Florida State vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Nov 2026
Florida State vs Pittsburgh Predictions
We’re very excited to see Pitt at -3.5 on the spread and think it’s a great number for the favorites to cover in their clash against Florida State at -105.
Get our expert Florida State vs Pitt picks, including our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down to see the full breakdown and reasoning behind each play.
Florida State vs Pittsburgh Preview
Florida State square off against Pitt at Acrisure Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, November 13.
Florida State Seminoles got the win in their previous game. A 31-24 triumph occurred on the road at Alumni Stadium when playing Boston College Eagles.
Pittsburgh Panthers last game saw them claim a 34-11 home win over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Acrisure Stadium.
H2H: 34-31 Win for Pitt in Last H2H Clash
Pitt won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 34-31 triumph when facing FSU at Doak Campbell Stadium. The previous 3 games featuring these teams have resulted in two Pitt victories.
Quarterbacks
Ashton Daniels
Holden Geriner
Best Bet
We expect Pitt to cover the -3.5 line on the spread. This is a good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -105 for this college football matchup.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Our expert CFB handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.
Pitt -3.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.
As a wagering alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your spread pick. Buy if you want a safer bet and sell to get more juice from the line.
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Player Prop Picks
Ashton Daniels (FSU) can be backed at -114 to finish with fewer than 226.5 passing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.
Damon Ferguson Jr. (Pitt) is priced at -118 to end with fewer than 75.5 rushing yards. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the Player Rushing Yards line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Pitt to cover the -3.5 spread, Over 53.5 on the total and Ashton Daniels (Florida State) to go Under 226.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same football game. You can go through the available betting lines and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
34
Pitt
There are lots of different ways to back the Panthers on the correct score betting and something like 34-23 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.
Florida State vs Pittsburgh Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sportsbooks’ favorites Pittsburgh are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -161 about them triumphing means a 62% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Florida State are least likely to win at +134.
The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 53.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. Those that want to back Under 53.5 can find odds of -110 available.
The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Pitt With Seven Wins in Previous Ten Home Games
Pitt have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 33.10 points on offense and surrendering 18.20 on defense.
FSU have one win and nine losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 21.80 points per contest and giving up 36.40.
The last time these teams met at Acrisure Stadium, FSU came out on top 24-7 against Pitt.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O53.5 | U53.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pittsburgh Home Stats |
7-3 | 51.30 | 33.10 | 18.20 | 4 | 6 | |
 Florida State Away Stats |
1-9 | 58.20 | 21.80 | 36.40 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
- U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
Pittsburgh Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 59.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 53.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.70 pts and allowed 29.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 36.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 50.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 53.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.40 pts and allowed 20.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 18.20 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
8 | 1 | 405 | 173 | 232 | 4-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 1 | 390 | 143 | 247 | 4-1 | 4-0 | 6W |
SMU
|
7 | 2 | 333 | 206 | 127 | 6-0 | 1-2 | 1W |
Louisville
|
6 | 3 | 367 | 233 | 134 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 4W |
Duke
|
7 | 2 | 297 | 117 | 180 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 3W |
Clemson
|
6 | 3 | 204 | 186 | 18 | 3-2 | 3-1 | 2W |
|
Pittsburgh
|
6 | 3 | 287 | 178 | 109 | 5-1 | 1-2 | 1W |
Virginia Tech
|
6 | 3 | 308 | 215 | 93 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
5 | 4 | 244 | 205 | 39 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1W |
Boston College
|
4 | 5 | 197 | 243 | -46 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 2L |
|
Florida State
|
4 | 5 | 276 | 255 | 21 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 1W |
NC State
|
4 | 5 | 260 | 248 | 12 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 1L |
Stanford
|
4 | 5 | 183 | 336 | -153 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 1L |
Virginia
|
4 | 5 | 233 | 208 | 25 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 3L |
California
|
3 | 6 | 197 | 284 | -87 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 3L |
Syracuse
|
4 | 5 | 264 | 229 | 35 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
2 | 7 | 215 | 290 | -75 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4L |
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