Uruguay vs Spain Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jun 2026
Uruguay vs Spain Predictions
It makes sense to back Spain -1.25 at +102 on the Asian Handicap. La Roja should beat Uruguay by two goals or more, although we have the insurance of half our stake back should they win by a single goal.
Read our in-depth Uruguay vs Spain betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Uruguay vs Spain Preview
Uruguay and Spain meet in this FIFA World Cup Group H clash at Guadalajara Stadium (Estadio Akron), with kick-off set for 20:00 on Friday 26 June.
Spain top the group, two points clear of both Uruguay and Cape Verde. Uruguay currently occupy second place, but they need at least a point from this match to progress to the knockout stages.
Guadalajara Stadium is an open-air venue located 1,566 meters (5,138 feet) above sea level, with stormy skies, severe thunderstorms and a temperature of 27°C (81°F) expected at kick-off.
Cape Verde drew 0-0 with Spain in their opening match before claiming a 2-2 draw with Uruguay at Miami Stadium. Bubista's side had just 35% possession and four shots on target, with Kevin Lenini and Helio Varela both scoring.
Saudi Arabia opened with a 1-1 draw against Uruguay before suffering a 4-0 defeat to Spain at Atlanta Stadium. The Green Falcons were restricted to 33% possession and one shot on target.
Spain Unbeaten in 10 Meetings with Uruguay
The teams have met 10 times in senior international football. Spain are unbeaten, with five wins and five draws, while Uruguay have never beaten Spain. Their most recent meeting was in the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup, which Spain won 2-1.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 3 |  Uruguay |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3:4 | 2 |
3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Uruguay have had 55.2% possession and 6.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Rodrigo Aguirre has found the net 3 times, with Maximiliano Araujo and Giorgian De Arrascaeta scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Maximiliano Araujo with 3.
Spain have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 3.5 goals from 8.6 shots on goal and 21.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 65.0% possession, 704.4 passes, 6.8 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts.
Mikel Oyarzabal has recorded 9 goals, Mikel Merino 7, with Lamine Yamal and Pedri both managing 3. Mikel Oyarzabal is top assists provider with 6, while Unai Simon has recorded 7 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Uruguay confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fernando Muslera (GK), Guillermo Varela, Sebastian Caceres, Mathias Olivera, Juan Sanabria, Rodrigo Bentancur, Manuel Ugarte, Agustin Canobbio, Federico Valverde, Maximiliano Araujo, Darwin Nunez.
Spain confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Unai Simon (GK), Marcos Llorente, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella, Mikel Merino, Rodri, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Alejandro Baena.
Main Match Prediction
Backing Spain -1.25 at odds of +102 means we’ll benefit if they win by two or more goals in this Group H match. We think that the favourites can have the upper hand throughout the contest.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a World Cup verdict is reached.
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 49.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.
Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Spain
Our prediction for the correct score is Spain to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +550. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) has had over 3.5 shots in back-to-back matches. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -133.
Lamine Yamal (Spain) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +145. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has been covered by Spain in six straight games. Spain should be able to cover the line when it comes to Team Corners and betting odds of -139 are available.
Uruguay
Spain
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are Spain with the -1.25 Asian Handicap, No on the Both Teams to Score market combined with Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) to finish with Over 3.5 shots.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Uruguay vs Spain Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Spain at -154 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 61% chance of winning this World Cup clash based on the betting odds. The market suggests that Uruguay are least likely to win at +525.
Spain and Uruguay can be backed at +117 and +475 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +108.
A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -149 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever World Cup match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.
Mikel Oyarzabal is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +370. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +160.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Uruguay Stats
Spain Stats
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 2.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Uruguay vs Spain Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Uruguay vs Spain team news before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the World Cup and the newest injury information.
Uruguay Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Uruguay Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Uruguay Substitutes
- 1Sergio Rochet
- 2Jose Gimenez
- 4Ronald Araujo
- 7Nicolas de la Cruz
- 10G. De Arrascaeta
- 11Facundo Pellistri
- 12Santiago Mele
- 15Emiliano Martinez
- 17Matias Vina
- 18Brian Rodriguez
- 19Rodrigo Aguirre
- 21Federico Vinas
- 22Joaquin Piquerez
- 24Santiago Bueno
- 26Rodrigo Zalazar
Spain Substitutes
- 1David Raya
- 2Marc Pubill
- 3Alejandro Grimaldo
- 4Eric Garcia
- 7Ferran Torres
- 8Fabian Ruiz
- 9Gavi
- 10Dani Olmo
- 11Yeremy Pino
- 12Pedro Porro
- 13Joan Garcia
- 17Nico Williams
- 18Martin Zubimendi
- 25Victor Munoz
- 26Borja Iglesias
Previous Uruguay Lineups
Previous Spain Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Uruguay Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Marcelo Bielsa
Spain Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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