Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026
A-League Betting Preview: Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC
Bottom-of-the-table Wellington Phoenix welcome fourth-placed Sydney FC to Sky Stadium, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Saturday 28 February.
We’re of the opinion that Sydney will have the upper hand against Wellington and they stand out at -102. The Full-Time Result price looks value and we’re bullish when it comes to yielding dividends.
Wellington Phoenix were beaten 5-0 at Sky Stadium in their last game. This was at home to Auckland. The Nix had 49% of possession and one shot on target.
Sydney FC have lost their previous two A-League games on the road. Their most recent league match was at home at Allianz Stadium where they secured a 1-0 win against Brisbane Roar. Ufuk Talay's side enjoyed 65% possession and managed five shots on goal, with Tiago Quintal scoring the winner in the 54th minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Wellington have avoided defeat against Sydney in the past four meetings. In the last clash, Wellington banked a 2-0 win when visiting Allianz Stadium. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in four Wellington victories and three Sydney wins. There have also been three draws.
| A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sydney FC |
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 31:23 | 37 |
| 8 | Wellington |
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 34:43 | 30 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 7.9 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Wellington have had 49.1% possession and 3.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 2.4 goals from 9.4 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.8 corners.
Top scorer Ifeanyi Eze has found the net 4 times, Carlo Armiento 3, with Isaac Robert Hughes and Corban Piper both scoring 2. Carlo Armiento, Ramy Najjarine and Kazuki Nagasawa are the leading assists makers with 2.
Sydney have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 10.4 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. The Sky Blues average 56.0% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 6.6 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.
Tiago Quintal is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Victor Campuzano on 2, with Alexandar Popovic and two others bagging 1. Akol Akon has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Josh Oluwayemi (GK), Manjrekar James, Bill Poni Tuiloma, Isaac Robert Hughes, Matthew Sheridan, Carlo Armiento, Paulo Retre, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Ramy Najjarine, Corban Piper.
Sydney FC confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Harrison Devenish-Meares (GK), Rhyan Grant, Alexandar Popovic, Alexander Grant, Benjamin Garuccio, Paul Okon-Engstler, Joe Lolley, Tiago Quintal, Ahmet Metin Arslan, Piero Quispe, Apostolos Stamatelopoulos.
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Approach Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
We are big fans of Sydney at a price of -102 to win this A-League encounter, with this wager making plenty of appeal. A nice return could be on the cards and we think a victory is within their grasp.
Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the A-League experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.
Key Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 50.5% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
Bettors who are looking for a bigger price when backing Sydney should take a look at the Asian Handicap. Place a bet on the favourites to cover the line that makes the most appeal.
Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of the Sky Blues at odds of +575. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos (Sydney) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +210. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been an average 5.90 Wellington corners in their past ten home matches, with Sydney conceding a corner average of 7.20 in the previous five away games. Wellington should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of +104 are on offer.
Wellington
Sydney
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a bet builder that includes Sydney to win, more than two goals in total together with Wellington to finish with over 4.5 corners.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Some will want to go ahead and back Sydney FC at -103 to win this A-League encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 51% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Wellington Phoenix are the +235 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
You can choose between Sydney -0.5 at -110 or Wellington +0.5 at -130 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -213.
You can find hundreds of markets for every A-League match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
Favourite Joe Lolley is priced at +330 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +123.
Wellington are winless over their previous four games at Sky Stadium. The Nix have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.10.
Sydney have finished with five defeats, four wins and one draw in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Wellington and Sydney played out a 0-0 draw when the teams last met at Sky Stadium. The previous 4 H2H matches at Sky Stadium have included two draws along with a victory each for Wellington and Sydney.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wellington Phoenix Home Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.60 | 1.50 | 2.10 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2 | |
Sydney FC Away Stats |
4-1-5 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- A-League: 18/01 2026 Sydney FC 0 Wellington 2
- A-League: 16/03 2025 Sydney FC 1 Wellington 1
- A-League: 15/01 2025 Wellington 0 Sydney FC 0
- A-League: 16/03 2024 Wellington 2 Sydney FC 1
- A-League: 29/12 2023 Sydney FC 3 Wellington 1
- A-League: 12/03 2023 Wellington 1 Sydney FC 0
- A-League: 07/01 2023 Sydney FC 0 Wellington 1
- A-League: 19/02 2022 Wellington 1 Sydney FC 1
- A-League: 19/12 2021 Sydney FC 2 Wellington 1
- A-League: 08/02 2021 Sydney FC 2 Wellington 1
Wellington Phoenix League Stats
Sydney FC League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Wellington Phoenix this season are Ifeanyi Eze (8), Carlo Armiento (5), Alex Rufer (2)
- Top Assistors for Wellington Phoenix this season are Kazuki Nagasawa (4), Corban Piper (3), Tim Payne (3)
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Wellington vs Sydney team news. Get the predicted and confirmed A-League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Sydney FC Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Sydney FC Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Wellington Phoenix Substitutes
- 10Nikola Mileusnic
- 12Dan Edwards
- 16Sander Erik Kartum
- 18Lukas Kelly-Heald
- 24Tze-Xuan Loke
- 29Luke Brooke-Smith
- 30Alby Kelly-Heald
Sydney FC Substitutes
- 9Victor Campuzano
- 11Abel Walatee
- 22Mathias Macallister
- 30Alexander Zaverdinos
- 32Marcel Tisserand
- 35Alhassan Toure
- 36Rhys Youlley
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Previous Sydney FC Lineups
Wellington Phoenix Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Giancarlo Italiano
Sydney FC Player Stats & Squad
A-League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 37 |
| 5 | Melb Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 36 |
| 6 | Melb City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | 21 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melb Victory | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Adelaide United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 3 | Melb City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 26:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Auckland | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Central Coast | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Wellington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:22 | 14 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Western Sydney | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 13 |
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