Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Oct 2026

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Best Bet

Golden Knights 3-Way Moneyline @ -103

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We believe that the Golden Knights should prove too strong for the Maple Leafs over 60 minutes. Therefore, it’s all about going to the 3-Way Moneyline to back the home team and there’s juice in the -103 available.

Get our Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights betting picks, including our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Navigate to the sections below for the complete analysis.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs clash with the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, October 8.

Toronto Maple Leafs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 5-4 (OT) triumph at Scotiabank Arena against Nashville Predators. Jack Roslovic was on target along with four of his teammates.

Vegas Golden Knights won their last game 6-2, making it back-to-back successes. This was a road victory at Climate Pledge Arena against Seattle Kraken. Jack Eichel had 4 points which includes 1 goal and 3 assists. Goalie Carter Hart made a total of 25 saves (.926).

H2H: 6-3 Victory for Knights in Previous H2H Clash

The Knights beat the Leafs in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 6-3 scoreline at Scotiabank Arena. The Knights have beaten the Leafs in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 6 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	0-2-0	3.1	.887	0
25/26	27-23-1	3.1	.877	4

Carter Hart (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	2-1-0	2.7	.890	0
25/26	25-11-3	2.6	.901	0

2 wins, 7 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 24.4 shots on goal, with a 25.8% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 4.2 goals from 30.4 shots, averaging 3.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.6%.

William Nylander is the top points scorer with 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists, with John Tavares racking up 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 4.74 goal against average with a .825 save percentage.

The Knights have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 27.5 shots on goal, with a 18.0% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.4 goals from 25.6 shots, averaging 3.4 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 76.5%.

The top points scorer is Jack Eichel with 14 points, 2 goals and 12 assists, while Shea Theodore is next in line after having 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Carter Hart have a 3.22 GAA with a .872 SV%.

Best Bet

We are having a wager on Golden Knights in this NHL clash and they could prove too strong. You can back our pick at -103 on the 60-minute line and we think this offers good value.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Golden Knights have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Golden Knights have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Golden Knights have won 2 consecutive games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 4 games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 14 of their last 20 games.
• Golden Knights have won the last 3 games between these teams.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making hockey picks. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter NHL predictions.

Knights 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the top betting sites, there’s a 50.8% chance of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to back Vegas at bigger odds on the Puck Line. The sportsbooks will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.

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Golden Knights 3-Way Moneyline @ -103 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 8, 02:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 5 Golden Knights

We’ve picked out a correct score of 5-3 being landed by the Golden Knights. You can secure odds of +1700 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Golden Knights

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Knights

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+4000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1400

Knights

+1300

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+2800

3-1

Maple Leafs

+1800

Knights

+1400

3-2

Maple Leafs

+950

Knights

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Knights

+3400

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Knights

+1300

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1600

Knights

+1300

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1200

Knights

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+1200

Knights

+5000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3500

Knights

+2000

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Knights

+1400

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2400

Knights

+1700

5-4

Maple Leafs

+1700

Knights

+1500

6-1

Maple Leafs

+1700

Knights

+3500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+5000

Knights

+2500

6-3

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+2200

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5500

Knights

+4000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+4000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+7000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+4500

7-3

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+5000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+4000

Knights

+6000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 62% chance of securing victory, Vegas Golden Knights are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -161. At +134, Toronto Maple Leafs are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at -102.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best NHL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the clash.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+134

Knights

-161

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+215

Tie

+340

Knights

-103

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-189

Knights -1.5

+152

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-120

Over 6.5

-102

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.90 pts and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 24.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 8
• Blocks: 13.2
• Faceoff Wins : 28.7
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 21.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 16.8
• Blocks: 10.3
• Faceoff Wins : 26.6
• Hits: 23.6
• Giveaways: 17.3
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 27.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 29.3
• Hits: 31
• Giveaways: 19
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 12
• Faceoff Wins : 30.6
• Hits: 34.2
• Giveaways: 19.6
• Takeaways: 4.6

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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