolf has 3, with Luighi and Agustin Ojeda getting 2. Agustin Ojeda and Nicolas Fernandez are the top assist makers, managing 3 in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Toronto FC predicted lineup (4-3-3): Luka Gavran (GK), Richie Laryea, Walker Zimmerman, Benjamin Kuscevic, Kobe Franklin, Markus Cimermancic, Alonso Coello Camarero, Djordje Mihailovic, Derrick Etienne Jr., Josh Sargent, Dániel Sallói.
New York City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Max Murray, James Sands, Nico Cavallo, Jonathan Shore, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau, Andrés Perea, Agustin Ojeda, Talles Magno, Benie Traore.
Main Match Prediction
There’s a strong argument for backing Over 2.5 Goals at attractive odds of -149 based on the information to hand. We’re expecting at least three goals to be scored in this MLS clash.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest MLS injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 59.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Bettors looking for bigger odds can place a Result & Total Goals bet that includes Over 2.5 Goals. You require at least three goals to be scored along with predicting the team that wins.
Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.
Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is NYCFC to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Markus Cimermancic (TFC) can be wagered at +170 to record one or more shots on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.
Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC) can be wagered to be among the goals at +300. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five games featuring New York City have seen 7.40 corners on average, with 8.40 the average corner count for the last five Toronto matches. There is juice when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is priced at -104.
Toronto
New York City
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are more than two goals in total, New York City with an Asian Handicap of +0.25 along with Markus Cimermancic (TFC) to end up with one or more shots on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Toronto FC vs New York City Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
New York City FC are available at betting odds of +165 to beat Toronto FC, with their opponents trading at +145 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +250 for this MLS encounter.
If you think Toronto can overcome City, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +110 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -185 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
No matter what MLS match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.
Alonso Martínez is priced at +460 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +160 to find the net anytime.
Stats: MLS matches only
Toronto have five draws, three wins and two defeats in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 2.10.
City have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
City were 1-0 victors against Toronto last time out at BMO Field. The 7 previous H2H meetings at BMO Field have involved four Toronto wins, one draw and two City victories.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toronto FC Home Stats |
3-5-2 | 4.20 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 0 | |
New York City Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- MLS: 01/08 2026 New York City 1 Toronto 1
- MLS: 04/07 2025 New York City 3 Toronto 1
- MLS: 26/04 2025 Toronto 0 New York City 1
- MLS: 12/05 2024 Toronto 2 New York City 3
- MLS: 17/03 2024 New York City 2 Toronto 1
- MLS: 24/09 2023 New York City 3 Toronto 0
- MLS: 30/04 2023 Toronto 1 New York City 0
- MLS: 24/04 2022 New York City 5 Toronto 4
- MLS: 02/04 2022 Toronto 2 New York City 1
- MLS: 08/08 2021 Toronto 2 New York City 2
Toronto FC League Stats
New York City League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Toronto FC this season are Daniel Salloi (5), Joshua Sargent (4), Derrick Etienne (3)
- Top Assistors for Toronto FC this season are Daniel Salloi (4), Alonso Coello (3), Djordje Mihailovic (3)
Toronto FC vs New York City Lineups & Team News
The Toronto vs City team news could change everything — review it before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Toronto FC Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Toronto FC Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
New York City Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Toronto FC Lineups
Previous New York City Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toronto FC Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Robin Fraser
New York City Player Stats & Squad
MLS Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Vancouver | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45:18 | 40 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49:40 | 39 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 37:26 | 36 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 35 |
| 7 | NE Revolution | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 34 |
| 8 | SJ Earthquakes | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:33 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38:34 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Louis | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:27 | 33 |
| 11 | Charlotte FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38:32 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49:47 | 31 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30:28 | 28 |
| 14 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34:32 | 28 |
| 15 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38:37 | 28 |
| 16 | Minnesota Utd | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:29 | 28 |
| 17 | San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 37:32 | 27 |
| 18 | NYCFC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 35:30 | 27 |
| 19 | NY Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31:43 | 26 |
| 20 | LA Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27:32 | 26 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:27 | 25 |
| 22 | Orlando City | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 34:51 | 24 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 31:37 | 24 |
| 24 | D.C. United | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 28:36 | 24 |
| 25 | Atlanta United | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25:36 | 21 |
| 26 | Philadelphia | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 31:38 | 21 |
| 27 | CF Montréal | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | 21 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26:40 | 21 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30:36 | 20 |
| 30 | Sporting KC | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20:51 | 15 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32:12 | 31 |
| 2 | NE Revolution | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 3 | Vancouver | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:6 | 25 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31:21 | 23 |
| 7 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:16 | 20 |
| 12 | St. Louis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 20 |
| 13 | San Diego | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:15 | 18 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 15 | NYCFC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Austin FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 17 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 22:22 | 15 |
| 18 | NY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 19 | CF Montréal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 20 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 21 | SJ Earthquakes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 22 | Inter Miami | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 13 |
| 23 | FC Dallas | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 24 | Philadelphia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 25 | Atlanta United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 26 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 27 | LA Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 28 | D.C. United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:22 | 12 |
| 29 | Minnesota Utd | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 30 | Sporting KC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | 9 |
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