Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2026
Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Toulouse vs Lyon
Toulouse host Lyon at Stadium Municipal, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 10 May.
It could be worth venturing towards the Full-Time Result market and taking Lyon to land a win, with odds of -128 appealing. We expect the favourites to get the better of Toulouse by the full-time whistle.
Toulouse won their last game. It was on the road where Strasbourg were beaten 2-1 at Stade de la Meinau. Carles Martinez's side had 46% possession and totalled six shots on target, while Dayann Methalie and Emersonn scored one goal each.
Lyon have won their previous four games. The latest was a 4-2 home triumph at Parc Olympique Lyonnais against Rennes. The Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes team enjoyed 50% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Roman Yaremchuk, Corentin Tolisso, Afonso Moreira and Endrick found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Toulouse won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 2-1 away triumph when facing Lyon at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in seven Lyon wins, two draws and one Toulouse victory.
| Ligue 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lyon |
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 52:34 | 60 |
| 10 | Toulouse |
32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45:45 | 41 |
Toulouse have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. The Occitania club have averaged 41.6% possession, 397.7 passes and 3.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.9 goals from 5.5 shots on goal, 13.8 attempts and 5.0 corners.
Emersonn is the top goalscorer with 3, Yann Gboho has 2, with Dayann Methalie and two other players on 1. Cristian Casseres Jr. and Santiago Hidalgo are top assists makers with 3, while goalkeeper Guillaume Restes has kept one clean sheet.
Lyon have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 4.7 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 1.6 goals. OL average 53.0% possession, 456.6 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 12.6 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
Corentin Tolisso has recorded 6 goals, Roman Yaremchuk 4, with Afonso Moreira and Endrick both managing 2. Endrick has been chief assist maker with 5, while Dominik Greif and Remy Descamps have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Toulouse predicted lineup (3-4-3): Guillaume Restes (GK), Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Aron Doennum, Warren Kamanzi, Cristian Casseres Jr., Dayann Methalie, Santiago Hidalgo, Jacen Russell-Rowe, Yann Gboho.
Lyon predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Dominik Greif (GK), Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakhate, Abner, Tyler Morton, Corentin Tolisso, Endrick, Adam Karabec, Afonso Moreira, Roman Yaremchuk.
Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips
Be fully equipped for Toulouse vs Lyon with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
There are strong reasons to expect Lyon to have the edge in this Ligue 1 encounter and we’ll take them with confidence to claim a victory. The odds of -128 are hard to resist.
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Ligue 1 injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
Key Toulouse vs Lyon league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
The Match Result & Total market provides both the chance to bet on OL to win and also combine this selection with a forecast for how many goals will be scored.
Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
Lyon can be backed at +575 to triumph by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Afonso Bastardo Moreira (OL) has totalled over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Ligue 1 matches. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line looking attractive at odds of -167.
Roman Yaremchuk (OL) has scored at least one goal in three straight Ligue 1 matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +210 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Toulouse have had under 4.5 corners in nine straight matches. On this evidence, we can take odds of -132 that this Toulouse Team Corners wager falls short of the line.
Toulouse
Lyon
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Lyon on the Full-Time Result, Yes on the BTTS market and also Afonso Bastardo Moreira (OL) to finish with Over 1.5 shots.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Toulouse vs Lyon Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Lyon are the skinniest price to succeed in this Ligue 1 clash, with the favourites afforded a 56% probability based on their -128 betting odds with the bookies. For those wanting to back Toulouse, you will find +320 about this outsider.
Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Lyon -0.5 at -127 should you want to go for the favourites, with Toulouse +0.5 available at +102 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -149.
If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Ligue 1 matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.
Endrick Moreira de Sousa is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +360. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +130.
Toulouse have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Lyon have avoided defeat in their last three away matches. The Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes team have four wins, three draws and three losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
The previous Stadium Municipal encounter involved a 2-1 Lyon win against Toulouse. The past 5 H2H games at Stadium Municipal have included four Lyon wins along with a single draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toulouse Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.30 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Lyon Away Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Ligue 1: 05/10 2025 Lyon 1 Toulouse 2
- Ligue 1: 18/01 2025 Lyon 0 Toulouse 0
- Ligue 1: 29/09 2024 Toulouse 1 Lyon 2
- Ligue 1: 15/03 2024 Toulouse 2 Lyon 3
- Ligue 1: 10/12 2023 Lyon 3 Toulouse 0
- Ligue 1: 14/04 2023 Toulouse 1 Lyon 2
- Ligue 1: 07/10 2022 Lyon 1 Toulouse 1
- Ligue 1: 26/01 2020 Lyon 3 Toulouse 0
- Ligue 1: 02/11 2019 Toulouse 2 Lyon 3
- Ligue 1: 03/03 2019 Lyon 5 Toulouse 1
Toulouse League Stats
Lyon League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 41.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Toulouse this season are Yann Gboho (8), Emersonn (7), Frank Magri (5)
- Top Assistors for Toulouse this season are Santiago Hidalgo (5), Aron Doennum (4), Djibril Sidibe (4)
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Toulouse vs Lyon Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Toulouse vs OL team news beforehand. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups and the latest injury reports.
Toulouse Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Lyon Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Toulouse Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Lyon Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Toulouse Lineups
Previous Lyon Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toulouse Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Carles Martinez
Lyon Player Stats & Squad
Ligue 1 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 62:33 | 67 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 35:11 | 42 |
| 2 | PSG | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 40:12 | 38 |
| 3 | Lyon | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 30:14 | 37 |
| 4 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38:19 | 34 |
| 5 | Monaco | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 33:22 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 31 |
| 7 | Lorient | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 8 | Lille | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:15 | 27 |
| 10 | Brest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:20 | 25 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:26 | 22 |
| 13 | Angers | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17:19 | 22 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 21 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 16 | Nice | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:27 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15:28 | 10 |
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