Vitória vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Sep 2026

Vitória vs Grêmio Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -132

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We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 when Vitória go up against Grêmio. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to take a price of -132 and we anticipate a return here.

We analyse several betting angles in our Vitória vs Grêmio betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Vitória vs Grêmio Preview

Vitória host Grêmio at Estádio Manoel Barradas, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Monday 7 September.

Vitória have suffered defeat in back-to-back Série A games. Most recently, a 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road against Atlético Mineiro. The Salvador team recorded just 39% possession and had three shots on target, with Erick Serafim registering the goal.

On Wednesday night, Vitória were beaten 2-0 when facing Vasco da Gama at home in the Copa do Brasil.

Grêmio have lost three consecutive games on the road. The previous contest saw a 3-1 home triumph against Chapecoense. The Immortal Tricolor were 53% in the possession stakes and recorded five shots on goal, while Gustavo Martins scored twice and Cristian Pavon also found the net.

In the last outing, Grêmio claimed a 3-1 Copa do Brasil victory at home to Internacional.

H2H: 5 Wins in Previous 7 H2H Games for Grêmio

Grêmio have beaten Vitória in their last two clashes, winning by 2-0 and 3-1 scorelines when hosting. 5 of the past 7 H2H games have gone the way of Grêmio, with two draws also occurring.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Vitória	31	10	7	14	34	45	-11	34:45	37
18	Grêmio	31	7	10	14	34	44	-10	34:44	31

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Vitória have had 45.8% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.6 corners.

Top scorer Rene has found the net 2 times, with Erick Serafim, Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer and Diego Tarzia getting 1 goals each. Diego Tarzia has recorded the most assists with 2.

Grêmio have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.3 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 1.2 goals. Luis Castro's men average 46.5% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 18.7 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius has scored 3 goals, followed by Gustavo Martins and Cristian Pavon on 2. Cristian Pavon has managed to clock up 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Mateusinho, Emanuel Britez, Luan Candido, Jamerson, Ze Vitor, Caique, Erick Serafim, Matheuzinho, Diego Tarzia, Rene.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Weverton (GK), Diego Caito, Gustavo Martins, Wallace, Pedro Gabriel, Erick Noriega, Cristian Pavon, Mathias Villasanti, Filip Krovinovic, Tete, Carlos Vinicius.

Main Match Prediction

We don’t think the teams will combine to score three or more in this Série A clash. Therefore, we’ll wager on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently available at odds of -132.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Vitória games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Vitória games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Vitória games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Grêmio games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Grêmio games.

The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Série A team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 56.8% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

We think a Bet Builder offers a great alternative if you want bigger odds for your Under 2.5 Goals bet. Include this selection with others in the hope that they all land in the game.

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 6, 01:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 0 Grêmio

There are betting odds of +575 that Vitória land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Francis Amuzu Over 0.5 Shots On Target +108

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) can be wagered at +108 to register a minimum of one shot on goal. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Francis Amuzu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

---

Caique Jesus Gonçalves To Score +850

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +850. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.

Latest Caique Jesus Gonçalves Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Grêmio Over 3.5 Corners -116

In their past eight games, Grêmio have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous four Vitória matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We’re expecting plenty of Grêmio corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -116 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

9.70 5.10 4.60

Home

9.00 4.30 4.70

Away

10.00 4.30 5.70

Grêmio

Total

11.40 5.10 6.30

Home

10.50 5.40 5.10

Away

9.10 3.20 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-132

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-133

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-123

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+720

2

+190

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Vitória are the +107 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 48% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. At +255, Grêmio are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

If Vitória and Grêmio play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -128.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. For the Both Teams to Score market, it’s hard to separate the BTTS Yes and No options when it comes to the odds available.

If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+107

X

+225

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

+110

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-312

X2

-139

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+145

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-128

2 Hcp +0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-115

Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +475. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +200.

Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira (Vitória)

First

+475

Anytime

+200

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+500

Anytime

+210

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+230

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+270

Matheuzinho (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+290

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+320

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+330

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+390

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+420

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Tomás Pochettino (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+450

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+480

Emmanuel Martínez (Vitória)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

José Vitor Silva Neves (Vitória)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Jamerson (Vitória)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Luan Cândido (Vitória)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1000

Carlos De Menezes Júnior (Vitória)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Fabiano Silva (Vitória)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Ramon Ramos Lima (Vitória)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1100

Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Matheuzinho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Pochettino (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Emmanuel Martínez (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

José Vitor Silva Neves (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

Jamerson (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Luan Cândido (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Carlos De Menezes Júnior (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

Fabiano Silva (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

Ramon Ramos Lima (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-233

Under 2.5

-

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Matheuzinho (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Cristian Pavón (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Jovane Cabral (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

José Enamorado (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Pochettino (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Tete (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Emmanuel Martínez (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

José Vitor Silva Neves (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Jamerson (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Vitória vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Vitória vs Grêmio team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.

Vitória Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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