UL Monroe vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Sep 2026

College Football Betting Preview: UL Monroe vs Mississippi State

UL Monroe square off against Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, September 5.

Let’s take a chance on UL Monroe and wager the big underdogs with a +28.5 start. They should be able to cover the spread against Mississippi State at odds of -110.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks lost on the road in their previous game. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns won 30-27 at Cajun Field.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost their last game, being beaten to Wake Forest Demon Deacons 43-29 at Bank of America Stadium.

UL Monroe vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best UL Monroe vs Mississippi State picks: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation and a ready-made bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting UL Monroe to keep the scoreline respectable in this college football showdown. The spread of +28.5 looks generous at odds of -110.

Our team of college football handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key UL Monroe vs Mississippi State stats:

• The +28.5 line has been covered by UL Monroe in 7 consecutive games.
• The +28.5 line has been covered by UL Monroe in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +28.5 line has been covered by UL Monroe in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -28.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 10 consecutive games.
• The -28.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 19 of their last 20 games.

UL Monroe +28.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.

Selling points can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

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Our Game Prediction

UL Monroe +28.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UL Monroe 21 - 41 MS State

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Bulldogs to achieve a 41-21 win could be along the right lines. There are huge odds for this particular outcome.

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UL Monroe vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -10000 about Mississippi State which reflects they have a 99% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that UL Monroe are least likely to win at +2200.

28.5 is the spread and 54.5 is the total points line. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those expecting a low total can back Under 54.5 at -110.

If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

UL Monroe

+2200

MS State

-10000

Point Spread

UL Monroe +28.5

-110

MS State -28.5

-110

Total Points

Under 54.5

-110

Over 54.5

-110

We’re fond of the quarterback and player props as an alternative to betting on the game lines. The gambling sites will have Player Kicking Points, Longest Rushing Attempt and Rushing Yards among the choices and you can take a view.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Mississippi State Record Shows Four Home Defeats in a Row

Mississippi State have endured four straight losses at Davis Wade Stadium. They have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, scoring 32.70 points per contest and conceding 31.20.

UL Monroe have suffered five defeats in a row away from home. They have one win and nine losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 16.60 points per contest and giving up 37.70.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O54.5	U54.5
Mississippi State Home Stats		4-6	63.90	32.70	31.20	8	2
UL Monroe Away Stats		1-9	54.30	16.60	37.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
• U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Stats

Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +28.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +28.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -28.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -28.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 54.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.00 pts and allowed 31.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.60 pts and allowed 37.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 63.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 54.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.40 pts and allowed 35.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 29.70 pts in the last 10 home games

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