Vitória vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Sep 2026
Vitória vs Casa Pia Predictions
The latest numbers informs us that odds of -106 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like an attractive bet for the Vitória v Casa Pia contest. This Total Goals market wager could end up triggering a payout.
Read our in-depth Vitória vs Casa Pia betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Vitória vs Casa Pia Preview
Vitória go head-to-head with Casa Pia at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 6 September.
Vitória de Guimarães were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Braga claimed a 1-0 victory. Tiago Margarido's team had two shots on target and 46% possession.
Casa Pia have been defeated in four straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Moreirense by a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese had the lion’s share of the ball recording 62% possession and two shots on goal.
Casa Pia Claimed 1-0 Win in Previous H2H
It was Casa Pia who were victorious when they last faced Vitória. At Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, a 1-0 away victory was recorded. The previous 8 H2H matches have featured four draws, three victories for Casa Pia and just one for Vitória.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Vitória |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0:11 | 0 |
Vitória have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. The Conquerors have averaged 55.1% possession, 429.2 passes and 4.1 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 3.9 corners.
Gustavo Silva leads the way with 3 goals, Samu has 2, with Alioune Ndoye and Tony Strata scoring 1. Miguel Nogueira is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalies Charles and Oliwier Zych collectively keeping 3 clean sheets.
Casa Pia have won 1, lost 7 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.3 goals from 9.1 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal. The Lisbon outfit average 42.9% possession, 323.2 passes, 4.9 corners in their favour and 3.2 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 9.9 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.
Gaizka Larrazabal has scored 2 goals, while Cassiano has 1. Dailon Rocha Livramento and Joao Marques are the top assist makers with 1 apiece, while Patrick Sequeira has notched 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Oliwier Zych (GK), Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro, Óscar Rivas, João Mendes, Goncalo Nogueira, Lohann Doucet, Gustavo Silva, Samu, Miguel Nogueira, Alioune Ndoye.
Casa Pia predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): André Gomes (GK), Andres Geraldes, João Goulart, David Sousa, Pedro Rosas, Selvi Clua Oya, Lawrence Ofori, Kevin Prieto, Joao Rego, Rochinha, Alassana Jatta.
Main Match Prediction
We’re not expecting these teams to score any more than two goals between them in this Primeira Liga game. On this basis, we’ll bet on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently priced at odds of -106.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The latest Primeira Liga injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
Bettors looking for a larger price for a similar selection have the opportunity to wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with a return on the cards if there is one goal or less scored by the full-time whistle.
Take advantage of top welcome bonuses and free bets by browsing our complete list of betting promo codes today.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Casa Pia
One bet that has caught our eye is Vitória to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +450 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Miguel Nogueira (Vitória) can be wagered to score at +170. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past five Vitória matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line not covered, with the same thing happening in the previous five Casa Pia games. There’s a price of -147 for this Total Corners bet and we think the line is too big.
Vitória
Casa Pia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this bet builder including no more than two goals to be scored, Vitória on the Asian Handicap at -1.25 as well as less than 9.5 corners to be taken.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Vitória vs Casa Pia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Primeira Liga clash, Vitória de Guimarães are the -244 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 71% chance of winning. The market implies that Casa Pia are the most unlikely to win at +525.
An Asian Handicap -1.25 bet on Vitória gives you a full payout at -106 if they beat Casa Pia by two or more goals. If they win by one, you get half your stake returned but will lose the other half.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -135.
You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to wager on the Primeira Liga coupon and we advise heading to the leading sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.
Favourite Patrick Ouotro is priced at +330 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +140.
Stats: Primeira Liga matches only
Vitória have secured five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.70.
Casa Pia have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.30 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
When the teams previously met at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, Casa Pia defeated Vitória 1-0. Casa Pia have won three of the past 4 H2H games at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with Vitória picking up one win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Home Stats |
5-1-4 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 0.70 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
| Casa Pia Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 2.00 | 0.30 | 1.70 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 11/05 2026 Vitória 0 Casa Pia 1
- Primeira Liga: 28/12 2025 Casa Pia 0 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 01/03 2025 Vitória 1 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 28/09 2024 Casa Pia 1 Vitória 1
- Primeira Liga: 24/02 2024 Vitória 0 Casa Pia 2
- Primeira Liga: 23/09 2023 Casa Pia 0 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 19/02 2023 Casa Pia 0 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 29/08 2022 Vitória 0 Casa Pia 1
Vitória League Stats
Casa Pia League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 42.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 40.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
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Vitória vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Vitória vs Casa Pia team news before placing your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tiago Margarido
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Benfica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Estrela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 12 | Vitória | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 15 | Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 16 | Alverca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 17 | Estoril | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitória | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Famalicão | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Viseu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
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