Vitória vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Sep 2026

Vitória vs Casa Pia Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -106

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

The latest numbers informs us that odds of -106 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like an attractive bet for the Vitória v Casa Pia contest. This Total Goals market wager could end up triggering a payout.

Read our in-depth Vitória vs Casa Pia betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Vitória vs Casa Pia Preview

Vitória go head-to-head with Casa Pia at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 6 September.

Vitória de Guimarães were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Braga claimed a 1-0 victory. Tiago Margarido's team had two shots on target and 46% possession.

Casa Pia have been defeated in four straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Moreirense by a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese had the lion’s share of the ball recording 62% possession and two shots on goal.

H2H: Casa Pia Claimed 1-0 Win in Previous H2H

It was Casa Pia who were victorious when they last faced Vitória. At Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, a 1-0 away victory was recorded. The previous 8 H2H matches have featured four draws, three victories for Casa Pia and just one for Vitória.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Vitória	8	1	2	5	5	10	-5	5:10	5
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	3	17	-14	3:17	4

View Full Table

Vitória have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. The Conquerors have averaged 55.1% possession, 429.2 passes and 4.1 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 3.9 corners.

Gustavo Silva leads the way with 3 goals, Samu has 2, with Alioune Ndoye and Tony Strata scoring 1. Miguel Nogueira is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalies Charles and Oliwier Zych collectively keeping 3 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 1, lost 7 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.3 goals from 9.1 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal. The Lisbon outfit average 42.9% possession, 323.2 passes, 4.9 corners in their favour and 3.2 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 9.9 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Gaizka Larrazabal has scored 2 goals, while Cassiano has 1. Dailon Rocha Livramento and Joao Marques are the top assist makers with 1 apiece, while Patrick Sequeira has notched 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Oliwier Zych (GK), Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro, Ahmed Sidibe, Joao Mendes, Beni, Lohann Doucet, Miguel Nogueira, Samu, Gustavo Silva, Alioune Ndoye.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andre Gomes (GK), Andre Geraldes, Kaly, David Sousa, Pedro Silva Rosas, Selvi Clua, Lawrence Ofori, Kevin Prieto, Joao Rego, Benjamin Pauwels, Alassana Jatta.

Main Match Prediction

We’re not expecting these teams to score any more than two goals between them in this Primeira Liga game. On this basis, we’ll bet on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently priced at odds of -106.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Vitória games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Vitória games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Vitória games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Casa Pia games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Casa Pia games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Casa Pia games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 games between these teams.

The latest Primeira Liga injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Bettors looking for a larger price for a similar selection have the opportunity to wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with a return on the cards if there is one goal or less scored by the full-time whistle.

Take advantage of top welcome bonuses and free bets by browsing our complete list of betting promo codes today.

Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 4, 19:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 2 - 0 Casa Pia

One bet that has caught our eye is Vitória to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +440 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Miguel Nogueira To Score +170

Miguel Nogueira (Vitória) can be wagered to score at +170. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Miguel Nogueira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+400

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -147

All of the past five Vitória matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line not covered, with the same thing happening in the previous five  Casa Pia games. There’s a price of -147 for this Total Corners bet and we think the line is too big.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

8.00 4.10 3.90

Home

8.90 4.40 4.50

Away

7.50 4.30 3.20

Casa Pia

Total

8.10 4.90 3.20

Home

8.50 3.60 4.90

Away

10.70 5.00 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-147

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-119

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+700

2

+245

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Primeira Liga clash, Vitória de Guimarães are the -222 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 69% chance of winning. The market implies that Casa Pia are the most unlikely to win at +500.

Siding with Vitória -1 on the Asian Handicap at -133 is a solid option if you think they might beat Casa Pia by two goals or more. A one-goal margin of victory would see you get money back with this wager.

The latest Total Goals betting suggests it’s a close call between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -139.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to wager on the Primeira Liga coupon and we advise heading to the leading sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

-222

X

+300

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

-106

X

+128

2

+480

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-556

X2

+143

Draw No Bet

1

-667

2

+350

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-133

2 Hcp +1

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-122

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-139

Favourite Alioune Ndoye is priced at +330 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +145.

Alioune Ndoye (Vitória)

First

+330

Anytime

+145

Patrick Ouotro (Vitória)

First

+350

Anytime

+145

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+350

Anytime

+155

Miguel Nogueira (Vitória)

First

+400

Anytime

+175

Oumar Camara (Vitória)

First

+430

Anytime

+188

Victor Andersson (Vitória)

First

+540

Anytime

+235

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Matija Mitrović (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+320

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+330

Alassana Jatta (Casa Pia)

First

+750

Anytime

+340

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+390

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+900

Anytime

+390

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+460

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+480

Lohann Doucet (Vitória)

First

+1050

Anytime

+480

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+500

Henrique Araújo (Casa Pia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+500

Rochinha (Casa Pia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+510

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+525

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Benjamin Pauwels (Casa Pia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Silvi Clua (Casa Pia)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Thiago Balieiro (Vitória)

First

+1800

Anytime

+850

Raúl Blanco (Casa Pia)

First

+1800

Anytime

+850

Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Vitória have secured five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Casa Pia have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.30 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the teams previously met at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, Casa Pia defeated Vitória 1-0. Casa Pia have won three of the past 4 H2H games at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with Vitória picking up one win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Vitória Home Stats		5-1-4	2.00	1.30	0.70	3	7	3	7
Casa Pia Away Stats		1-2-7	2.00	0.30	1.70	4	6	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Vitória vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Vitória vs Casa Pia team news before placing your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages