Turkey vs France Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Sep 2026
Turkey vs France Predictions
There’s a strong case for siding with Turkey +1.25 on the Asian Handicap. Take the odds of -127, with this wager seeing bettors split their stake between +1 and +1.5 for the clash against France.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Turkey vs France, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Turkey vs France Preview
Turkey welcome France to Kocaeli Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 25 September.
Turkey were winners last time out. Landing a 3-2 World Cup victory against USA at SoFi Stadium. The Crescent-Stars had three shots on target and 48% possession, with Arda Guler, Baris Alper Yilmaz and Kaan Ayhan scoring one goal apiece.
France lost their previous game, being defeated by England 6-4 at Hard Rock Stadium in the World Cup. Zinedine Zidane's team recorded 46% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Kylian Mbappe was on the scoresheet twice, with Bradley Barcola and Ousmane Dembele both able to net.
H2H: 1-1 Draw in Last Head-to-Head Battle
It was a 1-1 Euro 2028 draw when France and Turkey last clashed, with the former hosting this head-to-head at Stade de France.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 4 |  Turkey |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 2:11 | 0 |
Turkey have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 15.9 attempts. Vincenzo Montella's men have averaged 58.1% possession and 6.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 4.7 corners.
Top goalscorer is Kenan Yildiz on 3 goals, while Merih Demiral and Arda Guler have both bagged 2. Hakan Calhanoglu is top assists maker with 4, while goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir has kept 3 clean sheets.
France have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 2.7 goals from 7.3 shots on goal and 18.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.3% possession, 564.4 passes, 6.6 corners taken and 2.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.
Kylian Mbappe is top of the team’s scoring charts with 12 goals, Ousmane Dembele has 6 and Bradley Barcola is on 3. Michael Olise is top assists provider with 7, while Mike Maignan has recorded 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Turkey confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Ugurcan Cakir (GK), Mehmet Zeki Celik, Merih Demiral, Abdulkerim Bardakci, Oguz Aydin, Ismail Yuksek, Salih Ozcan, Ferdi Kadioglu, Arda Guler, Can Uzun, Baris Alper Yilmaz.
France confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Mike Maignan (GK), Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, Maxence Lacroix, Adrien Truffert, Rayan Cherki, Manu Kone, Adrien Rabiot, Michael Olise, Ousmane Dembele, Kylian Mbappe.
Main Match Prediction
We like the look of Turkey with a +1.25 goal start in this Nations League match. We’re happy to take the home team to perform well and keep the scoreline close, with odds of -127 available.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
We study the Nations League form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 55.9% chance of landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
It’s great to place a Winning Margin wager if you want an alternative to Asian Handicap. Choose whether a team will achieve a close victory or something bigger.
Don’t miss out. Check our expert guide for the most rewarding betting offers, including top free bets and bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
France
Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +700. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Kerem Aktürkoglu (Turkey) can be wagered at -109 to register at least one shot on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.
Arda Guler (Turkey) has scored two goals in his past eight games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +320 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six straight Turkey home matches, with the previous ten France away games averaging 10.50 corners. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -110 is available to back.
Turkey
France
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re keen to place a bet builder, go for Turkey with the +1.25 Asian Handicap, both teams scoring as well as over 9.5 corners to be awarded.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Turkey vs France Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
France have been chalked up as the convincing -312 favourites for this Nations League encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 76% probability of winning. If you want to wager on the underdog, Turkey have been priced up at +700.
France can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -143. However, Turkey are +510 and the draw is +195 if you want to take a different option.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -192 on the Both Teams to Score market.
The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Nations League matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.
Kylian Mbappé is the First Goalscorer favourite at +230. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -192.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Turkey Stats
France Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 2.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Turkey vs France Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Turkey vs France team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Turkey Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
France Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Turkey Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
France Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Turkey Substitutes
- 4Emirhan Topcu
- 6Melih Kabasakal
- 7Kerem Akturkoglu
- 9Deniz Gul
- 12Altay Bayindir
- 13Evren Eren Elmali
- 15Ozan Kabak
- 17Irfan Kahveci
- 19Yunus Akgun
- 22Aral Simsir
- 23Okan Kocuk
France Substitutes
- 1Guillaume Restes
- 2Pierre Kalulu
- 6Eduardo Camavinga
- 12Bradley Barcola
- 13Andy Diouf
- 15Leny Yoro
- 18Maghnes Akliouche
- 19Esteban Lepaul
- 20Desire Doue
- 21Lucas Da Cunha
- 22Jeremy Jacquet
- 23Jean Butez
Previous Turkey Lineups
Previous France Lineups
Turkey Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Vincenzo Montella
France Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
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