Vitória vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Sep 2026
Vitória vs Grêmio Predictions
We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 when Vitória go up against Grêmio. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to take a price of -132 and we anticipate a return here.
We analyse several betting angles in our Vitória vs Grêmio betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Vitória vs Grêmio Preview
Vitória host Grêmio, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Monday 7 September.
Vitória have suffered defeat in back-to-back Série A games. Most recently, a 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road against Atlético Mineiro. The Salvador team recorded just 39% possession and had three shots on target, with Erick Serafim registering the goal.
On Wednesday night, Vitória were beaten 2-0 when facing Vasco da Gama at home in the Copa do Brasil.
Grêmio have lost three consecutive games on the road. The previous contest saw a 3-1 home triumph against Chapecoense. The Immortal Tricolor were 53% in the possession stakes and recorded five shots on goal, while Gustavo Martins scored twice and Cristian Pavon also found the net.
In the last outing, Grêmio claimed a 3-1 Copa do Brasil victory at home to Internacional.
5 Wins in Previous 7 H2H Games for Grêmio
Grêmio have beaten Vitória in their last two clashes, winning by 2-0 and 3-1 scorelines when hosting. 5 of the past 7 H2H games have gone the way of Grêmio, with two draws also occurring.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Vitória |
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24:37 | 29 |
| 15 |  Grêmio |
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 27:32 | 28 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Vitória have had 45.8% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.6 corners.
Top scorer Rene has found the net 2 times, with Erick Serafim, Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer and Diego Tarzia getting 1 goals each. Diego Tarzia has recorded the most assists with 2.
Grêmio have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.3 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 1.2 goals. Luis Castro's men average 46.5% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 18.7 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.
Carlos Vinicius has scored 3 goals, followed by Gustavo Martins and Cristian Pavon on 2. Cristian Pavon has managed to clock up 4 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Mateus Silva, Cacá, Luan Cândido, Ramon, Walace, Caique Gonçalves, Erick, Zé Vitor, Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer.
Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Diego Caito, Gustavo Martins, Wallace, Pedro Gabriel, Mathías Villasanti, Erick Noriega, Cristian Pavón, Filip Krovinović, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.
Main Match Prediction
We don’t think the teams will combine to score three or more in this Série A clash. Therefore, we’ll wager on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently available at odds of -132.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Série A team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 56.8% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
We think a Bet Builder offers a great alternative if you want bigger odds for your Under 2.5 Goals bet. Include this selection with others in the hope that they all land in the game.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Grêmio
There are betting odds of +600 that Vitória land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Player Prop Picks
Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) can be wagered at +108 to register a minimum of one shot on goal. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.
Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +850. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past eight games, Grêmio have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous four Vitória matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We’re expecting plenty of Grêmio corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -116 available.
Vitória
Grêmio
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is packed with these picks: no more than two goals to be registered, Vitória to win accompanied by Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) to record one or more shots on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Vitória vs Grêmio Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Vitória are the +106 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 49% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. At +245, Grêmio are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
If Vitória and Grêmio play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -127.
The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -127.
If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +450. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +190.
Vitória League Stats
Grêmio League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Rene (5), Renato Kayzer (4), Erick Serafim (3)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Erick Serafim (3), Gabriel Baralhas (3), Diego Tarzia (2)
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Vitória vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Vitória vs Grêmio team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Grêmio Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jair Ventura
Grêmio Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45:21 | 52 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40:32 | 45 |
| 5 | Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 43 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31:28 | 35 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:28 | 33 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:25 | 32 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:40 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitória | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | 29 |
| 14 | Santos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:36 | 29 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:39 | 25 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | 25 |
| 18 | Internacional | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26:31 | 25 |
| 19 | Remo | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30:42 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25:49 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:14 | 33 |
| 2 | Athletico PR | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Flamengo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:8 | 27 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 27 |
| 5 | Vitória | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 25 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 24 |
| 7 | Grêmio | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 8 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 10 | Bahia | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:14 | 20 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 13 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | 19 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 17 | Botafogo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 18 | Remo | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 14 |
| 19 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:27 | 11 |
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