Turkey vs France Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Sep 2026

Turkey vs France Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Turkey Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -127

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There’s a strong case for siding with Turkey +1.25 on the Asian Handicap. Take the odds of -127, with this wager seeing bettors split their stake between +1 and +1.5 for the clash against France.

The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Turkey vs France, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Turkey vs France Preview

Turkey welcome France to Kocaeli Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 25 September.

Turkey were winners last time out. Landing a 3-2 World Cup victory against USA at SoFi Stadium. The Crescent-Stars had three shots on target and 48% possession, with Arda Guler, Baris Alper Yilmaz and Kaan Ayhan scoring one goal apiece.

France lost their previous game, being defeated by England 6-4 at Hard Rock Stadium in the World Cup. Zinedine Zidane's team recorded 46% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Kylian Mbappe was on the scoresheet twice, with Bradley Barcola and Ousmane Dembele both able to net.

H2H: 1-1 Draw in Last Head-to-Head Battle

It was a 1-1 Euro 2028 draw when France and Turkey last clashed, with the former hosting this head-to-head at Stade de France.

Nations League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	France	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Turkey	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Turkey have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 15.9 attempts. Vincenzo Montella's men have averaged 58.1% possession and 6.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer is Kenan Yildiz on 3 goals, while Merih Demiral and Arda Guler have both bagged 2. Hakan Calhanoglu is top assists maker with 4, while goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir has kept 3 clean sheets.

France have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 2.7 goals from 7.3 shots on goal and 18.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.3% possession, 564.4 passes, 6.6 corners taken and 2.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.

Kylian Mbappe is top of the team’s scoring charts with 12 goals, Ousmane Dembele has 6 and Bradley Barcola is on 3. Michael Olise is top assists provider with 7, while Mike Maignan has recorded 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Main Match Prediction

We like the look of Turkey with a +1.25 goal start in this Nations League match. We’re happy to take the home team to perform well and keep the scoreline close, with odds of -127 available.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Turkey in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Turkey in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Turkey in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by France in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by France in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by France in 2 consecutive games.

We study the Nations League form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 55.9% chance of landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

It’s great to place a Winning Margin wager if you want an alternative to Asian Handicap. Choose whether a team will achieve a close victory or something bigger.

Don’t miss out. Check our expert guide for the most rewarding betting offers, including top free bets and bonuses.

Turkey Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -127 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 23, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Turkey 1 - 1 France

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +600. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kerem Aktürkoglu Over 0.5 Shots On Target -109

Kerem Aktürkoglu (Turkey) can be wagered at -109 to register at least one shot on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.

Latest Kerem Aktürkoglu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

---

Arda Guler to Score +320

Arda Guler (Turkey) has scored two goals in his past eight games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +320 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Arda Guler Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -110

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six straight Turkey home matches, with the previous ten France away games averaging 10.50 corners. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -110 is available to back.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Turkey

Total

11.50 6.80 4.70

Home

11.00 6.90 4.10

Away

8.70 4.70 4.00

France

Total

9.00 6.60 2.40

Home

8.90 7.00 1.90

Away

10.50 6.60 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-128

Turkey Corners

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-139

France Corners

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-118

Most Corners

1

+220

X

+600

2

-263

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Turkey vs France Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

France are forecasted to have a 70% chance of triumphing in this Nations League encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -233. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Turkey are trading at +550.

France can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -116. However, Turkey are +450 and the draw is +170 if you want to take a different option.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -167 on the Both Teams to Score market.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Nations League matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+550

X

+360

2

-233

Half-Time Result

1

+450

X

+170

2

-116

Double Chance

1X

+160

12

-667

X2

-1250

Draw No Bet

1

+370

2

-714

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-120

2 Hcp -1.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+148

Over 2.5

-217

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+115

Kylian Mbappé is the First Goalscorer favourite at +225. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -172.

Kylian Mbappé (France)

First

+225

Anytime

-172

Esteban Lepaul (France)

First

+360

Anytime

+110

Jean-Philippe Mateta (France)

First

+410

Anytime

+140

Ousmane Dembélé (France)

First

+480

Anytime

+160

Michael Olise (France)

First

+650

Anytime

+210

Rayan Cherki (France)

First

+650

Anytime

+220

Bradley Barcola (France)

First

+700

Anytime

+230

Désiré Doué (France)

First

+750

Anytime

+250

Kerem Aktürkoglu (Turkey)

First

+950

Anytime

+310

Arda Guler (Turkey)

First

+1000

Anytime

+330

Lucas Da Cunha (France)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Deniz Gul (Turkey)

First

+1100

Anytime

+360

Baris Alper Yilmaz (Turkey)

First

+1100

Anytime

+380

Kenan Yildiz (Turkey)

First

+1100

Anytime

+380

Can Uzun (Turkey)

First

+1200

Anytime

+400

Andy Diouf (France)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Oguz Aydin (Turkey)

First

+1300

Anytime

+450

Yunus Akgün (Turkey)

First

+1400

Anytime

+480

Aral Simsir (Turkey)

First

+1400

Anytime

+500

Adrien Rabiot (France)

First

+1500

Anytime

+500

Hakan Çalhanoglu (Turkey)

First

+1600

Anytime

+510

Warren Zaïre-Emery (France)

First

+1500

Anytime

+525

Irfan Can Kahveci (Turkey)

First

+1500

Anytime

+525

Orkun Kokcu (Turkey)

First

+1600

Anytime

+550

Eduardo Camavinga (France)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Michael Olise (France)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Ousmane Dembélé (France)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Désiré Doué (France)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Rayan Cherki (France)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Bradley Barcola (France)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Kerem Aktürkoglu (Turkey)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Arda Guler (Turkey)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Kenan Yildiz (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Esteban Lepaul (France)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Deniz Gul (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Baris Alper Yilmaz (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Can Uzun (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Da Cunha (France)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Kylian Mbappé (France)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Oguz Aydin (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-

Jean-Philippe Mateta (France)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Yunus Akgün (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Aral Simsir (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Hakan Çalhanoglu (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Irfan Can Kahveci (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Andy Diouf (France)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Orkun Kokcu (Turkey)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (France)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Warren Zaïre-Emery (France)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Camavinga (France)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Turkey Stats

France Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 2.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 58.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 59.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Turkey vs France Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Turkey vs France team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

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