Florida vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Nov 2026
Florida vs Kentucky Predictions
There’s a generous line of -3.5 when it comes to Kentucky in their meeting with Florida. The -100 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.
Our expert Florida vs Kentucky picks deliver our Best Bet alongside Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Explore each section for the complete analysis.
Florida vs Kentucky Preview
Florida face Kentucky at Kroger Field, with kickoff scheduled for 18:15 on Saturday, November 14.
Florida Gators have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Oklahoma Sooners by a 23-7 scoreline at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
Kentucky Wildcats have won their last three home games. Most recently, they lost 34-6 on the road at Neyland Stadium against Tennessee Volunteers.
H2H: Teams’ Last Battle Saw 38-7 Kentucky Victory
These two teams last met at Kroger Field, with Kentucky claiming the win. Beating Florida by a 38-7 scoreline. Kentucky have won four of the past 7 games that these teams have played.
Quarterbacks
Aaron Philo
Kenny Minchey
Best Bet
The best pick is to snap up the -100 that Kentucky are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -3.5 for this college football showdown and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.
Kentucky -3.5 Probability
If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 50% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the spread pick you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Aaron Philo (Florida) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 194.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.
The odds for Kenny Darby (Florida) to record fewer than 58.5 receiving yards are -114. We're confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, so we're backing the Under.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Our same game parlay pick is Kentucky -3.5 on the spread, Over 52.5 and Aaron Philo (Florida) to have Under 194.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
27
-
35
Kentucky
Let’s roll the dice and try the Cats to achieve a 35-27 winning scoreline here. There are huge odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of bet to enjoy.
Florida vs Kentucky Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Kentucky are -152 favorites and that means a 60% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Florida are trading at +128.
The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 52.5. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those who wager Under 52.5 can get -105.
There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Kentucky Looking to Keep Rolling at Home
Kentucky have reeled off three in a row at Kroger Field. They have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, putting up 35.10 points per contest and giving up 24.20.
Florida own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 road games, posting 19.20 points per contest while yielding 29.80.
Kentucky earned a 38-7 win against Florida in the teams’ last meeting at Kroger Field. In their past 3 head-to-heads at Kroger Field, Kentucky have won each one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O52.5 | U52.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kentucky Home Stats |
7-3 | 59.30 | 35.10 | 24.20 | 6 | 4 | |
 Florida Away Stats |
3-7 | 49.00 | 19.20 | 29.80 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
- U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida Gators Stats
Kentucky Wildcats Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 60.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 52.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.20 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.20 pts and allowed 29.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 54.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 59.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 52.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.90 pts and allowed 27.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 35.10 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
8 | 1 | 370 | 126 | 244 | 5-1 | 3-0 | 2W |
Alabama
|
7 | 2 | 337 | 183 | 154 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 2W |
|
Kentucky
|
7 | 2 | 269 | 232 | 37 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
7 | 2 | 292 | 136 | 156 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 1W |
Texas
|
7 | 2 | 280 | 157 | 123 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 3W |
Ole Miss
|
6 | 3 | 304 | 234 | 70 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 1L |
South Carolina
|
6 | 3 | 312 | 211 | 101 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 4W |
LSU
|
6 | 3 | 334 | 159 | 175 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 1L |
Missouri
|
6 | 3 | 272 | 181 | 91 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
5 | 4 | 199 | 173 | 26 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Auburn
|
5 | 4 | 219 | 237 | -18 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 1W |
|
Florida
|
5 | 4 | 292 | 248 | 44 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 2L |
Mississippi State
|
4 | 5 | 236 | 250 | -14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5L |
Texas A&M
|
4 | 5 | 235 | 168 | 67 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 2L |
Vanderbilt
|
4 | 5 | 207 | 265 | -58 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 1W |
Arkansas
|
3 | 6 | 180 | 247 | -67 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 2L |
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